Posted on 09/28/2010 8:55:19 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The odds-on favorite to win the GOP presidential nod in 2012 is none other than Sarah Palin, according to a statistical formula developed by Villanova University Prof. Lara Brown. The professor's figuring is bad news for presumed hopefuls like Rep. Mike Pence, Sen. Jim DeMint, ex-Gov. Mitt Romney, former Speaker Newt Gingrich, Gov. Haley Barbour, and former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton. Many simply joined the game too late, says Brown, author of the new book Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants, which studies every election since the founding. Others, like DeMint, are still brewing but won't be ready until 2016. As for Newt? "I don't think the GOP can forgive him," she says.
The book devises an "opportunism variable" based on the candidate's résumé to explain who wins the presidency and why. Palin has an advantage because she has been elected both mayor and governor. She also was a major party vice presidential nominee, giving her an enviable breadth of political experience. According to Brown, candidates who take risks and run for a variety of offices do well. It's even better if they lose a presidential race or two. "It takes about a run and a half to get there," Brown says. Pols "may think they can get it done in six months or a year, but [winning] will actually take them running, losing, and planting seeds," she says.
The RINO field will be too divided, it may not be a blow out, but if she runs, I think she will win.
Why would she want to take a cut in pay?
Oh for crying out loud rabscuttle...the McCain Palin ordeal died long ago...you keep resurrecting old and dead news from clear back in March of all times. One would think you have a “Palin” obsession....you post more about her than you do your own candidate...sheesh! or any other candidate for that matter.
Note: Will not be responding to anything you might consider posting in reply. Just for the record. What’s worse than the Democrate trolls are those who knock their own obsession.
WHO IS YOUR CANDIDATE FOR 2012?!
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Right now it is Palin. There are other very good potentials this time around, but Palin leads, easily.
Well, I’m hoping and praying. The last thing I want to hear Rush say in another election is ‘We are so screwed.’.
Country first. She’s a patriot with a servant’s heart. Ever think that might be one of the reasons she’s earned all the money so she could afford to be POTUS? (DUH).
Ain’t no stopping her now.
‘You really don’t know anything about politics do you, and how did you get “mentor” out of that?’
That was rather sad and inept wasn’t it? The first requirement for an effective hatchet job is a -sharp- hatchet. Oh well, one does one’s best I suppose.
Wait until after this election when you see Romney hit the campaign road, and then watch as several other weak on conservatism types are advanced as his back up, there will be a multi front attack against Palin.
They will be trying to isolate her and then attack her from several angles and perspectives, with some (future veep choices) competition brought in solely to step on her message and niche, and to attempt to cut her out and push her into corners.
There’s nothing wrong with just making money, you know.
I’m with #10. Ignore the riff raff.
There’s nothing wrong with taking a pay cut to serve one’s country either!
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Why are you so bad at reading people?
That won’t happen.
“But, right now, because of Rove and friends, I fear the old guard will try to give us anyone but Sarah. It’s not the Dems we have to worry about, it’s the old Republicans.”
You are so right. Since the instant Reagan left office.
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