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GOP now tied with Dems in Gallup Party ID poll(11 pt shift since Apr, 19 pt shift with leaners).
The Gallup Poll ^

Posted on 05/18/2009 11:26:18 AM PDT by jeltz25

In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, or an independent? (Asked of independents: As of today, do you lean more to the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?)

Selected Trend on Party Affiliation: 2004-2009

Republicans Independents Democrats Republicans (including "leaners") Democrats (including "leaners")

% % % % %

2009 May 7-10 32 34 32 45 45

2009 Apr 20-21 27 36 36 39 50

2009 Apr 6-9 24 40 35 34 53

2009 Mar 27-29 28 35 35 40 51

2009 Mar 5-8 25 35 38 35 53

2009 Feb 20-22 27 36 34 39 51

2009 Feb 9-12 29 36 33 39 51

2009 Jan 30-Feb 1 27 35 36 38 53

2009 Jan 9-11 30 33 36 41 51

2008 Dec 12-14 26 35 37 35 52

2008 Dec 4-7 27 33 37 39 51

2008 Nov 13-16 26 35 39 37 55

2008 Nov 7-9 28 37 33 40 51

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2009polls; 2010; 2012; bho44; democrats; gallup; gop; partyid; polls; republicans; second100days
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As of the most recent Gallup Poll, Republicans have drawn even with Democrats in party affiliation.

The dems had an 11 pts lead as recetnly as last month.

When you include independents who lean in one direction, they're tied as well at 45%. Last month the dems lead by 19 at 53-34.

A 19 shift in a month, that looks like a collapse to me.

But I'm sure Newsweek and Time can continue to trumpet the death of the GOP, as their market share and ad revenue go down the toilet and Newsweek all but admits it's failed as magazine by abandoning its format to become a liberal version of The Economist(good luck with that).

Couple this with recent polls showing support for gun rights and the pro life cause at their highest levels ever...and that's positive movement. Especially so early in to a new term.

I'm sure we'll hear all about this on the new tonight and it will a cover story in Newsweek, Time, the NYT, etc...

Well, not the NYT. Their star columnist was just exposed as a plagiarist, only a ffew years after one of their star reporters was exposed as such, and while their stock price has plunged to its lowest level ever and lost 90% of its value.

1 posted on 05/18/2009 11:26:19 AM PDT by jeltz25
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To: jeltz25

Obama is running right into the dustbin of history. He is done!...cooked.....fried! Radicalism will never find a home in America!


2 posted on 05/18/2009 11:30:23 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: jeltz25

Good news. Of course, people will come after the Gallup pollsters after the “life” poll the other day.

All of a sudden Gallup is a right-wing organization, doncha know?


3 posted on 05/18/2009 11:30:52 AM PDT by Winstons Julia (:)
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To: jeltz25

any indication on the sampling here? That is a pretty enormous shift in a pretty short time.... Good news, I hope...


4 posted on 05/18/2009 11:36:13 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: jeltz25

This poll is based on the false presumption we have a two party system.


5 posted on 05/18/2009 11:36:14 AM PDT by Man50D (Fair Tax, you earn it, you keep it!)
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To: jeltz25

Woohoo! Democrat-light is gaining ground!


6 posted on 05/18/2009 11:40:36 AM PDT by BJClinton (One Big Ass Mistake America)
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To: jeltz25

Seems like the the Gallup poll is noisy as hell. Let’s see the next couple of data points ...


7 posted on 05/18/2009 11:41:11 AM PDT by MetaThought
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To: jeltz25

So the party that wants excessive government control is tied with the party that wants excessive government spending.


8 posted on 05/18/2009 11:43:10 AM PDT by kidd (Obama: The triumph of hope over evidence)
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To: jeltz25

These polling organizations have typically be overpolling democrats to mislead the public with their poll numbers.

Telling me that they are now polling “equal” numbers of Republicans and Democrats (as self-identified) only gives me baseline information for the rest the poll, it does nothing to tell me about the actually percentage makeup of the voting public (which runs 50-50).


