[Impy]

Why is Putnam’s (R) seat up there? It’s GOP now and it’s gonna stay that way.

And Debbie Wasserman Schultz, I hope she’s vulnerable but probably not. Pretty rat seat.

Florida 19 is worth a mention since they have a special election coming up. It’s a rat seat also but if you’re gonna list the 20th this should be there too. Needs immediate attention.

http://www.electlynch.com/

InterceptPoint you’re gonna need a bigger table.

We have dozens of top tier targets and many more second tier races that could end up GOP. The rats have a serious chance at only 3 GOP seats.

I list a few (or 30) races not on your chart. Some are second tier. Some are gimmies.

Alabama 2 (Bobby “not so” Bright) http://www.martharoby.com/

Arkansas 3 (open)

CA 27 (Lorretta Sanchez) http://www.joinvantran.com/

Colorado 7 (Perlmutter)

CT-2 (Courtney)

CT-4 (Himes)

CT-5 (Murphy)

Georgia 8 (Marshall) (paging Mac Collins)

Florida 22 (Klein) http://allenwestforcongress.com/

Florida 24 (Kosmas)

Hawaii 1 (Open) Special election coming up. Rat vote is split. Huge Obama district but 48% Bush in 2004, big for the GOP Governor too. http://www.djou.com/

Illinois 8 (Bean) http://walshforcongress.com/

Illinois 11 (Halvorsen) http://www.electadam.com/

Illinois 17 (Hare) http://www.bobby2010.com/

Iowa 3 (Boswell)

Kansas 3 (open)

Mass 6 (Tierney) http://www.billhudakforcongress.com/

Mass. 10 (open)

Michigan 7 (Schauer) http://www.walbergforcongress.com/Home.aspx

Michigan 9 (Peters)

Minnesota 1 (Walz)

Louisiana 3 (Open) (gimme)

Mississippi 1 (Childers) http://www.nunneleeforcongress.com/

Missouri 4th (Skelton)

Nevada 2 (Titus)

New Hampshire 1 (Shea-Porter) http://www.teamguinta.com/

New Hampshire 2 http://jenniferhorn.org/

New Jersey 3 (Adler) http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=176699354878

New Mexico 1 (Heinrich) http://www.jonbarela.com/

New Mexico 2 (Teague) http://www.peopleforpearce.com/

New York 1 (Bishop) http://randyaltschuler.com/

New York 20 (Murphy)

New York 23 (Owens) http://www.doughoffmanforcongress.com/temp/index.html

New York 24 (Arcuri) http://www.richardhannaforcongress.com/

New York 29 (open) Special election coming up http://www.tomreedforcongress.com/splash

North Carolina 8 (Kissell)

North Carolina 11 (Shuler)

North Dakota AL (Pomeroy) Rick Berg (no site up at present)

Ohio 13 (Sutton) http://www.tomganley.com/

Oregon 5 (Schrader)

Penn 4 (Altmire) http://www.marybethbuchanan.org/

Penn 8 (Murphy) http://www.fitzpatrickforcongress.com/

Rhode Island 1 (open) http://www.johnloughlin.org/

South Dakota AL (Herseth)

Texas 17 (Edwards)

Texas 23 (Rodriguez)

Utah 2 (Matheson)

VA 2 (Nye)

VA 9 (Boucher) http://www.delegatemorgangriffith.com/

VA 11 (Connolly) http://keithfimian.com/

Washington 3 (Open)

Is that 3 rats named Murphy? Too many. Lets beat them all.

IL 12 (Costello) is a big longshot but being in my state I’ll post our candidate’s website.

http://www.voteforteri2010.com/

IL 9 is an even longer shot more like no shot but....

http://www.pollakforcongress.com/

[InterceptPoint]

InterceptPoint you’re gonna need a bigger table.

No kidding. This is a big bite for me and I'm sure it is as well for randita, who is doing all the research.

Many of the problems you mention are being fixed. I will issue an update later today or early tomorrow morning at the latest. We are adding to the list and taking some of the Safe-Dem races off the list. There are a few exceptions to the Safe-Dem rule, at least temporarily, where we have had a strong recommendation from a Freeper who has some polling data as a basis. It is a given that this list will evolve over time and will be in a bit of a flux for quite awhile. But I'm in the game for keeps. This is an important election and we have to win it big.

[InterceptPoint]

Should we take your links to be the equivalent of recommendations?

This is a serious issue for us since we have most of the Republican primaries simply flooded with candidates. As a result, picking the good and capable candidates from the not-really-serious-contenders is a not going to be easy. And I believe that it is important that we do what we can to influence the Republican primaries by supporting good conservatives who can win in November.

And Freeper recommendations go to the head of the list on our chart which really can't show all the candidates without getting unwieldy. So we are obviously counting on Freepers helping us weed out the non-competitive candidates.

The last thing we need is for the Tea Party vote to split opening the way for a herd of RINOs to walk off with this election. We can't let that happen.

[campaignPete R-CT]

northern Maine and NY-19 Hall

[MitchellC]

We also have a serious shot at NC 2 (Etheridge). Some of the major NCGOP people are working with Renee Ellmers. http://reneeforcongress.com/

I think in a 1994-like year with a very good candidate, we'd have a good shot at NC 13 (Miller), but right now I'm disappointed in the field we have there.

In NC 8 (Kissell) it's starting to look like long-time Charlotte sportscaster Harold Johnson (http://voteharoldjohnson.com/) has the best shot. NRCC Young Gun, Col. Lou Huddleston (http://www.votehuddleston.com/) is just putting along, raising very little money, though I'm hearing rumors that he's a RINO anyway. Tim D'Annunzio (http://www.timvote.com/) has thrown around his personal fortune but he's a complete lunatic - he walked out of a debate a few weeks ago after the moderator wouldn't let him break the rules, then a week later got into a physical altercation with a state Rep. I like Hal Jordan (http://www.haljordanforcongress.com/). I think he'd be the most conservative of the sane candidates, but he's kind of lost in the crowd and I'm not sure he's a good fit for this district.

In NC 11 (Shuler), the only candidate with any shot is Jeff Miller (http://jeffmiller2010.com/), founder of the Honor Air program. Hendersonville mayor Greg Newman is too much of a RINO (and he looks, sounds and acts just like the mayor from the Simpsons), while the other candidates don't seem to have a clue.

[Arthur Wildfire! March]

I think Va5 is vunlerable too, Perriello. He has problems down here. I assume your estimates are conservative?

[InterceptPoint]

Jon Runyan for Congress

Are you sure this guy has a chance. No real campaign website. Is he really the best choice? Can he win. Will he win?