Beam me to Planet Gore !
Posted on 10/27/2009 9:45:41 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
(AP) Have you heard that the world is now cooling instead of warming? You may have seen some news reports on the Internet or heard about it from a provocative new book.
Only one problem: It's not true, according to an analysis of the numbers done by several independent statisticians for The Associated Press.
The case that the Earth might be cooling partly stems from recent weather. Last year was cooler than previous years. It's been a while since the super-hot years of 1998 and 2005. So is this a longer climate trend or just weather's normal ups and downs?
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
I can see how a greenhouse or a glass tank full of CO2 could be used to demonstrate heat retention.
At .034% concentration in the atmosphere, the CO2 molecules aren't close enough to even see each other...much less form a layer.
Steaming piles!
In my political methods class, I learned that statistics can be used to lie about a subject.
Well IIRC we haven’t had a single day of temps that have hit 100f in about 5 years.All years prior to that it would do that for at least a week each year. Last summer it never got to 90ºf even once.
Anyone who wants to go through my posts over the last 1-2 years will see that I have been advising caution about the “cooling” trend.Hmmmm ... here's what Roger Pielke Senior said on the Borenstein AP statistics article:
This article, however, (which is not a true independent assessment if the study was completed by NOAA scientists) is not based on the much more robust metric assessment of global warming as diagnosed by upper ocean heat content. Nor does it consider the warm bias issues with respect to surface land temperatures that we have raised in our peer reviewed papers; e.g. see and see....
As discussed on my weblog and elsewhere (e.g. see and see), the upper ocean heat content trend, as evaluated by its heat anomalies, has been essentially flat since mid 2003 through at least June of this year. Since mid 2003, the heat storage rate, rather then being 0.6 W/m2 in the upper 750m that was found prior to that time (1993-2003), has been essentially zero.
Nonetheless, the article is correct that the climate system has not cooled even in the last 6 years. Moreover, on the long time period back to 1880, the consensus is that the climate system has warmed on the longest time period. Perhaps the current absence of warming is a shorter term natural feature of the climate system.
However, to state that the “[t]he Earth is still warming” is in error. The warming has, at least temporarily halted.
The article (and apparently the NOAA study itself), therefore, suffers from a significant oversight since it does not comment on an update of the same upper ocean heat content data that Jim Hansen has used to assess global warming.
See this: http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=1269
Thanks for your linked articles and analysis. It took me a little while to get through them, but it was well worth it.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.