Posted on 04/30/2010 7:41:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
The Gallup Poll generic congressional ballot of registered voters shows that those supporting Republicans and Democrats are in a statistical tie, with Republicans at 46% and Democrats at 45%. The real story, though, is the huge advantage that Republicans have in enthusiasm about voting. Gallup shows 57% of those supporting Republicans as very enthusiastic and only 37% of those supporting Democrats as very enthusiastic.
Several weeks before, the Marist Poll published a revealing profile of New York voters. The partisan breakdown of those "very enthusiastic" about voting this November showed these percentages: Republicans (34%), Democrats (25%), and Non-Enrolled (20%) -- a modest edge for Republicans. The enthusiasm of New York voters widened significantly when the ideology of the voter was considered: 38% of conservatives were very enthusiastic about voting; 22% of moderates felt the same; and only 18% of liberals were very enthusiastic about voting. The left in America is demoralized. This slide will continue, for several reasons:
The War on Something-or-Other. Obama must keep troops in Iraq and in Afghanistan. He must respond to Iran's drive to become a nuclear power. Many of his supporters disapproved of the Bush Doctrine, but they will want an Obama Doctrine that keeps America and Israel safe. Obama has no such plan. He will be forced to adopt a watered-down, disguised Bush Doctrine. This is what Democrats over the last fifty years have done. Recall the muddled mess of LBJ and Vietnam, Jimmy Carter and Iran, and Bill Clinton in Somalia. Articulating the case for America comes easy to Reagan conservatives but hard to McGovern leftists. After years of bashing Bush, Obama must follow his lead, and that will leave his cadres bitter.
Been there; done that. When Barack Obama became president, millions of Americans who did not support his radical leftism smiled that white America had elected a black president. However, once Obama was elected, the mystique vanished. We have seen this before. Carter in 1976 was the first candidate from the Deep South since the Civil War. He was an evangelical Christian who spoke openly about his faith. In 1976, Carter carried every state of the Confederacy except for Virginia and Texas, both of which he almost carried. Many Southerners and evangelicals saw Carter's election as curing an old bigotry against them. Carter won because of those voters.
But what happened in 1980? Carter lost every state in the South except for his home state of Georgia. Now, having a Southerner on the presidential ticket means as little as having a Catholic or a Jew or a woman on the Supreme Court. Since Carter left office, six Southerners have been on the presidential ticket: Bush, Bentsen, Clinton, Gore, Bush, and Edwards. Conservative Southerners have carried the South, and leftist Southerners have lost the South. "Been there; done that" seems to be the attitude of Southerners since Carter. Voters who supported Obama as the first black president have made their point. Next time they will stay at home or vote for the policies and not the man.
Jilted friends. Obama is drawing heat from big labor, who feel that he has done little for them. Gays heckle Obama, feeling also that they have been jilted. "Civil libertarians" bemoan his continued use of some of the "Bush" tactics against terrorists. Environmental radicals yelp when he even ponders more drilling for oil. Feminists (pro-abortionists) are upset about the Stupak compromise on abortion, meaningless though it is. These jilted friends are not going to vote Republican, but they are less likely to contribute or to campaign for someone they see as a feckless friend.
How radicals triangulate. Republicans will make big enough gains in November to deny Obama the luxury of ignoring them. Clinton after the Republican landslide of 1994 was able to "triangulate" -- to appear to place himself between conservatives and the left. But Clinton professed to be a moderate. As the multi-term governor of a conservative state, Clinton learned his magic trick well. Obama, however, is to the left of much of the Democrat Party. When Republicans push popular conservative measures like repealing health care, cutting taxes, and aggressively drilling for oil in America, the triangulation will leave Democrats like Mary Landrieu and Ben Nelson in the middle. Obama, Pelosi, and Reid (or the new Democrat floor leader) will be the far corner of the triangle. Obama can either appear hapless or "sell out." Either course will demoralize his supporters.
Messiah fatigue. The president is almost as ubiquitous as Big Brother in 1984, but he does not reign over Orwell's Oceania. Every redundant or pointless appearance Obama makes diminishes him. Americans know all about advertising and self-promotion. We are savvy about oversold products, particularly political products like Obama, who works in an utterly scripted and unchallenged public environment. This fatigue affects Democrats, too. All Americans bore easily when the same face is saying the same things. It does not help that these hoary nostrums of Obama are more than a century old.
The demoralization of the left will affect 2010, but the biggest bite could be in 2012, when Obama faces voters again. If an Obama Malaise keeps growing after 2010, that could embolden leftist Democrats to challenge him for the nomination -- that happened to Johnson in 1968 and to Carter in 1980. We have a chance, and we must not throw it away. Now is the time to be energized, be bold, and be sure. If the left is tired, scared, and unsure, then that is our chance to reclaim America. Carter led us to Reagan. Obama may lead us to a similar victory.
