Posted on 01/14/2010 9:33:21 PM PST by bitt
.."Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate all the way to the White House, a new poll shows.
Although Browns 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News surveys margin of error, the underdogs position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.
Its a Brown-out, said Paleologos, director of Suffolks Political Research Center. Its a massive change in the political landscape.
The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, the states attorney general, by 50 percent to 46 percent, the first major survey to show Brown in the lead. Unenrolled long-shot Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. Only 1 percent of voters were undecided.
Paleologos said bellweather models show high numbers of independent voters turning out on election day, which benefits Brown, who has 65 percent of that bloc compared to Coakleys 30 percent. Kennedy earns just 3 percent of the independent vote, and 1 percent are undecided.
Given the 4.4-point margin of error, the poll shows Coakley could win the race, Paleologos said. But if Browns momentum holds, he is poised to succeed the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy - and to halt health-care reform, the issue the late senator dubbed the cause of my life....
(Excerpt) Read more at bostonherald.com ...
I hope this holds over the weekend. I hope he doesn’t peak too soon! Come on Brown! Just sent you some money! Bring it home!!
He can, but as of this moment, I think he will lose by a small margin. I think the Dem machine is as powerful as it is corrupt.
In the end, even if he loses, I think it's another shot heard 'round the world. If a Republican can come this close HERE, then most of the rest of the country will realize they can topple their own dems.
He CAN win, but I don't think he will. I go back and forth but it's difficult to guage. Gov. Patrick is a joke, and it is just possible that enough people here have been let down by Obama that they might decide "What good is one more democrat in an all-democrat congressional delegation?
I am of course going to keep spreading the word and talking and then will vote. But every time I've thought that maybe this state wasn't as corrupt as all that, I've been let down. This is why it irks me when I see MA put down so casually on FR--I have thought this state was deeply corrupt for decades, while the PEOPLE are in large part sane. Look at how many LEAVE this state--why would they be bleeding population here if everyone is so happy with our liberal pols?
Sorry I can't give you more, but hope? Sure. There is hope. But I am not placing any financial bets.
Are there any other elections/referenda in Mass on Tues? I’m trying to get a sense if Democrats have any other reason to get out the vote...
“And so, we must hit them back HARD.”
****
GOP will cave again in the spirit of bipartisanship when it comes to voter fraud. Don’t believe me? Ask Senator Diapers Franken.
The GOP tries to fight a fair fight while the Dems are playing by Alinsky’s rules.
Oh, I see what you’re saying. Yes, RINO Senator Brooke was reelected in 1972 in what was otherwise not a very good year for the GOP in Mass. (although there was at leaat one other bright spot that year: Paul Cronin defeated young, snobbish, U.S. soldier-defaming traitor John F. Kerry for an open Congressional seat.
LOLOLOL!
When it comes to spelling, I’m Coakley.
But by my principles, I’m Scott Brown.
Why would you think that Coakley couldn’t break 30% in Berkshire County? It’s a horrifically liberal area, and votes far more Democrat than Boston’s southern suburbs.
The internals on that poll don’t seem out of whack, but a 15% Brown lead sounds too good to be true. In any event, I’d rather have Brown campaign like it’s a 2-point race.
Reminds me of the old sign...
How realistic is it to be able to combat the Democratic Party machine though? It’s probably as bad if not worse than Philadelphia and it is very difficult to do in Philly.
So I know something about the grip of the entrenched powers here.
At this point, I don't think Brown has enough juice to win, but that's only because I'm as in the dark about the anger that's in the hearts of the citizens as the dems are.
I think Coakley will win, but I hope Brown pulls it out. That's not terribly helpful, but it should tell you something about the conflicting thoughts and emotions of those in Massachusetts. I think the key will be fickle younger voters, who don't give a damn about the Kennedy aura, and who see Brown as vital and straight-talking, and Coakley as just another dull hack. It really may come down to likeability more than issues.
Gave my $35 yesterday, please send what you can..think how badly losing this seat will demoralize the democrats.
I think he had a narrow lead in a poll or two...the difference in MA is that the 3rd name on the ballot is Kennedy who will steal Dem votes similar to Scozzafava taking Pubbie votes in NY 23.
Kennedy may win the day for Brown by taking 2-3% of the lib vote.
If he pulls this off, I’ll cry tears of PURE JOY! I heard the Martina McBride song, “Independence Day” on my way to work this morning.
The train has left the station. Go Scott go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
“Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. “
It will be terrible if his votes elect the Dem.
A definite YES to that ticket. I would rather have them in charge than the usual candidates suggested. That would be the dream ticket.
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