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It’s Not a GOP Tsunami — It’s Bigger Than That
Pajamas Media ^ | October 15, 2010 | Horace Cooper

Posted on 10/15/2010 10:30:24 AM PDT by Kaslin

The Dems still don't seem to understand what's happening here.

The three weeks left until the midterm elections appears an eerily quiet calm before the storm. And quiet though it may be, it presages a coming asteroid strike that Washington’s beltway elites are doing their level best to ignore.

For those who care to look, the danger is obvious, yet the present calm creates the illusion that safety for Democrats is possible. Unfortunately, the damage coming is not like anything seen by the left or the right in generations. The damage promises to be so severe that existing labels of severity won’t suffice.

Right now, well before the coming Election Day cataclysm, there are 10 Senate races where Republican challengers are polling ahead of the Democrat incumbent. There are at least four other races where incumbent Democrats are at or below 50% support. There are 80 House races where the Democrats are polling below 50%, and in nearly half of those the Republican is ahead. Presently Democrats hold 26 governorships, yet according to existing polls, they lead outside the margin of error sufficiently to retain only 16 mansions.

Devastating numbers like these should be viewed by the party as an existential crisis.

It is ironic that this is the current state of affairs, as the Democrats have had quite a bit of time to prepare. Rather than acknowledge that their errors caused the political calamity, Democrats in Congress and their enablers in the White House have stubbornly announced that they can ride this out. Their willful refusal to accept the reality of the impending danger they face approaches suicidal. Their efforts to go on offense, including the “blame Bush,” “foreign donors,” or “extremist/racist” themes, are not only ineffective, they are rallying an already energetic GOP and independent electorate.

The warning signs have been steady, a long time in the making. The political Doppler system issued its first alert with the creation of the “Tea Party” movement, which spontaneously grew out of CNBC correspondent Rick Santelli’s rant on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange on February 19, 2009. The next sign was the surprisingly large number of “Tea Party” participants at an anti-tax rally on April 15 — media accounts reported over half a million participants nationwide. This was followed by a series of disruptive and boisterous town hall meetings through the summer of 2009 over the pending ObamaCare effort.

At the same time, President Obama’s approval ratings began their dramatic descent, a steady downward trend that would erase nearly 35 points of his public support and put him among the least popular presidents heading into a first midterm in 40 years. If you can imagine, the ratings of Congress plummeted even faster — first mirroring, then coveting the ratings of British Petroleum.

By the time of the sizable GOP victories last year in Virginia and New Jersey (states that Obama had carried in 2008) and the upset election of Scott Brown in Massachusetts this year, the die had been cast.

Throughout all of this, there has been no willingness on the part of leading Democrats to reassess their agenda.

Over the objections of the public and some Democrats in Washington, the White House and Nancy Pelosi used strong-arm partisan tactics to ensure that their legislative agenda ultimately passed. The public was treated to the Cornhusker Kickback and the Louisiana Purchase, actions that were a gross violation of the spirit and the letter of the president’s pledge to bring a new political tone to Washington.

A whopping 3 million more Republicans voted in this year’s primaries than Democrats, even though there are at least a third more self-identified Democrats than Republicans. This summer, pollsters like Gallup and Rasmussen began showing double-digit preferences for the GOP on the generic ballot.

But rather than repent, the White House pursued recrimination. Senior White House staff blamed progressive activists for being dispirited and ungrateful, attributing their behavior to political naiveté. Pledging that President Obama’s presence on the campaign trail would resolve any issues, the White House offered little to no real response to the changed political dynamic.

Congress would ultimately shift course and leave town early — with pending business left undone — in order to attend to its re-election.

It was at this point that the White House and senior Democrats began circulating the meme that the tide was turning. Calling their benefactors in the media, they explained that things weren’t as bad as they seemed. The new storyline was that the situation of Democrats was improving. Allegedly as more Americans paid attention to the upcoming election and realized just how out of the mainstream the GOP challengers were — the tantalizing message the White House suggested — voters resolved to vote for the Democrats. Combined with a newly resurgent left, suddenly Democrats were back in the game. None of this was true.

Independents have turned to the GOP at such unprecedented levels that pollsters report voters across the board give Republicans a double-digit preference over Democrats. In 1994, the generic ballot from the week of the election had the race dead even. On Election Day Republicans won by 7. Generic surveys now show an 8 to 15 point advantage for the Republicans.

Preferring deception to transparency, it will likely take a week or two before the media and Democrats admit that things are just as bleak or worse than they were thought to be in August. But by then it will be too late.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; dennismoore; elections; gopcomeback; kansas; kevinyoder; obama; palin
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1 posted on 10/15/2010 10:30:25 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin
I'll have what he's having!

2 posted on 10/15/2010 10:31:30 AM PDT by Genoa (Put the kettle on!)
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To: Kaslin
It’s Not a GOP Tsunami — It’s Bigger Than That

These kind of predictions make me nervous. I don't trust the Rats, at all.

