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New Wenzel Report sees the Republican Wave washing over Ohio
The Collins Report ^ | January 21, 2010 | Fritz Wenzel

Posted on 01/21/2010 6:03:26 AM PST by jmaroneps37

The latest Wenzel Strategies polling shows the wave of GOP ascendancy that started last year and washed over Democratic strongholds in New Jersey and Massachusetts is now on display in Ohio.

Kasich’s healthy lead

In recent polling, I found that incumbent Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland trails Republican challenger John Kasich by 10 points, 43% to 33%. In prospective U.S. Senate races between Republican Rob Portman, a former Bush cabinet member, and Democrats Lee Fisher and Jennifer Brunner finds Portman leads each by a handful.

A few short months ago, Democrats led in all of these races. Polling here reveals a national trend, but instead of being a trailing indicator behind New Jersey, Virginia, and Massachusetts, Ohio has actually been leading the way. We saw softness in support for Ohio Democrats last summer. While voters in Massachusetts were telling pollsters the biggest issue – far and away – is national health care reform, the discontent in Ohio runs far deeper. In truth, it never left after Ohioans tossed Republicans from office in 2006.

Voters here are upset about the languishing economy. Despite political promises, Ohio’s economy has never really come back from the recession a decade ago. So the question is can Ohio Democrats regain control of their own destiny before November? The honest answer is – probably not. So much of national – and Ohio – politics the last five years has been based on a campaign slogan that could best be described as: “Vote for Us – we’re not as bad as the other guys!” While that can get you elected in a negative political atmosphere, it seldom gets you re-elected – a lesson Ohio Democrats appear poised to learn the hard way.

Ohio: the bellwether state..

(Excerpt) Read more at collinsreport.net ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: ohiopoll; wenzel
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Fritz Wenzel is uses Likely Voters in his surveys so this data is very significant although not surprising.
1 posted on 01/21/2010 6:03:26 AM PST by jmaroneps37
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To: jmaroneps37

Rob Portman will have a tough time winning, we are 10 months out and the campaigns have not really started yet.

Portman was a GWB trade rep, it will be rather easy for the Dems to paint him with “Portman wants to ship your job to china” brush..


2 posted on 01/21/2010 6:06:50 AM PST by padre35 (You shall not ignore the laws of God, the Market, the Jungle, and Reciprocity Rm10.10)
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To: jmaroneps37

Here’s the problem for the GOP:

As long as they keep singing from the “Free trade ueber alles!” songbook, they will be able to do nothing and deliver nothing for the Ohio economy.

While the DNC are wholesale economic jihadists, the GOP are merely clueless adherents to a theory that doesn’t work. So for the people it is a choice between those who are happy to put people out of work and people who are clueless why people are out of work.


3 posted on 01/21/2010 6:07:16 AM PST by NVDave
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To: jmaroneps37

Dems in Ohio involved in ACORN need to go to jail after Repubs win. Same thing in Florida. Charlie Crist needs to go to jail for his involvement with Scott Rothstein’s $1.2 billion ponzi scheme. Crist should be in jail with Scott.


4 posted on 01/21/2010 6:07:32 AM PST by Frantzie (TV - sending Americans towards Islamic serfdom - Cancel TV service NOW)
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To: jmaroneps37

A word to the wise.

This IS NOT a Republican wave. It’s an anti-Democrat, wish for smaller government, and lower taxes.

Republicans who win, and go back to business as usual will be thrown out just as the current crop of Democrats is about to be pitched.


5 posted on 01/21/2010 6:14:07 AM PST by brownsfan (The average American: Uninformed, and unconcerned.)
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To: jmaroneps37

I think we will see a lot of states booting out Democrats.

Did you see Obama’s polling numbers from California? wow.


6 posted on 01/21/2010 6:14:42 AM PST by GeronL (http://tyrannysentinel.blogspot.com)
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To: NVDave

As long as they keep singing from the “Free trade ueber alles!” songbook, they will be able to do nothing and deliver nothing for the Ohio economy.

