Posted on 09/17/2010 10:10:52 AM PDT by truthandlife
Campaigns hate it when I suggest they have their races won, so let’s include all the traditional caveats. In a New York minute, everything can change; every candidate is one gaffe away from self-destruction, October surprises may abound, the only poll that matters is the one on Election Day, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera.
At this point, the story of the election is the number of statewide races that were supposed to be competitive that aren’t. This morning’s poll in Ohio suggests that Ohio’s Senate race isn’t going to be all that competitive, and neither is the governor’s race. In Pennsylvania, Patrick Toomey leads by a bunch and Tom Corbett leads by a bunch more. Democrats will not be able to translate the Mark Sanford scandal into any serious traction in South Carolina’s governor’s race, and in that state’s Senate race . . . well, you know.
Michigan will not have a competitive governor’s race. There was a lot of talk that Democrat Bill White was capable of making the Texas governor’s race competitive, but so far he trails by a significant margin, except for the occasional outlying poll. Barring some dramatic change, Democrat Rory Reid will not make a serious run at Nevada’s governorship. In Tennessee, Republicans will win the governor’s mansion. In one of the great under-the-radar races of this cycle, Republican Paul LePage is a strong favorite to be the next governor of Maine. You can almost put Wisconsin in this pile, too.
The Missouri Senate race, once considered one of the perfect bellwethers, is looking increasingly like a Roy Blunt rout. The Florida Senate race looks much less competitive, now that Marco Rubio is up on the airwaves and kicking it into a higher gear.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
It’s not a rout. The Democrats are guaranteed to win in Delaware. Or so they say...
Nation and Delaware rejects extemist tea party movement
Sadly, I now view the articles in National Review in exactly the same way I view articles in the NY Times. With deep suspicion.
Don’t let up, folks. I won’t be satisfied until the Democrat Party is spoken of with less admiration than the Ku Klux Klan. I want the Democrat Party to be regarded on the same level of lepers.
I keep saying this over and over:
The Tea Party is We The People. That being Americans who want to live in Freedom without Big Brother deciding if we live or die via Death Panels.
We The People is The Tea Party aka American Patriots. There’s nothing extreme about any of us. If wanting to be free is Extreme, then count me in!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
If the liberal cap and Trade Mark Kirk loses and the conservative Brady wins the Governor mansion are the GOP establishment going to admit they threw away a winnable seat by selecting an unelectable liberal? ;-) Funny how I hear them whine about Christine and Angle but they are being awfully quiet about how Kirk is struggling in his Senate race.
I’d be okay with losing his seat too. Castle and Kirk were their two crowning glories for liberalism this cycle. I’d be okay in my estimation to lose both. We’ll still have undesirables like the guy in Indiana but he’s old and we can probably beat him out next time if he doesn’s retire and he’s not as bad as the other two. Even Fiorina wouldn’t be as bad as those two.
Ping
The establishment media has no credibility anymore. It’s just liberals talking to liberals and people of questionable IQ.
“I won’t be satisfied until the Democrat Party is spoken of with less admiration than the Ku Klux Klan.”
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They used to be the same thing in the South! All KKK members were Democrats but possibly not all Democrats were KKK members.
The Democrats need their own Tea Party movement to take their party back from the ruling class elites - just as what's occurring on the Republican side.
That is possibly the most significant difference between the right and left today. Our side is undergoing a reformation, and a return of our party to its founding roots, where no such movement exists for the the Democrat party.
WFB was the epitome of “checked pants country club Republican”. While I acknowledge the good work he did for conservatism and the English language, his patrician roots and over-exposure to the power structure caught up with him by the end of his career, when he advocated mandatory national service and lauded the UN.
I haven’t trusted NR for a long time.
Yes it would be. I think that there are a lot of supposed talking heads that supposedly play to the conservative crowd who just let it be known that they are more interested in being accepted by the DC insiders than anything they actually believe in their souls.
Look at Krauthammer. What a jerk. He may be right to support Castle during the primary by invoking the Buckley rule. But he waits until after the primary is over and invokes the Buckley rule to trash Odonnell? What kind of intellectual dishonesty is that? According to the Buckley rule --- at the point in time he was trashing Odonnell -- he was violating the Buckley rule because the Buckley rule would require him to support the Republican candidate who can win. At that point in time Castle was no longer an option. What a maroon.
What it is NOW will not be what it is in Nov...
The Democrats need their own Tea Party movement to take their party back from the ruling class elites - just as what’s occurring on the Republican side.
They did, thats what the netroots and moveon.org were.
The ones that were too dumb to make it into Education.
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