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The Key House Races 2010 - 2 July 2010 Update
KeyHouseRaces.com ^
| 2 July 2010
| Interceptpoint
Posted on 07/03/2010 9:53:27 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
It's clearly half-time in the Primary Season and a Holiday Weekend to boot so we have naturally had a slow news week for the House Races. But we can report that Election Projection still sees a movement in the Dems favor that seems to be escaping the rest of the civilized world who see quite the opposite. As a result, our Index has been sent just a bit in the wrong direction - from last weeks -.353 to this weeks -.357. That's not much but it is due entirely to changes that Election Projection made in a few of the Key House Races.
We report, you decide.
Worth Noting: The runnoff election between Martha Roby and Rick Barber for the Republican nomination for Alabama's 2nd District will be held on July 13th, a week from next Tuesday. You folks in that district need to get out and vote for your favorite.
A week later on Tuesday July 20th Georgia will be holding their primary. We have Georgia's District 8 on our Key House Races list so we will be watching that one for sure.
We've updated our Master LIst of Key House Races to indicate the Georgia Primary as well as those in early August using our color coding scheme where LIGHT YELLOW indicates upcoming primaries and LIGHT GREEN indicates primaries that have been completed.
Here is the full schedule for August Primaries:
August 3: Kansas, Michigan and Missouri
August 5: Tennessee
August 10: Colorado, Conecticut, Minnesota and a Georgia Runoff if necessary
August 17: Washington and Wyoming
August 24: Alaska, Arizona, Florida and Vermont
August 28: Lousiana
TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: election2010; elections; keyhouseraces; khr
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To: Paleo Conservative
Is he any relation to Frances "Sissy" Farenthold of Texas who almost became George McGovern's VP Candidate in 1972? A guy with a gringo surname running against a Hispanic in Corpus Christi will be an uphill battle; don't ya think?
21
posted on
07/03/2010 9:29:46 PM PDT
by
no dems
(Palin/Jindal in 2012 or Jindal/Christie in 2012. Either is fine with me.)
To: InterceptPoint
Thanks for the ping. I appreciate it.
22
posted on
07/03/2010 9:35:25 PM PDT
by
Uncle Ivan
(Alea iacta est)
To: no dems
Is he any relation to Frances "Sissy" Farenthold of Texas who almost became George McGovern's VP Candidate in 1972? A guy with a gringo surname running against a Hispanic in Corpus Christi will be an uphill battle; don't ya think? "Sissy" Farenthold is his step-grandmother. His father Randy Farenthold was murdered in 1972 and his body was dumped in Corpus Christi Bay with his feet encased in concrete.
Nueces County has been trending Republican in recent election cycles. Congressman Solomon Ortiz is getting very unpopular in Nueces County, because the Ortiz family has gotten very heavy handed in running the county for their benefit and their friends in Robstown to the detriment of tax payers of the county as a whole. Congressman Ortiz' brother Oscar is on the Nueces County Commission. Prior to January 2009, he ran the County Commission with even though the County Judge is officially the head of the commission. Congressman Ortiz threatened to take away millions of dollars from the City of Ingleside in 2009 when the Republican majority removed Oscar Ortiz from the base closing commission. Congressman Ortiz refuses to meet with his constituents, and even refuses to appear on TV in his home media market.
If the 27th district were centered on Corpus Christi, Ortiz would lose. He still has strength in the Rio Grande Valley, but Farenthold is working diligently to pry voters away from the Democrats in Cameron and Willacy counties.
To: InterceptPoint
Please also remove me from this SPAM list.
I never asked to be on it.
To: Paleo Conservative
Well, it’s an off-year election and Obama is not on the ballot. Maybe there will not be much interest and the people who are really “fired-up” will get out and vote out the slime bucket.
25
posted on
07/03/2010 11:00:03 PM PDT
by
no dems
(Palin/Jindal in 2012 or Jindal/Christie in 2012. Either is fine with me.)