I don’t think so, the polls show bammy is toxic with white blue collar voters. Remember, this was the constituency that Hillary thought she had sewed up. While it would be wise for a Republican to steer clear of “free trade” in the near term, I think this election will be one of realignment to the Republicans by the white blue collar voter. I don’t believe bammy has enough “stimulus” left to spread around fast enough to buy support from these voters. My guess, dems take it in the neck in 2010. Reason: bammy’s narcissism will not allow for a public reassessment of his failings. Remember, its all Bush’s fault.


7 posted on 01/21/2010 6:16:32 AM PST by equalitybeforethelaw
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To: NVDave

“So for the people it is a choice between those who are happy to put people out of work and people who are clueless why people are out of work.”

Well said!

For years, some of us on FR have warned that wholesale movement of jobs overseas is bad. The free trade crowd would tell us how it’s good, even with the uneven playing field. They’d call us names, tell us to join the DU, etc.

Now we’re in a recession, and one of the problems to climbing out is we don’t have a manufacturing base robust enough to drive the economy. This wasn’t all that hard to see coming.


8 posted on 01/21/2010 6:20:06 AM PST by brownsfan (The average American: Uninformed, and unconcerned.)
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To: brownsfan

You got that right. NO RINOS!


9 posted on 01/21/2010 6:20:58 AM PST by Blue Turtle
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To: jmaroneps37

There’s a long time to go ‘til November. Before then, we are going to see “Obama the amazing deficit cutter” and “Obama, the terror of Wall St.”


10 posted on 01/21/2010 6:23:04 AM PST by ModelBreaker
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To: jmaroneps37

I would prefer a conservative in senate then a republican as governor. Clearly I would vote for both.


11 posted on 01/21/2010 6:23:06 AM PST by free1977free
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To: free1977free

We’re lucky in Ohio, we’re getting both. Conservative Senator and Governor.


12 posted on 01/21/2010 6:31:09 AM PST by Recon Dad ( USMC SSgt Patrick O - 3rd Afghanistan Deployment - Day 93)
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To: padre35
Rob Portman will easily win this seat hands down.

(remember where you heard it first. ;)

13 posted on 01/21/2010 6:36:27 AM PST by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free)
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To: Las Vegas Dave

Ohio ping


14 posted on 01/21/2010 6:39:02 AM PST by GWMcClintock ("When the foundations are being destroyed, what can the righteous do?" Ps.11:3)
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To: jmaroneps37

Kasich is a decent candidate. Much, much better than the commie Strickland whose cronies sought to take down Joe the Plumber for simply asking a question of Obambi. He’s also light years ahead of Taft whose policies drove people to vote for Strickland in the first place.


15 posted on 01/21/2010 6:47:07 AM PST by meyer (Government health care = national strike.)
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To: NVDave
As long as they keep singing from the “Free trade ueber alles!” songbook, they will be able to do nothing and deliver nothing for the Ohio economy.

Free trade isn't killing the Ohio economy - it's unions, illegal immigrants, and hyperregulation on the part of the government that is killing it. Along with the rest of the country.

16 posted on 01/21/2010 6:49:02 AM PST by meyer (Government health care = national strike.)
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To: jmaroneps37

I am expecting Kasich to beat Strickland and to have coattails, pulling along other Republican candidates.


17 posted on 01/21/2010 6:55:31 AM PST by Loyal Buckeye
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To: jmaroneps37

The GOP had better get it right and make sure they keep supporting strong, capable candidates.

If they do - 2012 will be the second coming of the 1980 election landslide that tossed Carter and his liberal fellow travelers out to the curb.


18 posted on 01/21/2010 6:56:28 AM PST by R0CK3T
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To: Frantzie
Jennifer Brunner should be the first one to go to the slammer for refusing to investigate voter fraud.
19 posted on 01/21/2010 7:11:54 AM PST by GranTorino (Bloody Lips Save Ships.)
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To: R0CK3T
Kasich and Portman are as strong, conservative and capable as any candidate winning the Ohio Governorship or the U.S. Senate in the last several decades!

On the GOP side, just compare to ... Taft, DeWine, Voinivich?! ... and let's not talk about the disgraceful Dems that have represented the state.

20 posted on 01/21/2010 7:42:14 AM PST by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free)
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