-- Bruce Walker is the author of two books: Sinisterism: Secular Religion of the Lie and his recently published book, The Swastika against the Cross: The Nazi War on Christianity.
“Messiah fatigue”—best new catch phrase of the year.
They are demoralized and they are scared to death of what they have aroused from the right and center in this country.
The author assumes the Dems will retain control of both houses of Congress.
And now the left will have to change their long standing tactics of lying, stealing and cheating to more intense tactics of Alinsky-sleaze lying, Rangle-level stealing, and ObamaLoon cheating.
There is only one problem with this analysis; Republicans haven’t got a Reagan and there is no one in the field (as yet) like him and Reagan had decades of writing, speaking and two terms as governor of the largest state. Just so we don’t end up with yet another Bush.
Now that he’s officially the man that dithered while the Earth succumbed to the greatest environmental disaster of all time, I would guess this will not help to “energize” his base.
We are peaking too soon. The MSM will be working on any conservatives relentlessly from now until election time.
This is going to be the biggest race, class and gender baiting that we have ever seen. Plus evil big finance, big oil etc. If a conservative or free enterpise gets even one positive sentence in the press or on the news, I will be surprised. They will try to scare GOPers with being labled racists and radicals.
In order to be “demoralized”, first one has to have morals ................
In the campaign, Obama’s soaring rhetoric raised unrealistic expectations for many of his voters.
Many expected a post-racial society and a breakdown of old barriers and rivalries, we’ve received exactly the opposite.
Many poor and minorities expected significant improvements in their relative affluence. It just didn’t happen.
Obama has pursued and passed a radical agenda, but it just isn’t producing the fruit that his *supporters* expected or the visible change they were hoping for.
His politician supporters are pleased with the progress but are just very, very anxious that they bit off far too much.
March 2009 I was in Springfield, Il for a conference and the libs were riding high, this year I go back for another conference no libs in sight. Their one shot and done is over now the bills are due and the cash register is empty.
The right is pathetic when it comes to dealing with the race card, they should recognize what demagogery is and this anti-white hysteria is nothing that tyrants and maniacs have not done for eternity. Stopped the damned groveling and attack these evil bastards for their “racism.”
No one is perfect including Ronald Reagan. Just think about his ‘failed’ first marriage, his 2nd marriage to Nancy who is not as conservative as most of us, and his children with Nancy who are not exactly conservative standard bearers.
I think there are many good and qualified candidates on the horizon including Sarah Palin, Michelle Bachmann, and Paul Ryan. Any and all of those three can articulate a new vision for America that is based on our foundational documents.
Good, decent, honest, God loving, America loving men and women are out there and will come forward if we encourage them. I am hopeful that more stars will step out of the shadows before 2012.
But we can’t let ‘perfect’ be the enemy of ‘good’. (Or is that the other way around?)
The GOP elites are already pushing Romney, who will cement in place Obama's version of Romneycare. Without question, the GOP will nominate a RINO loser again. Remember, Bush squeeked in on a fluke both times - he had opponents who were cartoon characters. Wouldn't it be easier to rebuild if we let Nero finish the job of burning Rome to the ground?
He likely won't run. There is NO POSSIBLE WAY that Obama’s natural born status can be ignored. Obama’s natural born status is a great big, stinking, mass of rotting road kill blocking the way to the election booth. Anywhere from 40% to 50% of the nation have serious questions about Obama’s natual born status.
Obama will need to fully prove that he his a natural born citizen. If he doesn't this 40% to 50% will not let the issue rest. Palin is absolutely correct. She won't need to bring it up. The American people will.
So,....If Obama were a natural born citizen he would have proved it by now.
1) He would not allow a decorated officer ( LTC Larkin) risk court martial and prison over the issue. He would do what an honorable man would do. He would simply release his documents and be done with it.
2) He wouldn't be wasting and misusing Department of Justice attorney time and this department's resources to block release of **common** documents that unanointed American provide every day for many reasons.
An honest and honorable man would not WASTE these resources at a time when plots were being laid to KILL soldiers on their bases and recruitment centers, and blow planes out of the sky.
Finally,...What I find amazing is that 40% to 50% of the population know about the issue. This is in spite of a near total blackout by the mainstream media ( Marxist media) and the conservative weenie media. ( That means Rush and the rest.) Americans know about Obama’s eligibility through simple word of mouth and the Internet alone. Amazing!
Sarah Palin comes close: that's why the left and their media allies are working day and night to utterly destroy her.
That’s right, they’ve been told legends about the sixties. They have never had to come face to face with the no longer silent majority. It is terrifying them. Or like Pastor Manning says,
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIj6qTu4LtI
The right is inherently
1) civil
2) of a live and let live mentality
However, the left has pushed too far now, and we’re now the gracious host of the party finally telling the boorish guest it’s time to go.
yep
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