Posted on 10/31/2010 3:20:36 PM PDT by Justaham
The last TV ads have been cut. The final polls have been conducted. The end-of-campaign expenditures are being made.
Now, for Democratic consultants and campaign officials who have plotted and strategized for months to preserve the embattled House majority, there’s nothing left to do but sit and wait for the expected horrors of Election Day to unfold.
There is nearly uniform consensus among Democratic campaign professionals that the House is gone — the only question, it seems, is how many seats they will lose.
While few will say so on the record for fear of alienating party officials or depressing turnout, every one of nearly a dozen Democratic House consultants and political strategists surveyed expect a GOP majority to be elected Tuesday — the consensus was that Democrats would lose somewhere between 50 and 60 seats.
A senior party consultant who was on the low end with his predictions said the party would lose between 40 and 50 seats. On the high end, one Democratic consultant said losses could number around 70 seats.
All spoke to the grimness of the mood.
“It sucks,” said Dave Beattie, a Florida-based Democratic pollster who is working on a slate of competitive House races and who acknowledges that the lower congressional chamber is lost. “I’m resigned to the fact that it sucks.”
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
The quotes in this article are priceless, and hopefully indicative of many to come this week:
>>“It sucks,” said Dave Beattie, a Florida-based Democratic pollster who is working on a slate of competitive House races and who acknowledges that the lower congressional chamber is lost. “I’m resigned to the fact that it sucks.”
>>“If some Democratic consultant told you they are feeling better, they must have dropped some heavy drugs,” said a senior pollster who is working for candidates in competitive races. “It’s hard.”
>>“Everybody that is tied will lose, and everyone that is ahead by a few points will lose because of the GOP wave,” said one party media consultant who is involved in a wide array of House races. “There are going to be some surprises.”
>>“There’s nothing worse than talking to an incumbent member of Congress who’s been cut off by the DCCC and who has no money,” said another Democratic consultant who has worked on crafting some of the party’s TV ads this cycle. “It’s like talking to a dead man walking.”
>>“It’s a 24-hour labor,” said John Anzalone, an Alabama-based pollster who works closely with the DCCC. “In 2006 and 2008, everything was going your way. This is brutal.”
>>“Here’s the part of this that bothers me the most: This is not an embracing of Republicans. It’s a rejection of Democrats,” said Andrew Myers, a veteran Democratic pollster who worked on several House campaigns.
+++++++++++++++++++++
Awwwww........couldn’t happen to a nicer bunch, huh? Feel sorry for ‘em? NOT!!
From the box:
Mallomars were created by Nabisco in 1913 and first sold to a Grocer in West Hoboken, NJ. The Metropolitan New York area boasts the most loyal Mallomars fans. More than 70% of all Mallomars sales are generated in the shadow of the Big Apple.
The cookie consists of a graham cracker crust on the bottom, marshmallow in the middle and covered with sweet chocolate. They are only manufactured from September to March so the chocolate covering isn't affected by the summer heat when they are shipped.
(Since you're from Texas, you will appreciate the fact that Moon Pies were invented the same year - 1913)
BTW - I'm guessing that you never heard of an Egg Cream either. LOL
“Still believe the polls?”
Both parties and campaigns have internal/partisan polling. That said, there is definitely push polling by supposedly objective pollsters (like say Newsweak, et al.)
“If we pull this off, I’m going to celebrate with a box of Mallomars. Not just one or two, the entire box of 18. The stomach ache will be worth it.”
LOL - cheers!
Hopefully, Tuesday will increase my excitement factor. Not that I have any idea what an “excitement factor” is. My best guess is when the FR Moderator removed one of my posts last year. I was a naughty Kickass Conservative that night.
“This insight is more telling than all the generic polls coming out.”
Confirmation.
:):)
“They should have thought of that when the calls were 900 to 1 not to do what they did. The horrors they put on the American citizenry is way smaller than the horrors they will see this election cycle, and the next several election cycles. WE HAVE ONLY BEGUN TO FIGHT”
YES.
Obamaism totally rejected by fed up voters on Election Day.
Great graphic!!
Ohhhh...THAT’S what they are. No, hadn’t heard of Egg Creams either. Depending on how Election Night goes for Conservatives, you may be entitled to TWO boxes of Mallomars. ;)
“I pray that I don’t open my big mouth and insert my foot up to my knee today”
And no, don't send me a link to the HTML sandbox.
Egg Cream:
1. Buy some U-BET Chocolate Syrup. (you can buy it online if your local store doesn't carry it). Hersheys will work, but it isn't the same, trust me.
2. Pour 1/2 inch of U-BET into a tall glass.
3. Add 3/4 inch of whole milk.
4. Pour in Seltzer Water while stirring vigorously.
Do not use a straw to drink it, just gulp it down.
It is the most refreshing drink on a hot day. An Egg Cream is basically an Ice Cream Soda without the Ice Cream.
Don't you love all the new and exciting things you learn on Free Republic?
Until the polls close, there is always more to do. I had a letter to the editor about my Senate race published yesterday. Today I will send a GOTV email to all the folks on my contact list who I believe will vote for conservative candidates. Tomorrow I will be a poll watcher.
There is always more to do.
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