Posted on 05/12/2010 10:07:33 AM PDT by FTJM
After the SUSA poll came out, Erick and I both wrote in support of Chuck DeVore. I can’t really speak for Erick, but I am sticking with Chuck because I believe he is the right candidate on the issues and the late movement in this race is all going to Chuck DeVore.
As the day progressed and the standard arguments fleshed out, I realized that Fiorina and Campbell are both in a bit of trouble going into this last month of the campaign.
Fiorina is collapsing in all of the meaningful groups, Campbell has hit his ceiling and will begin to decline shortly. This probably explains why the Fiorina campaign has been all but colluding with sketchy 527’s in order to attack Chuck DeVore.
This is DeVore’s race to win if he can capitalize on his opponents apparent weaknesses with the voters.
This takes people like those of you here at RedState to take the initiative to make phone calls for Chuck.
Below the fold is a breakdown of the SUSA poll by Joshua Trevino of the DeVore Campaign. Here are some key take aways from it.
Self Identified Conservatives, Pro-Lifers, and 2nd Amendment supporters are fleeing Fiorina like the plague. They aren’t going to Campbell, they’re going to Chuck.
You should too.
Aaron B. Gardner
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
But wait Palin endorsed Carly
this must mean that DeVore is a RINO and Carly the real conservative
Ouch.
“Fiorina is collapsing in all of the meaningful groups, Campbell has hit his ceiling and will begin to decline shortly.”
I just wish I could be excited about our prospects...this job is going to be really, really tough. I think DeVore is our best hope. Drill, build nukes, toughen up.
It’s a Palin Jedi mind trick.
iCarly would soon join Spectre, Jeffords et al on the other side
I like Sarah, but I am voting for Devore. I would wager that most in CA who support Sarah will be doing the same. Her endorsements don’t amount to much.
Me too and me too.
I’ll vote for DeVore.
I like Sarah, but we don’t need a “Kingmaker”.
He’s got my vote in the primary. . .
To quote directly from the SurveyUSA website: "The GOP battle to face . . .Barbara Boxer . . . remains essentially unchanged."
The facts are that Campbell is picking up 35% of likely primary voters, most of whom are from the left side of the Republican spectrum, i.e. those who agree with, or are unaware of, his pro-abortion, pro-gas tax, anti-gun, pro-gay marriage positions. Meanwhile Fiorina and Devore continue to share the conservative side of the Party, with Fiorina getting about 61% of those folks and DeVore getting about 39% of them. There is a very large undecided segment which will decide the race.
There will be more polls before election day. They will show the undecideds moving into the three camps. Campbell is unacceptable. Although I strongly support Fiorina, I will vote for DeVore if the last polls show that he has the best chance of defeating Campbell.
Conservatives MUST unite on this one. We cannot let Campbell win.
“Although I strongly support Fiorina,”
The question is WHY would any conservative support Fiorina?
Thanks, I’ll stick with DeVore instead of a McCain retread.
You wrote:
Although I strongly support Fiorina....AuntB's question to you was a good one. If you don't know what makes a statist, you need to get better informed. Carly is a Statist from her endorsement of cap and tax to her thinking that Internet speech needs to be regulated.
Once you can tell us you know what makes up a Statist, then come back here and tell us why you think Carly isn't one. Or you might come back and start praying that DeVore picks up votes fast, and maybe even do a bit more than pray for his victory.
The facts are that Campbell is picking up 35% of likely primary voters, most of whom are from the left side of the Republican spectrum, i.e. those who agree with, or are unaware of, his pro-abortion, pro-gas tax, anti-gun, pro-gay marriage positions. Meanwhile Fiorina and Devore continue to share the conservative side of the Party, with Fiorina getting about 61% of those folks and DeVore getting about 39% of them. There is a very large undecided segment which will decide the race.
There will be more polls before election day. They will show the undecideds moving into the three camps. Campbell is unacceptable. Although I strongly support Fiorina, I will vote for DeVore if the last polls show that he has the best chance of defeating Campbell.
I saw a few "mentions" of this poll from yesterday, or maybe early this morning. So, I went to the actual poll itself (its website and looked at what it says. There wasn't too much there, on the front page, but I picked up a little bit, anyway.
First, here were the threads I saw earlier on this particular poll, and some comments by other FReepers on both sides of the issue, either for Fiorina or Devore (I don't think you've got anyone here for Campbell ... LOL ...) ...
And that brings up an interesting question, if we don't have anyone here for Campbell (and I can surely see why not!)... I can't see how come he's got such a large lead with Republicans, then ... it's curious to me... because I can't see how that's so. If there's that large of a Republican voter group that is going for Campbell, that's not a good sign. But, then again, I hear from others, saying..., "That's California"... so ... :-)
Anyway..., here's the actual poll itself and what they said (on their website).
The GOP battle to face incumbent US Senator Democrat Barbara Boxer in November remains essentially unchanged. Today, former Congressman Tom Campbell defeats former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, 35% to 24%. State assembly member Chuck DeVore gets 15%. Limited movement since SurveyUSA's previous poll. 23% are undecided: Among men, Campbell had led by 8 points, now leads by 12; among women, Campbell had led by 5, now 10. DeVore is up 5 points among voters age 18 to 49, Campbell is down 5, Fiorina is down 10. Among voters age 50+, Campbell is up 6. In California's Inland Empire, Fiorina had led by 6 points, now trails by 5. Campbell's lead in the Bay Area is now smaller, but his lead in greater Los Angeles is now larger.
Now, what they said is ...
Campbell - 35% Fiorina - 24% DeVore - 15% Undecided - 23%
And that brings up an interesting question, if we don't have anyone here for Campbell (and I can surely see why not!)... I can't see how come he's got such a large lead with Republicans, then ... it's curious to me... because I can't see how that's so.That's a damn fine observation by Star Traveler. Anybody know how it's possible that the poll is registering over 30% for Campbell and virtually nobody on FR is actively fighting for him? Could the Union vote cross-over -- not typically present here at FR -- be THAT large?
Who at FR is our resident poll expert? Oh how I miss Calcowgirl!
LOL.
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