9 posted on 05/18/2009 11:49:24 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (If you like the Dept. of Motor Vehicles, the IRS, and the Post Office, you'll love govt Health Care)
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To: jeltz25
Hallelujah!!! Wasn't it Abraham Lincoln who said you can fool all the the people some of the time and you can fool some of the people all of the time but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time.

Maybe the sheeple are beginning to wake up. Let's pray that is the case.

10 posted on 05/18/2009 11:53:03 AM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: jeltz25; ml/nj; firebrand; SunkenCiv; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; Just A Nobody; ...
I'm far from a sympathizer or defender of the ‘Rats, but looking at this objectively, it's hard to believe you can get such a large shift in something as deeply held (for most of us) as party identification in such a short period of time. I don't doubt that the pendulum is swinging toward the GOP because of “buyer's remorse” for Obama, but such a large swing seems too good to believe. You would have to attribute it to polling technique - at least to some extent. Let's see how consistent that change is in future polls.
11 posted on 05/18/2009 11:55:36 AM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma

Yeah, but I was the one who said you can fool some of the people all of the time and the rest will watch.


12 posted on 05/18/2009 11:56:46 AM PDT by Richard Kimball (We're all criminals. They just haven't figured out what some of us have done yet.)
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To: jeltz25

Too bad - not important - buyer’s is NOT ALLOWED this early in the game - because of stupid voters, we have to endure a socialist, one-party rule during which that party will do everything legal and illegal to ensure re-election.I don’t care about this poll - too late...


13 posted on 05/18/2009 11:56:56 AM PDT by matginzac
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To: jeltz25

Sorry - “buyer’s REMORSE”


14 posted on 05/18/2009 11:57:47 AM PDT by matginzac
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To: justiceseeker93
it's hard to believe you can get such a large shift in something as deeply held (for most of us) as party identification in such a short period of time

I don't think it's that deeply held for a lot of people -e.g., independants, the wishy-washy people. They just react on emotion, and, if so, this is a sign that the Zero's marxist-socialist, arrogant, controlling, tax-and-spend, huge debt, lying, scheming, narcissist style of "governing" is p*ssing people off.

15 posted on 05/18/2009 12:03:31 PM PDT by hsalaw
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To: jeltz25
This is before:

Any new income tax bill hits home.
Any new carbon tax hits home.
Any government take over of the health industry.

Obama is horrible for the country, but Obama is wonderful for the Republican Party.

16 posted on 05/18/2009 12:03:48 PM PDT by Kansas58
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To: jeltz25

This is truly amazing. You know this is not the result Gallup wanted. I guess they could not shift the numbers around to satisfy their thinking. In reality probably more people belong to the GOP.


17 posted on 05/18/2009 12:05:54 PM PDT by Uncle Hal
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To: AngelesCrestHighway
Obama is all about Obama.
Obama is a whore who would sell his grandmother for votes or power. (wait he did that).
Obama is a whore who would sell his pastor out, for votes or power. (wait, he did that too!)

Obama will trim here and there, tweek his agenda to try and appear “moderate” or avoid the backlash.

Will he only generate a liberal 3rd Party challenge?

The left is furious with Obama over tribunals and other stuff.

18 posted on 05/18/2009 12:07:50 PM PDT by Kansas58
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To: jeltz25

More and more Americans are beginning to wake up to the HORRORS OF OBAMUNISM, and realizing that elections really do have consequences.

Unfortunately, it’s far too late, but the backlash could be bad for ALL of us, before this is over.


19 posted on 05/18/2009 12:08:56 PM PDT by tcrlaf ("Hope" is the most Evil of all Evils"-Neitzsche)
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To: jeltz25

Thank you, Rush!


20 posted on 05/18/2009 12:09:17 PM PDT by rfp1234 (Phodopus campbelli: household ruler since July 2007.)
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