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Poll shocker: Scott Brown surges ahead in Senate race
Boston Herald ^ | Jan 15, 2010 | Jessica Van Sack

Posted on 01/14/2010 9:33:21 PM PST by bitt

.."Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate all the way to the White House, a new poll shows.

Although Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.

“It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.”

The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, the state’s attorney general, by 50 percent to 46 percent, the first major survey to show Brown in the lead. Unenrolled long-shot Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. Only 1 percent of voters were undecided.

Paleologos said bellweather models show high numbers of independent voters turning out on election day, which benefits Brown, who has 65 percent of that bloc compared to Coakley’s 30 percent. Kennedy earns just 3 percent of the independent vote, and 1 percent are undecided.

Given the 4.4-point margin of error, the poll shows Coakley could win the race, Paleologos said. But if Brown’s momentum holds, he is poised to succeed the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy - and to halt health-care reform, the issue the late senator dubbed “the cause of my life.”...

(Excerpt) Read more at bostonherald.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: coakley; ma2010; marthacoakley; massachusetts; scottbrown
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To: bitt

I hope this holds over the weekend. I hope he doesn’t peak too soon! Come on Brown! Just sent you some money! Bring it home!!


141 posted on 01/15/2010 1:22:14 AM PST by americanophile
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To: SaxxonWoods
Brown's dare to the O to make a personal appearance in Mass was a gutsy move, he has run a brilliant campaign.
If O shows up before the election he will look desperate.
142 posted on 01/15/2010 1:25:18 AM PST by iopscusa (El Vaquero. (SC Lowcountry Cowboy))
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To: free1977free
Do you really believe that Brown can win in Boston? Have you asked your Ds friends who they will vote for? Please, give me hope...

He can, but as of this moment, I think he will lose by a small margin. I think the Dem machine is as powerful as it is corrupt.

In the end, even if he loses, I think it's another shot heard 'round the world. If a Republican can come this close HERE, then most of the rest of the country will realize they can topple their own dems.

He CAN win, but I don't think he will. I go back and forth but it's difficult to guage. Gov. Patrick is a joke, and it is just possible that enough people here have been let down by Obama that they might decide "What good is one more democrat in an all-democrat congressional delegation?

I am of course going to keep spreading the word and talking and then will vote. But every time I've thought that maybe this state wasn't as corrupt as all that, I've been let down. This is why it irks me when I see MA put down so casually on FR--I have thought this state was deeply corrupt for decades, while the PEOPLE are in large part sane. Look at how many LEAVE this state--why would they be bleeding population here if everyone is so happy with our liberal pols?

Sorry I can't give you more, but hope? Sure. There is hope. But I am not placing any financial bets.

143 posted on 01/15/2010 1:40:06 AM PST by Darkwolf377 (Bostonian conservative, atheist prolifer)
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To: iopscusa

Are there any other elections/referenda in Mass on Tues? I’m trying to get a sense if Democrats have any other reason to get out the vote...


144 posted on 01/15/2010 1:40:39 AM PST by madameguinot (Our Father's God to Thee, Author of Liberty)
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To: SeattleBruce

“And so, we must ‘hit them back HARD.’”
****
GOP will cave again in the spirit of bipartisanship when it comes to voter fraud. Don’t believe me? Ask Senator Diapers Franken.
The GOP tries to fight a fair fight while the Dems are playing by Alinsky’s rules.


145 posted on 01/15/2010 2:16:42 AM PST by peyton randolph (Obama Luti)
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To: truthfreedom

Oh, I see what you’re saying. Yes, RINO Senator Brooke was reelected in 1972 in what was otherwise not a very good year for the GOP in Mass. (although there was at leaat one other bright spot that year: Paul Cronin defeated young, snobbish, U.S. soldier-defaming traitor John F. Kerry for an open Congressional seat.


146 posted on 01/15/2010 2:52:00 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: jessduntno

LOLOLOL!

When it comes to spelling, I’m Coakley.

But by my principles, I’m Scott Brown.