3 posted on 10/15/2010 10:34:47 AM PDT by MissTed (Always borrow money from a pessimist. He won't expect it back.)
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To: Kaslin
I look forward to the media spin. I'm pretty sure that, no matter what the outcome is, the lessons will be as follows:

1) This wasn't a referedum on President Obama.
2) Republicans suffered losses, just as the Democrats did.
3) Voters were upset and just lashed out at everyone.
4) The only way to satisfy such angry voters is to increase government spending and move away from social conservatism.

4 posted on 10/15/2010 10:36:19 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy
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To: Kaslin

I am looking forward to my new Congressman in Kansas!
Kevin Yoder. replacing a rat named Dennis Moore.


5 posted on 10/15/2010 10:36:30 AM PDT by ncfool (The new USSA - United Socialst States of AmeriKa. Welcome to Obummers world or Obamaville USSA.)
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To: Genoa

Regardless of what the author says, it it very important to make sure that we will take the House and the Senate back, and we can not do that if we stay home or vote for third party candidates who have no chance of getting elected.


6 posted on 10/15/2010 10:37:58 AM PDT by Kaslin (Acronym for OBAMA: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: ClearCase_guy

4) . . . and adopt a more reasonable foreign policy to make the world a safer place.


7 posted on 10/15/2010 10:38:05 AM PDT by Genoa (Put the kettle on!)
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To: Genoa

“I’ll have what he’s having!”

Hehehehe, I will take a slice of it myself.


8 posted on 10/15/2010 10:38:10 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Kaslin

The people need to control their politicians from now on. Even the RINO’s have to go.


9 posted on 10/15/2010 10:38:18 AM PDT by RC2
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To: Genoa

We who believe in this Nation must come out and VOTE. No more 38% turn out! No more special interest group turn out—all Americans should make the trek to the polling place. Lets go for a 90% turn out! We are mad and we are going to change things—this time and in 2012. Out with the old and lets bring in new people and new ideas! Can’t do worse than what the knucklehead in power have done to us! Lets see if they like being unemployed for a change! VOTE! Maybe we need a few witches, and businessmen, remember Voodoo Economics worked!


10 posted on 10/15/2010 10:38:18 AM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
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To: MissTed; Kaslin

For me, the interesting aspect will be the “GOP” realization that it’s over for them as well (that whole business as usual thingy).

Question is, are they getting the message too ?


11 posted on 10/15/2010 10:39:24 AM PDT by onona (dbada)
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To: Kaslin

Working Americans only JUST tolerated having our pockets picked, for so long.
With “O” in office, we are being openly and brutally and mugged!

If we don’t do something NOW, their next move will be to kick down our doors!

I don’t know why, but some people just need a fire to be lit under them before they are motivated. Personally, I had enough way back, when!!!


12 posted on 10/15/2010 10:39:34 AM PDT by SMARTY ("..discover what your enemy fears most by observing the means he uses to frighten you")
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To: MissTed

I don’t either. They will do anything to keep their power.


13 posted on 10/15/2010 10:41:36 AM PDT by Kaslin (Acronym for OBAMA: One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: ClearCase_guy

You forgot the biggest one -

voter stupidity - the voters just aren’t smart enough to understand the superiority of the leftist agenda.


14 posted on 10/15/2010 10:41:56 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a (de)humanist and a Satanist is that the latter knows who he's working for.)
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To: Kaslin

This keeps up, I may want to stay up all night, just to watch the tide roll across the country. Wonder if I can get a half-day on Wednesday 11/3...hmmmm...


15 posted on 10/15/2010 10:41:56 AM PDT by BelegStrongbow (St. Joseph, patron of fathers, pray for us!)
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To: Kaslin

Talk is cheap. I’m not taking anything for granted until the day AFTER election day. I firmly believe that people deserve the government they elect. If we can’t muster and maintain this tsunami, our country’s best days are behind it. Let’s stay focused.


16 posted on 10/15/2010 10:44:20 AM PDT by jimmygrace
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To: Kaslin
I would love to believe this is all true and we change back to what we used to be. We've always had our flaws but NEVER flaws like this. Our government is corrupt and immoral. Our society is just as bad. Unless we truly turn to God ... this will be a temporary turn around ONLY based on MONEY. If the moral component is missing, we will be no better off.
17 posted on 10/15/2010 10:44:24 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: ncfool
Dennis Moore?!

Hand over all your lupins!


18 posted on 10/15/2010 10:44:24 AM PDT by RobRoy (The US Today: Revelation 18:4)
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To: Kaslin

Only actual votes cast and counted will count. Hopeful projections and rosy predictions mean nothing. The rats are not just rolling over and even if they ARE given a huge beating on 11/2 they will not just shut up and crawl away. The leftist media will still be there and working harder than ever to undermine the republic. And Hussein will remain in the White House at least until January, 2013.


19 posted on 10/15/2010 10:44:28 AM PDT by scory
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To: Kaslin

****Throughout all of this, there has been no willingness on the part of leading Democrats to reassess their agenda.****

Because they are the agenda and the agenda is them. You can’t have one without the other!!!

The essense of a Marxist, totalitarian, socialist, dictatorial cabal.


20 posted on 10/15/2010 10:45:11 AM PDT by sodpoodle (Despair; man's surrender. Laughter; God's redemption.)
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