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Will Chris Daggett Fall Victim To The Ballot Order Effect?
Atlantic ^ | 10/13/09 | Marc Ambinder

Posted on 10/30/2009 3:15:49 PM PDT by freespirited

New Jersey's independent, gubernatorial candidate, Chris Dagget, is on a roll. ... But Daggett faces a ballot problem. Not ballot access itself ... he's on the ballot ... It's ballot design.

The ballot features the Democratic and Republican candidates first -- the order depends on a coin toss -- and the independent candidates, second. Pointing to political science literature on ballot order, Daggett claims that the placement of independent candidates below the major party candidates is plainly unconstitutional. The science isn't as clear cut: ballot order does, in certain low-information races, seem to influence voter decisions, but it competes with numerous other factors for a voter's attention. One is whether the candidate has been effective, or not. Ballot order effects are more prevalent when the "top" candidates listed have run good campaigns than when first candidates stink up the joint. Daggett has a point in claiming that ballot order effects hurt independent candidates more than major party candidates. But partisan labels on ballots also influence whether ballot order will be salient. So does the design of the ballot, regardless of order. So does the number of other candidates who are running -- a total of 12, in this election.

The New Jersey Supreme Court is probably going to stay out of this dispute. The Court can find social science to back up whatever result it wants to achieve. If it does intervene, it'll be to Daggett's perhaps unfair advantage -- his campaign is premised on the argument that the two party system is responsible for the failure to mend the state's corrupt ways. The current ballot order law goes back to 1948. Since well before then -- back to 1911, according to ballot access expert Richard Winger, no independent candidate for governor has gotten more than 10% of the vote.

(Excerpt) Read more at politics.theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ballotposition; chrisdaggett; njgovernor
At least Jersey doesnt use the butterfly ballot.
1 posted on 10/30/2009 3:15:50 PM PDT by freespirited
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To: freespirited

On my sample ballot Daggett is listed on Line K!

At least he is ahead of “Middle Class Empowerment” ....

AMF Dude....


2 posted on 10/30/2009 3:19:30 PM PDT by njslim
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To: freespirited

Just go away Daggett, you friggin’ whiner. You’re just going to get Captain Corruption Corzine another term. And I have NO doubt you’re working for Corzine as a spoiler to divide the anti-Corzine vote. We know what you’re up to-—putz.


3 posted on 10/30/2009 3:25:38 PM PDT by MissesBush
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To: freespirited

It’s interesting that left wingnut Marc Ambinder of the Atlantic should be concerned about whether the ballot is fair to Daggett.

That certainly tends to confirm the widespread suspicion that Daggett is being paid off by Corzine to undermine his Republican challenger.


4 posted on 10/30/2009 3:26:10 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Cicero

To all of those who do not believe Daggot is being paid by Corzine, I have a nice bridge in New York I will sell very cheap.


5 posted on 10/30/2009 3:33:27 PM PDT by jesseam (Been there, done that)
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To: Cicero

To all of those who do not believe Daggot is being paid by Corzine, I have a nice bridge in New York I will sell very cheap.


6 posted on 10/30/2009 3:33:43 PM PDT by jesseam (Been there, done that)
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To: jesseam

Apologize for the dbl post. :-)


7 posted on 10/30/2009 3:34:52 PM PDT by jesseam (Been there, done that)
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To: Cicero

Yes, left wing nut Ambinder only concern is if Corzine wins.


8 posted on 10/30/2009 3:34:54 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: freespirited; SwinneySwitch; MeekOneGOP
Pointing to political science literature on ballot order, Daggett claims that the placement of independent candidates below the major party candidates is plainly unconstitutional.

Why? In Texas all general election ballots state-wide have the parties for all races listed in the order that the most recent gubernatorial race results. It was really funny when Republicans won the Texas governorship in 1978, because the DemocRATS had to "reeducate" their voters not to pull the first straight party lever in the voting machines for the 1980 presidential electon.

9 posted on 10/30/2009 3:43:59 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative
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To: freespirited

I saw Daggett’s name on the far end of the ballot and I thought that was going to cost him votes. That’s life in corrupto-state.


10 posted on 10/30/2009 3:50:30 PM PDT by Titus-Maximus (Light from Light)
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To: freespirited

This is just pre-emptive cover for Obama in the event that Corzine loses. Daggett is losing poll numbers daily, as the Republican gains. So the Democrats run this crap up the pole so they have a built-in excuse for the Obama-endorsed criminal in Jersey losing.


11 posted on 10/30/2009 4:07:50 PM PDT by raptor29
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To: Alberta's Child; algernonpj; alice_in_bubbaland; Ballygrl; Calpernia; certrtwngnut; Clemenza; ...

NJ ping


12 posted on 10/30/2009 5:45:35 PM PDT by NewJerseyJoe (Rat mantra: "Facts are meaningless! You can use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true!")
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To: freespirited

LOL, I got my ballot in the mail today and couldn’t even find Daggett while skimming, I finally had to read each name before I found him in the 6th column.


13 posted on 10/30/2009 5:51:21 PM PDT by Ballygrl
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To: Paleo Conservative
Why? In Texas all general election ballots state-wide have the parties for all races listed in the order that the most recent gubernatorial race results.

That is different. NYS is like that, and in 1990, the Conservative Party candidate (Herb London) nearly beat the late liberal Republican Pierre Rinfret. If he had, the Conservative Party would have been listed second...and Republicans, third.*

But in NJ, it's rigged so the Republicrats automatically get the top two slots. It's "random order" but "some are more equal than others." It's ridiculous government favoritism.

I hate when the State formalizes the "major party" system and its unfair hampering of other parties.

*The narcissistic Right to Life Party ran their own candidate instead of supporting the very pro-life Herb London. With even 1/4 of the Right to Life vote, Herb London would have beaten Pierre Rinfret.

14 posted on 10/30/2009 6:47:46 PM PDT by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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