Key House Races - 28 August 2010 Update - Biggest Gains Yet by the Republicans

It was a BIG WEEK for our "Experts" and as usual the changes were highly favorable to the Republicans. We had a total of 55 updates this week, the largest number we've recorded for a single week. CQ Politics finally woke up up so we will lay off of them for awhile. RCP also came through with several updates. And Sabato has promised a major update on September 2nd.

The Master List has been updated to include the winners of all completed primaries The "Race at a Glance" entries on the KHR Home Page have also been updated to include the Arizona and Florida primaries and all funding data, polls and "Expert Ratings" have been updated as well. Our normal procedure is to update the financial data and Expert Ratings once a week but to update the poll data as we find it.

So please send us links to any poll data that you think we've missed. You can always see our latest 3 polls on the KHR Home Page and we also list the most recent poll for each district on the KHR Polls Page.

Here's the summary of the changes to our Experts' ratings:

There were a total of 55 updates this week to the 93 Congressional races that we believe are truly in play this year.
46 were favorable to the Republicans
9 were favorable to the Democrats

Those changes moved our index to -.177 from last weeks -.251. That's a very big jump and reflects the fact that the Republicans won this weeks rating upgrade race by a huge margin. Take a look at our KeyHouseRaces Experts Page to see where the changes in ratings were this week - lots of RED entries. For the newbies, the -.177 figure means that the average "Expert Rating" for every race on our list is rated a Toss-Up but slightly favoring the Dems. If the index gets into positive territory (where it seems to be heading) then the average rating for all 93 races would be Toss-Up with a Republican tilt.

Note that you can always see the latest changes and the current state of the "Expert" evaluations of all of the races on our Master List and an explanation of our methodology on the KeyHouseRaces Experts Page

We've added a new page to show the Master List in a ranked order last week and there is now a link to this page on KeyHouseRaces Home Page. The ranking is based on the average Expert Rating of each district by our six "Experts" with the Most Likely Republican Winners at the top and the Most Likely Dem Winners at the bottom. The fight for control of the House is in the middle of this list where the Toss-Up races meet the Leans Ds. That's the ones we have to win.

You can see the ranked version of the Master List HERE .

September 14: District of Columbia, Delaware, Massachusetts, Maryland, New Hampshire, New York, Rhode Island and Wisconsin

http://www.rightnation2010.com/

Glen Beck, Sarah Palin top speakers. But it is a who’s who of IL and National Conservative leadership.
Participants/Speakers/Panelists/Workshop leaders
Glenn Beck Author, Radio & Television Personality
Dick Armey Chairman, FreedomWorks
Bill Brady Candidate, Illinois Governor
Andrew Breitbart Founder, Breitbart.com
Herman Cain President, The New Voice
Teri Christoph Co-Founder, Smart Girl Politics
Robert Enriquez Candidate, Illinois Secretary of State
John Fund Senior Editor, The American Spectator
Isaac Hayes Candidate, US Congress IL-2
Pete Hoekstra US Congress, Michigan 2nd
Jim Hoft Proprietor, Gateway Pundit
Randy Hultgren Candidate, US Congress IL-14
Phil Kerpen Vice President for Policy, AFP
Steve Kim Candidate, Illinois Attorney General
Dana Loesch Host, The Dana Show
Stephen Moore Editorial Board, The Wall Street Journal
Teri O’Brien Conservative Radio Talk Show Host
Tim Phillips President, Americans for Prosperity
Jason Plummer Candidate, Illinois Lieutenant Governor
David Ratowitz Candidate, US Congress IL-5
Sandy Rios President, Culture Campaign
Aaron Schock US Congress
Joe Walsh Candidate, US Congress IL-8
Partners
National Americans for Prosperity
American Majority Freedom Works PAC
Leadership Institute Liberty.com
National Tea Party Federation
Republican
United Republican Fund
Chicago Young Republicans
Illinois House Republican Organization
Illinois Republican Party
Illinois Republican State Senate Campaign Committee
Indiana Republican Party
Iowa Republican Party
Lake County Young Republicans
McHenry County Young Republicans
Palatine Township Republican Organization
Republican National Hispanic Assembly of Illinois
Republicans of Wheeling Township
Wisconsin Republican Party
Conservative
Barrington Tea Party
Chicago Tax Day Tea Party
Chicago Tea Party Patriots
Cook County Tea Party
Dubuque Tea Party
DuPage Tea Party
Frankfort Tea Party
Homer/Lockport Tea Party
Illinois Center Right Coalition
Illinois Family Institute
Illinois Patriot Alliance, Tinley-Orland-Palos
Illinois Tax Day Tea Party
Illinois Tea Party
Joliet/Will County Tea Party
Jo Daviess County Tea Party
Lake County Tea Party
LeMont Tea Party
New Lenox Tea Party
Northern Illinois Patriots
Palos Tea Party
Schaumburg Tea Party and Schaumburg Tea Party Patriots
Tri-County-Teas
Business
ABC - Contractors for Free Enterprise
Design Resource Center
Master Impressions Printing, Inc
Native Sun Productions
Ozinga Brothers, Inc
Periodontics & Implants, Ltd
Ratio – Creative:Media:Solutions
Starcon International, Inc
Tranzact Technologies, Inc
Turtle Wax, Inc
Media
GOPUSA Illinois
Illinois Review
Kelly Truth Squad
Smart Girl Politics
The Conservative Magazine of Illinois
Individuals
Cedra Crenshaw
Senator Dan Duffy
Deb & Tim Kraulidis
Victor LaPorte
Senator John Millner
Paul Mitchell
Joe Morris
Senator Matt Murphy
Penny Pullen
Rafael Rivadeneira
Scott Sypolt
Blogger Row
American Princess
Cao’s Blog
Chicago News Bench
Gateway Pundit
GOPUSA
Illinois Review
Marathon Pundit
McLean County Blogger
Red County
Westside Blogger

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