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Poll shocker: Scott Brown surges ahead in Senate race
Boston Herald ^ | Jan 15, 2010 | Jessica Van Sack

Posted on 01/14/2010 9:33:21 PM PST by bitt

.."Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate all the way to the White House, a new poll shows.

Although Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.

“It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.”

The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, the state’s attorney general, by 50 percent to 46 percent, the first major survey to show Brown in the lead. Unenrolled long-shot Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. Only 1 percent of voters were undecided.

Paleologos said bellweather models show high numbers of independent voters turning out on election day, which benefits Brown, who has 65 percent of that bloc compared to Coakley’s 30 percent. Kennedy earns just 3 percent of the independent vote, and 1 percent are undecided.

Given the 4.4-point margin of error, the poll shows Coakley could win the race, Paleologos said. But if Brown’s momentum holds, he is poised to succeed the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy - and to halt health-care reform, the issue the late senator dubbed “the cause of my life.”...

(Excerpt) Read more at bostonherald.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: coakley; ma2010; marthacoakley; massachusetts; scottbrown
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To: bitt

“Hopefully, Kerry will see the handwriting on the wall and drift away”

NEVER gonna happen. Mama T will throw his ass out quicker than you can say “Lovey”. The title of “senator” is the only thing keeping him from sleeping in his car, again.

He’ll pull a Teddy - there until death. Or maybe, just maybe the voters will wise up. Hmmm......


101 posted on 01/14/2010 10:50:41 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (Never bring a snowball to a gun fight.)
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To: Steelers6

https://www.icontribute.us/scottbrown/

money, people!

I’m sending another $bomb tomorrow...


102 posted on 01/14/2010 10:53:30 PM PST by bitt (You canÂ’t make a weak man strong by making a strong man weak (Abraham Lincoln))
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To: GOPsterinMA

Yep I think it is that big - after driving down to the South Shore today convinced me, there such a lack of Coakley support on the personal level thoughout the state.

I received two calls from Brown’s campaign so far - none from the ice queen. Plus I got a mailer from him today.

She does have two big electronic signs going into Boston - one from IBEW 103 and a bi later another one, that’s it.

He’s on Howie everyday too!


103 posted on 01/14/2010 10:55:20 PM PST by Sparky1776
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To: PawtucketPatriot71
Realistically, for Coakley to win this, she has to carry Boston and all it's suburbs, as well as most of SE Mass, by at least 60%. The further west she goes, the worse she does, and yes, that includes the Fall River/Attleboro area.

West of Worcester (”Woo-stah”) she probably has support that runs in the 20s, if that.

As many have said, it's a numbers game. Turnout is important, but there is clearly no substitute for momentum, and it looks like that's in Brown's corner.

The great imponderable is the ACORN/SEIU factor. It'll doubtless be there in the cities, but after that....?

We'll see.

In the meantime, I'm finding myself scouring this board for every story about this election that I can get my hands on, it is that exciting!

Addictive, yes, but exciting!!!!

CA....

104 posted on 01/14/2010 10:56:05 PM PST by Chances Are (Whew! Seems I've found that silly grin again!)
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To: GOPsterinMA

“Lovey...LOVEYYYYYYYY! These campaign people haven’t ahhsked me to stand next to Maatha in ever so long...and I AM the SENIOR Senator, still, aren’t I?”

“Don’t they know who I am??”


105 posted on 01/14/2010 10:56:17 PM PST by bitt (You canÂ’t make a weak man strong by making a strong man weak (Abraham Lincoln))
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To: Jedidah
...or how many folks they’re busing in with fake IDs.

Exactly. I wonder how much of a surge in charter bus traffic there will be on the day before the election and election day? I wonder if that can be checked...

106 posted on 01/14/2010 11:01:02 PM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Smokin' Joe

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2428844/posts?page=1

wapo is disturbed....


107 posted on 01/14/2010 11:01:46 PM PST by bitt (You canÂ’t make a weak man strong by making a strong man weak (Abraham Lincoln))
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To: bitt

Exactly! He’s a mixture of vinegar and water, if you know what I mean. :)


108 posted on 01/14/2010 11:02:16 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (Never bring a snowball to a gun fight.)
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To: Chances Are

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vwpTj_Z9v-c&feature=related


109 posted on 01/14/2010 11:04:44 PM PST by Sparky1776
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To: GOPsterinMA

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2428832/posts?page=1

disgusting!!!!!! wait til Howie gets a hold of THIS!!!!!!


110 posted on 01/14/2010 11:05:17 PM PST by bitt (You canÂ’t make a weak man strong by making a strong man weak (Abraham Lincoln))
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To: Sparky1776

He’s on Howie and WEEI as well! Love it!

That would be awesome - such a blowout win! Throw that in Galvin’s face when the seating games begin.

Idiot union leadership. The lights literally are on, but no one’s home.

In case you missed it, here’s Gerald “Tookie” Amirault from the Dennis&Callahan show on Thursday morning:

http://audio.weei.com/m/28348841/gerald-amirault.htm


111 posted on 01/14/2010 11:05:35 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (Never bring a snowball to a gun fight.)
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To: RaceBannon

this should make you smile!


112 posted on 01/14/2010 11:08:08 PM PST by bitt (You canÂ’t make a weak man strong by making a strong man weak (Abraham Lincoln))
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To: bitt

Yep! Howie will have this for breakfast!


113 posted on 01/14/2010 11:08:54 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (Never bring a snowball to a gun fight.)
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To: bitt

I don’t think this is a real professional poll.

Don’t get your hopes up too much, folks. The rats will steal this just like they stole MN for Al Franken.


114 posted on 01/14/2010 11:14:04 PM PST by chilltherats (First, kill all the lawyers (now that they ARE the tyrants).......)
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To: Steelers6
I seriously doubt that Brown wants the national GOP in there at this point. They're probably helping him "off stage", but he doesn't need them out front. It would probably COST him votes.

I DO hope they've got plenty of lawyers lined up. That's where he'll need the party's help.

____________________________________________

For all those commenting about signs, I saw this yesterday: unknown driver in MA spots the BEST SCOTT BROWN SIGN evahhhhh.


115 posted on 01/14/2010 11:16:41 PM PST by Timeout (Brits have the royals. Russia, the Nomenklatura. WE have our Privileged "Public Servant" class.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

I’m talking about the US Senate races.

And it’s almost certain to be the worst performance by Dems in MA in a US Senate race since 1972. The Republicans won in 1972 in MA. Weld came within 7 points of Kerry in 1996.


116 posted on 01/14/2010 11:18:16 PM PST by truthfreedom
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To: Timeout

gonna pretend I don’t know it’s on the back of my truck tomorrow, too!


117 posted on 01/14/2010 11:18:43 PM PST by bitt (You canÂ’t make a weak man strong by making a strong man weak (Abraham Lincoln))
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To: D-fendr

Obama loses his ability to persuade Nelson, Landrieu, Lincoln and all the rest that Coakley’s poor performance wasn’t a referendum on him.


118 posted on 01/14/2010 11:20:47 PM PST by truthfreedom
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To: SaxxonWoods
You also notice the Messiah has been told to stay far far away from this race.

He already cut a commercial for her.

Obama's Waterloo, indeed.

119 posted on 01/14/2010 11:23:26 PM PST by TheThinker (Communists: taking over the world one kooky doomsday scenerio at a time.)
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To: bitt

If they can’t deny these polls, I’m thinking he’s probably leading by more than four.


120 posted on 01/14/2010 11:23:27 PM PST by DoughtyOne (God, Family, Friends, Home, Town, State, the U.S., Conservatism, Free Republic & a dollar a day...)
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