Posted on 11/03/2008 3:18:18 PM PST by flattorney
Late today, Karl Rove's Electoral College projection changed from 311, McCain 160, toss-up 67 to Obama 338, McCain 200, no toss-ups. I’ve only been doing professional GOP politics for 18 years, and Karl is a lot smart than I am. But the only way I will agree with him is when the final vote is tallied. We all know John has a huge mountain to climb tomorrow, but all the battleground states races have greatly tightened up. - FlA
Latest update.....
OUCH!
Karl is using “THE” math again.
I really hope this is just psy-ops.
McCain in a blowout-print it.
“Karl is using “THE” math again.”
You beat me to it.
Most overrated “strategist” in American history. The Rat Congress owes a lot to him.
He does not have access to his own internal polling and the two polling companies he says were closest to his own numbers in 2000 and 2004 are subject to the same weird dynamics affecting all public polls.
Having said that, this is a disappointing report. I can see why Mac is down to 9.9 at inTrade. That means for every 99 cents you bet you could get back $10 if McCain wins. Any takers?
Its going to be a great 4 years.
I honestly believe that Republican campaign wizards believe it’s better to demoralize Republican voters and build overconfidence in Democrat voters, than to do the opposite. Rove MUST be thinking this overconfidence prevents them turning out — why bother since they’re winning big — and knows Republicans vote no matter what. That’s my theory anyway. If Obama really was going to win in such a landslide, why isn’t it reflected anywhere but the polls? I just don’t see it.
Et tu, Karl?
It is interesting that the professionals think McCain will lose and the amateurs think McCain will win.
I have seen a half dozen bloggers here at FR that can show with mathematical theory that McCain wins. I believe them.
It does not look good, but it is not over and the bigger victory Obama gets the more mandate he will claim. I think a lot of people are not talking to the pollsters or are lying if they do.
Why is this breaking news?
His map is just an average of public state polls over the past two weeks
It is interesting that the professionals think McCain will lose and the amateurs think McCain will win.
I have seen a half dozen bloggers here at FR that can show with mathematical theory that McCain wins. I believe them.
True. Let’s hope that the grass roots has a better take.
Obama can take an electoral landslide simply by winning 5-6 states by a close margin. Hell, Ohio, Virginia, Florida and NC puts him in the 320 plus range.
I am taking this as a net positive because at least the ECVs are increasing for McCain and DECREASING for The One. I am a Pennsylvania born & raised Marylander who had just returned from there this afternoon and while I know it is purely anecdotal, McCain/Palin signs far out-number Obama/Biden signs from York, Harrisburg and into the Northeast i.e. Scranton/Wilkes-Barre (My hometown). PA is definitely trending McCain!
It’s time for Rove to just blow smoke, like the rest of the lame stream media. Call it for McCain in a close one.
Wait a minute here... In 2000 the polls promised Al Gore would win. In 2004 they predicted a heavy Kerry win. Don’t lose hope here folks, the media does this every year! We are not promised a victory, but election day has NOT COME YET!
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