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Sarah Palin's 2012 Opportunity
US News and World Report's Washington Whispers ^
| September 28, 2010
| Paul Bedard and Caitlin Huey-Burns
Posted on 09/28/2010 8:55:19 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The odds-on favorite to win the GOP presidential nod in 2012 is none other than Sarah Palin, according to a statistical formula developed by Villanova University Prof. Lara Brown. The professor's figuring is bad news for presumed hopefuls like Rep. Mike Pence, Sen. Jim DeMint, ex-Gov. Mitt Romney, former Speaker Newt Gingrich, Gov. Haley Barbour, and former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton. Many simply joined the game too late, says Brown, author of the new book Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants, which studies every election since the founding. Others, like DeMint, are still brewing but won't be ready until 2016. As for Newt? "I don't think the GOP can forgive him," she says.
The book devises an "opportunism variable" based on the candidate's résumé to explain who wins the presidency and why. Palin has an advantage because she has been elected both mayor and governor. She also was a major party vice presidential nominee, giving her an enviable breadth of political experience. According to Brown, candidates who take risks and run for a variety of offices do well. It's even better if they lose a presidential race or two. "It takes about a run and a half to get there," Brown says. Pols "may think they can get it done in six months or a year, but [winning] will actually take them running, losing, and planting seeds," she says.
TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; congress; cultofpalin; demint; gingrich; iampalinhearmeroar; iquitarod; jonestownredux; mittromney; obama; odonnell; palin; palinbotsassemble; palinkoolaidfactory; palinlovefest; pdsfoundhere; rabstrollsagain; rino; romney; romney4romney; sarahmcpalin; sarahpalin; teaparty
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To: Gargantua
Somehow I can sense sarcasm in your last post. lol
121
posted on
09/28/2010 10:24:09 PM PDT
by
GeronL
(http://libertyfic.proboards.com <--- My Fiction/ Science Fiction Board)
To: mkjessup
"Try not try..." Think not think? Write not write!
TOOL!!!!
ROFLMFWCAO!!!
8^D
122
posted on
09/28/2010 10:24:56 PM PDT
by
Gargantua
(Palin-Bachman 2012... just call it "Pa-Bach" :-)
To: Gargantua
Conclusion: you’re incapable of intelligent discussion.
Insults are all you’ve got.
That’s a shame.
123
posted on
09/28/2010 10:25:11 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: Gargantua; 2ndDivisionVet; mkjessup; rabscuttle385; Mojave
WHO IS YOUR CANDIDATE FOR 2012?!
I'm going with the hands-down winner;
Sarah "Barracuda" Palin, whom history will record as America's first woman and most amazingly accomplished President ever. That she will get so much vital work done for our Nation will be the uniquely unlikely combination of her own incredible abilities and the mammoth mountain of things that need doing quickly to right this badly listing ship of State. I can't believe you really said that. Surely you're tongue is planted in your cheek.
124
posted on
09/28/2010 10:25:39 PM PDT
by
EveningStar
(Karl Marx is not one of our Founding Fathers.)
To: Gargantua
How revealing. You seize on a typo, because you’re incapable of any intellectual engagement whatsoever.
You have met the ‘tool’, and the ‘tool’ is you.
125
posted on
09/28/2010 10:27:14 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: mkjessup
Man, your panties are so bunched up tonight we’re going to need a crowbar, jaws of life and possibly a winch truck to free them up!
To: onyx
To: mkjessup
Please quit whining and call the moderators already, the picture seems to have you pretty worked up, but there is no reason to keep bothering the rest of us with your fears, have it removed, or drop it.
128
posted on
09/28/2010 10:28:47 PM PDT
by
ansel12
([fear of Islam.] Once you are paralyzed by fear of Mohammedanism...you have lost the battle.)
To: The Cajun
Discuss the issues, if you can.
129
posted on
09/28/2010 10:29:01 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: mkjessup
Palin supported McCain out of loyalty. She probably considered the possibility of a Presidential run in making the Iowa governor announcement. Other than that, what RINOs did she endorse?
