Posted on 03/27/2009 8:34:54 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
Democrat Scott Murphy has taken a 4 percentage point lead over Republican Jim Tedisco in the race for the 20th Congressional District, according to the latest Siena Research Institute poll.
That's outside the 3.2 percent margin of error.
However, by a 10-point margin, more voters think Tedisco, an Assemblyman, will end up beating Murphy in the special election, the poll said.
Murphy, a venture capitalist, erased a 4 percentage point deficit in just two weeks.
Tedisco’s campaign is seen as being more negative than Murphy’s by a 44-25 percent margin, according to the Siena Research Institute survey. Siena Research Institute is affiliated with Siena College in Loudonville. The institute surveyed 917 likely voters on March 25-26.
(Excerpt) Read more at bizjournals.com ...
This is a epic disaster if we lose here, any way you slice it.
Has NY-20 been Obamacized? Yes.
Praying for Murphy to win and I don’t even live in NY.
Ooooops, it is Tedisco that I am praying will win.
Not good news, fellows.
I say this to all of the freepers who believe that we are going to magically turn the country around in 2010.
Fight harder or die.
Republican district? I thought it was vacated by a Democrat.
We might not lose it. The race is Tuesday...much could happen by then. I think people will reelect Tedisco because he is comfortable to the district and they know him. Time will tell...
Why are you praying for Dem to win? Is Tedisco a bad guy?
Tedisco’s camp say their polls show him up 4. Plus a recent comments from Murphy talked about the lack of support from the white house; and yet they were only down 2. So Its still a tight race and will depend like so many things on turn out.
I noted on an earlier story about this race, the Dems simply have developed a media strategy that kills our candidates. I have not seen any media from this campaign, but I have observed a lot the past two election cycles. They simply have out run the GOP in campaign messaging and effectiveness of advertising.
Interesting. Is the Republican that bad or is the rat somehow good?
was vacated by a dem, but a supposed “conservative dem” who supported gun rights, etc. Plus had been a GOP seat previously to 2006.
I agree. That seems to be going around a lot lately. I don't know where everybody has this idea that republicans are going to win 50 seats in the House in 2010.
And this is as Paterson wants to raise taxes? Unbelievable. We get the politicians we deserve.
Is this the dude brushing off Limbaugh as irrelevant?
Obama and the Dems passed a $787B porkulus bill and now they have an earth-shattering budget with spending and tax increases as far as the eye can see. Also, Democrats like Patterson are EXTREMELY unpopular in New York. If the Republicans cannot win with a good candidate in a Republican district running against that, then we will lose 30 seats in 2010, minimum, not to mention further erosion in the senate. There is no hope for any Republican in ANY district if we cannot win back a Republican seat. It has a CPVI of R+4 and was represented by the GOP for 30 years before 2006.
This race is that serious.
A great example of why NYS is dying. The people who know better are moving out and the leeches are staying and voting Democrat. Sad, very sad but the residue IS old socialist Democrats who have been conditioned to believe Obama’s lies.
With this "strategy", the polls shifted strongly in the direction of the 'Rat. Make no mistake, if it works here, you'll see this conflation of the 'Pubs and Limbaugh trotted out on a national scale in 2010 and 2012. The 'Rats aren't campaigning on issues or even an honest man-on-man theme. They're running against caricatures, just like in '64. Sad thing is, they'll probably win doing it, the sheeple are that stupid.
I wrote this letter to the editor, which was published in one newspaper, so far, and cut out the line about Tedisco to the paper which doesn’t publish campaign letters this close to the election, but I think the letter will help Tedisco, even without his name mentioned:
“Dear Editor:
“Bait and switch” is what the so-called economic stimulus plan turned out to be. Under the guise of turning around the economy, it is a socialized agenda including billions of dollars for England-style rationing of health care which the government will regulate incrementally so we won’t notice as much. The government will have more control of our health care, and individual and families will have less control. This will hurt senior citizens the most. Tom Daschle, who anticipated being the Secretary of Health and Human Services head at the time, helped write the health care restrictions and said health care reform: “will not be pain free and seniors should be more accepting of the conditions that come with age instead of treating them.”
There are countless of wasteful spending programs in the “economic” stimulus plan, too numerous to mention, but just a few are funds for pig odor research in Iowa, a rodeo museum in South Dakota, and $30 million for wetlands restoration in Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s district to protect endangered species, including the salt marsh harvest mouse (Pelosi has a history of advocating preservation of the mouse’s habitat).
Jim Tedisco understands all this, and will cut government spending, which is why I’m casting my vote for Jim on March 31.”
Tedisco is in a dead-heat race right now, so it could go either way, and a letter to the editor, or a call to a talk show, just could be the deciding factor.
I sent $ to the Republican Trust to try to help.
So much ammunition yet our side is a mess.
So you believe the polls?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.