147 posted on 01/15/2010 3:01:33 AM PST by convertedtoreason ( Nature tells us to take a conservative stance.)
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To: Chances Are

Why would you think that Coakley couldn’t break 30% in Berkshire County? It’s a horrifically liberal area, and votes far more Democrat than Boston’s southern suburbs.


148 posted on 01/15/2010 3:01:51 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: Timeout

http://michaelgraham.com/archives/the-next-martha-coakley-attack-ad/


149 posted on 01/15/2010 3:06:48 AM PST by savedbygrace (You are only leading if someone follows. Otherwise, you just wandered off... [Smokin' Joe])
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To: icwhatudo; Impy; fieldmarshaldj; Clintonfatigued; BillyBoy; Clemenza

The internals on that poll don’t seem out of whack, but a 15% Brown lead sounds too good to be true. In any event, I’d rather have Brown campaign like it’s a 2-point race.


150 posted on 01/15/2010 3:09:10 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: bitt
Martha Coakley says, "“You can have religious freedom but you probably shouldn’t work in the emergency room.”

Reminds me of the old sign...


151 posted on 01/15/2010 3:10:08 AM PST by Haiku Guy ("I don't give them Hell / I tell the truth about them / And they think it's Hell" -- Harry Truman)
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To: Darkwolf377

How realistic is it to be able to combat the Democratic Party machine though? It’s probably as bad if not worse than Philadelphia and it is very difficult to do in Philly.


152 posted on 01/15/2010 3:20:12 AM PST by William Tell 2
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To: William Tell 2
Again, I can't say for sure. I can say that I was born in this area, lived most of my life in and around Boston, and am living in the city now. In all that time my union-member father went from Kennedy Democrat to Reagan Republican. Meanwhile, the rest of the family remained true-blue dems, be they teachers or labor union members, or politicians on the local level with connections to statewise pols.

So I know something about the grip of the entrenched powers here.

At this point, I don't think Brown has enough juice to win, but that's only because I'm as in the dark about the anger that's in the hearts of the citizens as the dems are.

I think Coakley will win, but I hope Brown pulls it out. That's not terribly helpful, but it should tell you something about the conflicting thoughts and emotions of those in Massachusetts. I think the key will be fickle younger voters, who don't give a damn about the Kennedy aura, and who see Brown as vital and straight-talking, and Coakley as just another dull hack. It really may come down to likeability more than issues.

153 posted on 01/15/2010 3:33:14 AM PST by Darkwolf377 (Bostonian conservative, atheist prolifer)
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To: bitt

Gave my $35 yesterday, please send what you can..think how badly losing this seat will demoralize the democrats.


154 posted on 01/15/2010 3:41:37 AM PST by DeusExMachina05 (I will not go into Dhimmitude quietly.)
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To: SeattleBruce

I think he had a narrow lead in a poll or two...the difference in MA is that the 3rd name on the ballot is Kennedy who will steal Dem votes similar to Scozzafava taking Pubbie votes in NY 23.

Kennedy may win the day for Brown by taking 2-3% of the lib vote.


155 posted on 01/15/2010 3:56:59 AM PST by Scanian
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To: Ballygrl

If he pulls this off, I’ll cry tears of PURE JOY! I heard the Martina McBride song, “Independence Day” on my way to work this morning.


156 posted on 01/15/2010 4:07:04 AM PST by Trust but Verify
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To: bitt

The train has left the station. Go Scott go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


157 posted on 01/15/2010 4:12:17 AM PST by SueRae
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To: bitt

“Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. “

It will be terrible if his votes elect the Dem.


158 posted on 01/15/2010 4:14:18 AM PST by HereInTheHeartland (The End of an Error - 01/20/2013)
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To: bitt

West/Brown in 2020

http://video.foxnews.com/v/3967528/congressional-candidate-is-internet-sensation


159 posted on 01/15/2010 4:18:01 AM PST by wolfpat (Moderate=Clueless)
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To: wolfpat

A definite YES to that ticket. I would rather have them in charge than the usual candidates suggested. That would be the dream ticket.


160 posted on 01/15/2010 4:20:27 AM PST by seoul62
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