To: no dems
Well, it’s an off-year election and Obama is not on the ballot. Maybe there will not be much interest and the people who are really “fired-up” will get out and vote out the slime bucket. There were about 181,000 votes cast for Congress in district 27 in 2008 when Obama was elected. There were just 109,000 votes cast in 2006. What's interesting is that on the same night in 2006 when the DemocRATS took over the US House and US Senate, and Republicans lost control of the courthouses in Dallas and Harris counties, Nueces county elected its first Republican County Judge and Sheriff since Reconstruction.
In 2008, Republicans gained control of the county commission for the first time ever when Mike Pusley beat the incumbent, Peggy Bañales by 179 votes, 10,224 to 10,045. The control of the Texas House was also determined in a House race in a district partially contained in Nueces county. Former Texas House Repersentative Todd Hunter (late 1980's - early 1990's) beat first term incumbent Juan Garcia (Harvard Law classmate of Barack Obama, Navy pilot, and now Secretary of the Navy) in the most expensive Texas House race in history. That race made the partisan balance 176-174 in favor of Republicans. Had Hunter not won, the Texas House would have been tied, and the DemocRATS would have insisted on having a DemocRAT speaker.
In 2010, Nueces county has 4 Hispanic Republican candidates on the ballot, while there are just 7 in the rest of the state. We're hoping to pick up another county commissioner position and a state judgeship district. We picked up a Republican Hispanic District Attorney and Justice of the Peace due to a retirement and a resignation to run for a different office. The Republican controlled county commission had the opportunity to put Republicans in both those positions that opened up in the last year, and we hope to retain those positions in the election in November.
To: InterceptPoint; grellis; AdmSmith; Berosus; bigheadfred; blueyon; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; ...
Thanks InterceptPoint.
Maybe one topic per state a sort of under-one-roof approach would be a good idea as well?
27
posted on
07/04/2010 7:58:31 AM PDT
by
SunkenCiv
("Fools learn from experience. I prefer to learn from the experience of others." -- Otto von Bismarck)
To: Springman; sergeantdave; cyclotic; netmilsmom; RatsDawg; PGalt; FreedomHammer; queenkathy; ...
If you would like to be added or dropped from the Michigan ping list, please freepmail me.
Happy Independence Day, Michiganders!
The August 3 Primary is coming up fast. Even if you are not in one of the listed key districts, get out there and vote. And after your ballot is cast, wish me a happy birthday.
28
posted on
07/04/2010 8:43:24 AM PDT
by
grellis
(I am Jill's overwhelming sense of disgust.)
To: grellis
May GOD bless you Grellis. And have a blessed 4th. OH, and GOD Bless America! Hoo Rah!
29
posted on
07/04/2010 9:57:25 AM PDT
by
70th Division
(I love my country but fear my government!)
To: SunkenCiv
Maybe one topic per state a sort of under-one-roof approach would be a good idea as well?Try THIS. You can reach this page on KeyHouseRaces.com by clicking on the very top SPOTLIGHT ON menu.
To: grellis
Re: Michigan - 13: What are the chances that any of Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick’s opponents (John W. Broad, Vincent T. Brown, Hansen Clarke, Stephen Hume or Glenn Plummer) will defeat her in the August 3rd Primary? Who, of the 5, do you think is her strongest Primary opponent?
31
posted on
07/04/2010 4:18:46 PM PDT
by
no dems
(Palin/Jindal in 2012 or Jindal/Christie in 2012. Either is fine with me.)
To: InterceptPoint
32
posted on
07/04/2010 7:32:48 PM PDT
by
23 Everest
(Zero, Glittering Jewel of Colossal Ignorance. Day 73)
To: InterceptPoint
Please also remove me from this SPAM list.
I never asked to be on it.
33
posted on
07/05/2010 8:21:45 AM PDT
by
Dr. Thorne
(Buy Gold and Guns Now!)
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