Posted on 07/20/2010 5:31:26 AM PDT by DM1
Democrats this week have jumped into a 6-percentage-point generic-ballot edge for November’s election, according to a new Gallup poll.
Forty-nine percent of the 1,535 adults surveyed nationwide said they would prefer to vote for a Democrat to represent their congressional district. Forty-three percent are more likely to vote for a Republican.
Just more than a month ago, Republicans held a 6-point edge on Democrats in the poll.
Though the two parties have gone back in forth in Gallup’s generic ballot since the spring, Republicans have held a lead for most of the last three months.
The 6-point edge Democrats currently enjoy is the largest they have seen in months.
Democrats have yet to catch Republicans among independent voters, however, but are closing the gap.
Republicans hold a 4 percentage point edge among independents in this week's poll, 43-39 percent. Just a week before, Republicans led by 14 percentage points. In mid-June, Republicans led 52 percent to 31 percent among independents.
In her analysis, Gallup’s Lydia Saad speculated that the generic ballot bump for Democrats this past week could be due to the passage of financial reform.
“The financial reform bill is the second-biggest piece of legislation to get through Congress this year, after healthcare reform, and it enjoyed majority support,” Saad wrote. “According to a USA Today/Gallup poll in June, 55% of Americans were in favor of legislation expanding government regulation of financial institutions — including 72% of Democrats and 56% of independents. Only Republicans were generally opposed.”
I guess Gallop is galloping towards irrelevancy. Shoosh, how much does it cost to buy business’s integrity?
In a word, no.
The needle on my BS meter broke off and flew out the window.....
Well this is depressing
Just more than a month ago, Republicans held a 6-point edge on Democrats in the poll.
I question the validity of this poll. A 12 % swing in the way American think in just 4 weeks. I’ll bet the democrats internal polling doesn’t come any where near these figures. You will never hear about the real carnage in the democrat ranks.
Vacation time? People that didn’t do stupid things with their money take them.
Scroll down to the bottom for the methodology.
Exactly. I have been called a debbie downer many times, but just look around. Our nation is over.
Go to the mall, go shopping, go to any public event and look around. Look at the sad sack of obese, ignorant, dependant, and useless waste of space the average american is and you will understand why Dems will always win.
Its over and the best we can hope for is a break up of the nation and it seperates into parts where people who want tob e left alone go one place, and the rest go somewhere else.
50% pay no taxes and will always vote RAT. The GOP is useless and presents ZERO alternatives, minorities vote lock step for the dems but are never called racists themselves, etc.
Its over, deal with it.
The unemployment extension game Obama is playing is beginning to work in the ‘rats favor. Unfortunately, this says more about the pathetic state of the American populace than it does our government.
The politicians are not really the problem. They would have no power without the people who keep electing them. They are nothing more than proxy thieves who steal in their constituents’ names.
Our nation’s real problem is own our family, friends, and neighbors, who have no qualms about putting these proxy thieves in positions of power where they can steal from us at gunpoint with impunity.
I’ll stick with Rasmussen’s generic numbers which show Republicans with a sizeable advantage.
The GOP is beyond awful and has given the average person no reason to vote for them other than an anti-obama vote, which of course is justified.
But do you think the average person really wants mcconnell and boehner running anything? Those two are a joke.
Yup. i talk to many many people and by and large, people are dumber than ever, ignorant, don’t care, and just go along with what they perceive to be the popular thing.
The GOP is not a viable alternative, and by putting front and center people like McCconnel, Boehner, McCain, etc, is it any wonder people like Obama are in office?
To give you an idea of how meaningless it is to poll “adults” in a U.S. election year, there are approximately 170 million registered voters out of an eligible adult population of roughly 215 million (79%). Of those registered, about 60% (102 million) are considered “likely” voters in a Presidential election, and just 40% in a Congressional race such as this year’s. Even if you assume a likely turnout of 50%, that’s 85 million, or less than 40% of eligible “adults”. This subgroup tends to be older and more conservative than the broader population, as confirmed by years of polling data.
They DO oversample Dems in these polls.
Hi Russ in Pa. Do you have any info on how Pat Toomey is looking against Stestak?
“Well this is depressing.”
It sure is.
If it turns out to be an accurate prediction, the to-do list becomes:
1-Move to a state which does not contain a majority of self-proclaimed brilliant, intellectual geniuses in the form of Democrat party members.
2-Reserve a rental truck for the move to a state that does not have an income tax.
3-Work hard to eliminate New York accent.
4-Grow a beard.
5-Buy a wide-brimmed stetson hat.
The above list is a living, breathing document that changes with circumstances.
I'm afraid I cannot make a cogent argument against your conclusion.
We appear to be proving Will Durants quote, "A great civilization is not conquered from without until it has destroyed itself from within".
Results are based on telephone interviews with a random sample of 1,535 adults, children, household pets, lampshades, and dead people, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, selected using random-digit-dial sampling from Union membership rolls.
For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 0.0003% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±56.12 percentage points.
Samples are changed and results altered by gender, Democrat party membership, age, race, Communist party membership, Birkenstock ownership, Hispanic ethnicity, education, region, marijuana smoking, adults in the household, cell phone-only status, hatred of Republicans, cell phone-mostly status, and desire to blame Bush.
Get a grip, estrogen-boy.
And 40% of adults can’t name their congressman.
A push poll bought & paid for by Democrats.
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