If I was a betting man, I would definitely take this bet because I still don't think this thing is going to pass.
Posted on 03/19/2010 2:45:56 PM PDT by truthandlife
ll 'Obamacare' health care reform become law in the United States? 'Obamacare' health care reform (see contract rules) to become law before midnight ET 30 Jun 2010
If I was a betting man, I would definitely take this bet because I still don't think this thing is going to pass.
does intrade trade with real dollars?
It does trade with real dollars. It is pretty volatile though. You have to wait until the last day to get a good idea. Scott Brown’s intrade numbers didn’t look good until the end. I was in China and when I woke up at 7am there but 6pm east coast time, I was assured that he’d win based on his intrade numbers (about 90% if I recall).
Intrade seems a bit biased against republicans. I have a feeling that Soros & co manipulate it.
Please note that this says something nebulous called “obamacare” will pass by June 30th. This 80% figure IS NOT the probability of something passing this weekend, or in fact anything like what is on the table passing. I would put that more at about 50% or maybe a little less right now.
But even if obama loses this weekend, he will water something down and probably get something or other passed by June 30. I would agree with this 80% figure given the actual definition of the event being so nebulous.
They had Brown losing almost till the end. I think he broke 50% about 36 hours before election day.
Its no surprise the odds favor pass on that site. People are getting their news from the msm which wants it to pass and is coloring their reporting.
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