does intrade trade with real dollars?
It does trade with real dollars. It is pretty volatile though. You have to wait until the last day to get a good idea. Scott Brown’s intrade numbers didn’t look good until the end. I was in China and when I woke up at 7am there but 6pm east coast time, I was assured that he’d win based on his intrade numbers (about 90% if I recall).
Intrade seems a bit biased against republicans. I have a feeling that Soros & co manipulate it.