Key House Races - 28 August 2010 Update - Biggest Gains Yet by the Republicans

KeyHouseRaces.com ^ | 28 August 2010 | Interceptpoint

[campaignPete R-CT]

Kate,
Go Gibson Go!

from,
Pete
Tedisco ‘09, eastern Dutchess

[vaudine]

Hope Morris is right. I remember the pundits on the eve of the 94 Republican landslide of 54 seats. The brilliant ones were saying the Repubs would pick up 4 to 6 seats max. What a good laugh I had next day.

They are clueless.

vaudine

[Alas Babylon!]

Every week your thread is getting better and better. And I think the experts out there are noticing YOU, too.

I’ll bet you’re really enjoying yoursef, too!

[Stonewall Jackson]

Here in Kentucky, some of the local media have been reporting recently that Ben Chandler is in real danger of being knocked off by Andy Barr, his Republican opponent.

The 6th District went for McCain over Obama by a 55-43 margin two years ago, and while Chandler is a "Blue Dog Democrat", this race will probably be decided by less than five percent.

[InterceptPoint]

Dick Morris presaged on FOX this week that the GOP will pick up 80 Seats on November 2nd.
******************************
I heard him say that. But it still seems like a bit of a stretch to me. OTOH, 50 is starting to look like a real possibility. But right now we are at about 35.

[InterceptPoint]

We could take OH-02 off the list but ....... not yet. It is in the bag for sure.

[InterceptPoint]

Looking good. The Experts are still trailing the pollsters - as anticipated. A few more polls and you are going to break through that 39 seat pickup threshold.

[padre35]

10 days before the Election may have been when the trend starts in the past, I suspect we will see a sharper, earlier break this Election.

The Dhimmis have nothing to run on but Cash, and they do have a large amount of cash on hand, that is the one firewall they posses.

[InterceptPoint]

Goodbye Pelosi.
*****************
And hello to ??? Will the Tea Party force the choice of a true conservative as Speaker?

[InterceptPoint]

Illinois 11 is definitely leaning (R) Halvorsen is toast.
*********************************************
That’s my take. This one’s a winner - Kinzinger is a great candidate.

[InterceptPoint]

Every week your thread is getting better and better. And I think the experts out there are noticing YOU, too. I’ll bet you’re really enjoying yoursef, too!
*************************************
I confess -It is a labor of love. But it is a huge amount of work. And yes, the experts are noticing us. They should since we bug them enough. In fact we are a very convenient place for them to go to see how their competitors see the races. I think they do that.

[MSF BU]

If there is only one seat in play in NC, there is no great shakes comeing to the congress.

[NFHale]

Thanks for the ping, brother.

[InterceptPoint]

KY-06 is one of the most recent additions to our list (along with OR-05). It would be so nice to see this one flip to the Pubbies.

[Red Steel]

And hello to ??? Will the Tea Party force the choice of a true conservative as Speaker?

Well, Pelosi is on the bottom of the barrel of the 435 Congress critters. We are still going to get a considerable upgrade. It looks like we are going to get Boehner.

[spintreebob]

I agree on Schilling in 17; leaning his way. It is his to lose. Likewise with Kinsinger in 11 and Hultgren in 14. They’ll win unless they do/say something stupid and commit suicide (political).

IL 8 is the one where we blew the opportunity. For some reason the Republican primary voters chose a weak and flawed candidate. So it is our own fault that we lose that one.

Although unlikely, a Pollack win in Chicago is conceivable.

[usconservative]

That’s my take. This one’s a winner - Kinzinger is a great candidate.

I live literally next door to 11 and know a ton of people in that district. Not a single one is voting Halvorsen, they're all fed up with the D's and are willing to do anything to stop the Obama agenda. I suspect we're going to see alot of that come November 2nd (which can't come quick enough for me!)

[usconservative]

Likewise with Kinsinger in 11 and Hultgren in 14.

I'd caution against under-estimating Foster in 14. He took that district handily after Hastert retired, and that district had been solidly (R) for a very long time.

[okie01]

Well, Pelosi is on the bottom of the barrel of the 435 Congress critters. We are still going to get a considerable upgrade. It looks like we are going to get Boehner.

And is there anything wrong with that? A Minority Leader's job is to hold his caucus together. Boehner successfully accomplished that.

Some people object to him as an ineffective "spokesman". But that's not his job -- as a Minority Leader, nor as a Speaker.

The test will be whether he can continue to hold the caucus together and pass (and repeal) the legislation that we want -- in the face of united liberal opposition and a media assault.

It isn't about how he performs on camera, it's how he performs in the cloakroom.

[LS]

Thanks. Still a long way to go.