There was no way DeVore was going to win the GOP primary, let alone a CA general election. Palin wanted to stop Tom Campbell and she did.
Nathan Deal is conservative but totally corrupt. He left Congress prior to a potential ethics probe. He may be indicted before the November election. He is running neck and neck with the Dem and in GA he should be way ahead in 2010.
Lamontagne is to the right of Ayotte, but at the time Palin endorsed Ayotte Lamontagne was in single digits in the polls and liberal Republican Bill Binnie was closing fast on Ayotte.
130
posted on
09/28/2010 10:29:13 PM PDT
by
bwc2221
To: EveningStar
Dead serious, I'm afraid. She is almost inhuman at accomplishing the impossible and making it look
easy. I'm not kidding one little bit.
Even her most ardent supporters will be stunned by what she will get done in her first year as President. The woman is a dynamo, and she's an absolutely brilliant executive, administrator and motivator. You'll see.
The whole world will.
;-/
131
posted on
09/28/2010 10:30:55 PM PDT
by
Gargantua
(Palin-Bachman 2012... just call it "Pa-Bach" :-)
To: Gargantua
I'm going with the hands-down winner; Sarah "Barracuda" Palin, whom history will record as America's first woman and most amazingly accomplished President ever.
Doesn't it just make your skin crawl that so-called "conservatives" conduct running hate campaigns against such an honest and accomplished patriot on this website?
I sort of expect this behavior from left-liberals, but it just boggles the mind that people who count themselves among our number would find so much fault with this brave woman, who stands for everything the conservative right believes in.
132
posted on
09/28/2010 10:31:40 PM PDT
by
Windflier
(To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
To: mkjessup
Discuss the issues, if you can. I did, I did! See my post 126. Once we free them up, you should be ok.
To: EveningStar
"I can't believe you really said that. Surely you're tongue is planted in your cheek. " What's your candidate done? Palin has taken on Obama, the MSM, the feminists, the environmentalists, the GOP. Top that, and I'll be a convert.
To: ansel12; onyx; rabscuttle385; All
Please quit whining and call the moderators already, the picture seems to have you pretty worked up, but there is no reason to keep bothering the rest of us with your fears, have it removed, or drop it.
The graphic at #32 is offensive. And if having that pointed out 'bothers' you, that's just Tango Sierra.
I'll 'drop it' when I'm good and ready. I'm still waiting on your pal Onyx to explain exactly what sort of message she was sending to Rabscuttle385 when she put up that image.
Of course I understand why it would take time for Onyx to do that, since she's been so terribly busy posting so many redundant and already-seen pictures of her idol, but I'm a patient guy.
135
posted on
09/28/2010 10:33:38 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: mkjessup
Pass the tissues, if you
can, poor little whiney-bot. The "issue" is that you're a deranged little anti-Palin
tool. Now let's discuss!
8^D
136
posted on
09/28/2010 10:34:14 PM PDT
by
Gargantua
(Palin-Bachman 2012... just call it "Pa-Bach" :-)
To: The Cajun
I did, I did! See my post 126. Once we free them up, you should be ok. LOL. Exactly.
To: Gargantua
You didn’t just drink the Palin KoolAid, you snorted the powder right out of the envelope.
138
posted on
09/28/2010 10:37:01 PM PDT
by
mkjessup
(Jimmy Carter is the Skidmark in the panties of American history, 0bama is the yellow stain in front.)
To: mkjessup
"...but I'm a patient guy." Had me fooled. You whine like a beeyatch, pusscake.
;-/
139
posted on
09/28/2010 10:37:56 PM PDT
by
Gargantua
(Palin-Bachman 2012... just call it "Pa-Bach" :-)
To: mkjessup
I'm still waiting on your pal Onyx to explain exactly what sort of message she was sending to Rabscuttle385 when she put up that image. Pretty simple. Rabs has lost the political battle, and he needs to move on. Like you do too.
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