Posted on 07/23/2010 6:37:48 PM PDT by TitansAFC
Via Conservatives 4 Palin, not only is this the best poll Ive seen for her this year, it comes from the august precincts of The Economist.
Dude, is this happening?
Sarah Palin 28% Mitt Romney 18% Newt Gingrich 17% Mike Huckabee 13% Mitch Daniels 4% Tim Pawlenty 1% Mike Pence 1% Haley Barbour 1% John Thune 1% No preference 17%
Thats a sample of Republicans, natch. Among tea-partiers, specifically, its Palin 26, Romney 19, Gingrich 16, and Huckabee 14. (Mitt does better among tea-partiers than among the GOP generally?) She also leads among a sample of all voters, albeit by only two points over Romney. Cant tell if this represents a surge for her or if hes simply fallen back a bit over time due to disgruntlement over RomneyCare, but great news for Palin supporters either way.
Do we dare discuss the bad news? From the crosstabs:
12. Do you think Sarah Palin would have the ability to be an effective president? Yes 28% No 51% Not sure 20%
* 18. What do you think is Sarah Palins main priority? Whats best for the country 23% Whats best for her family 18% Whats best for her career 49% Something else 9%
Thats among all voters, who split 41/31 for Obama in a head-to-head match-up and 30/54 on the question of whether they think its likely that Palin would beat him if she wins the GOP nomination. The one bright spot in the crosstabs? When asked if the media has been harder on her, treated her the same, or gone easier on her than other politicians, the split is 47/18/22. For Obama its only 32/21/37 and for Hillary its 27/34/28. In other words, even among a sample of the general public thats cool to the idea of her as president, theres plenty of sympathy for how shes been treated by the press. Thatll be a useful weapon for her if/when she runs and the frenzy of attacks begins, which explains why she was so sharp in rattling off her criticisms of the media to the Daily Caller yesterday. And its also a reminder of the point I made last week about her opponents needing to be careful not to condescend to her. No doubt some of this sympathy from the public is a backlash to media lefties unfairly accusing her of being some kind of dullard. That backlash can be transferred to candidates too, Im sure.
From Alaska morning radio, heres the latest on whether shes running next year or not. Skip ahead to 3:50.
IMHO those other three are classless/clueless RINO’s ....
THe only problem with this poll is that the number of people who pick her is the same as the number of people who think she could be President.
Which unfortunately means that she only gets support from people who want her to be president — she needs to find a way to convince those for whom she’s not the 1st choice that she could be a good president.
In my opinion, if she gets 51% of the people do decide she could be a President, she will also win, because I believe that for most people, the only reason they don’t support her is because they want a more experienced person to clean up the mess after Obama.
Do we dare discuss the bad news? From the crosstabs:
12. Do you think Sarah Palin would have the ability to be an effective president? Yes 28% No 51% Not sure 20%
* 18. What do you think is Sarah Palins main priority? Whats best for the country 23% Whats best for her family 18% Whats best for her career 49% Something else 9%
ping
“Another poll showing Palin pulling ahead of Romney.”
This is not so unexpected but unfortunately there are some pseudo conservatives on this forum that will mock these polling results. Oh well, opinions are just like bu!!holes; everyone has one!
Looks like the results of a popularity contest to me.
Okay, I'm scratching my head. 49 percent of Tea Partiers supporting RINOs?
Notice though, he uses the first poll to show she’s ahead, then quotes from a separate poll to push her down...
/s
I'm more befuddled that Allahpundit actually posted something in favor of Sarah.
Yes, I know.
But Obama polled at 19% just a year and a half before the election. It all changes once the nomination is settled. Both candidates start with 45%, realistically.
Step one is to win the nomination. No matter who you are, you have about a 50/50 chance from that point on. Nobody took Obama, Clinton, Reagan, or for that matter, Mondale seriously until the won their party’s nomination.
Could very well be. Never been a fan of polls, even when they show a fav ahead. Just don’t trust them.
Probably from the Liberal/Democrat side. How can a neighborhood activist be better qualified than a governor of a state that’s twice the size of Alabama and Arkansas from which two presidents came from .... mind boggling to me ...
Those are some oddball numbers.
Hey - those sound like PowerBall Picks!
why are Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee rating so high??
Send all three to the has been crowd!
i will sleep well tonight! thanks.
Another example of the media steering the electorate towards certain potential candidates.
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