[icwhatudo]

Forget the national polls and take a good look at the individual polling in these key states. Electoral votes decide this election, not the popular vote. After doing a bit of research, I'm feeling a lot better about McCains chances. He doesn't need PA or Iowa or Wisconsin, just win where Bush won before and he wins.

[truthandlife]

After the coal quote, McCain clinches PA and it is all over for Obama.

[DBCJR]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2122710/posts

[Hang'emAll]

Electoral votes decide this election, not the popular vote....

Wait till the Obama voters find this out!!

[steve-b]

Assuming McCain wins the states he is currently in the lead or tied in

Winning every single tie is on a par with winning the lottery.

[babydubya1981]

What concerns me now is, it is going to be raining in Virginia, North Carolina, and Georgia tomorrow.

How many people who are depressed by these stupid poll numbers will show up in the rain to vote? I hope the answer is *every* single one.

[nhwingut]

McCain will win the election, lose the popular vote. The polls may be right, but the pundits will be wrong.

My prediction all along is that Obama wins the popular vote due to the record-number turnout by black votes (and fraud) in the cities.

However, most of the cities are concentrated in blue states.

[TornadoAlley3]

Will Louisiana go blue?

[Non-Sequitur]

This would make it a 269/269 tie. The kicker is Maine. Maine has two Congresional districts. It is one of two states that splits its four Electoral College votes, meaning McCain can come away with at least one of them if he wins Maine's northern, rural 2nd District.

Let's not forget Maine isn't the only state that does that. Nebraska does, too. And Nebraska 2nd encompasses Omaha and the surrounding area. What support Obama has will be centered there, and a big turnout could flip that.

[Cosmo]

In reality it’s Obama with the uphill battle. He hast to flip more than just VA to win, and he has to work hard to defend, NH, PA and West Va.

[ElkGroveDan]

I agree. A lot of this popular vote is coming from high interest in urban parts of New York, California, and Illinois. Whether those state go 55% for Obama or 85% doesn’t matter, but it does affect the popular vote and the polls.

[Yo-Yo]

Rove, the Magnificent Bastard, was on F&F this morning and he had a different take on the matter. According to him, McCain had to run all the tossups plus flip a Blue State.

Rove also had Ohio in the Zero column.

[cookcounty]

From the UK TimesOnline, A VERY intersting comment on how polls are done in the US:

_________________

"British polls are properly and carefully weighted, taking account of what is known as the spiral of silence – the tendency of voters for the less fashionable party to keep their intentions to themselves. British pollsters weight their results to allow for these shy voters. US pollsters do not."

"It isn’t unreasonable to believe that there could be a Republican spiral of silence. And that US pollsters are all missing it."

-----

And has there been a year in recent history where one candidate was less "fashionable" than this year??? I don't think so.

[Pyro7480]

270-268 McCain: McCain wins Virginia, Minnesota, and Florida, along with the other "battleground" red states; Obama wins Nevada, New Mexico, and Colorado.

[flattorney]

Latest update.....

In all battleground states McCain is now within the margin of error and undecided voters +/-. RCP had a big shift to undecided voters, from NObama, in their EC projection this morning. McCain held an incredible rally last night in Miami. - FlA



10.30.08: Don't Let the Polls Affect Your Vote by Karl Rove

FlAttorney's FR "Straight Talk": 2008 Presidential Election Updated 24/7

TAB

[word_warrior_bob]

I like 270towin.com

I have McCain with MINIMUM of 311/312.

I wouldn’t be surprised if we then take Wisconsin and Minnesota.

Still not out of reach is Oregon and Washington and possibly Michigan.

[M0sby]

PING TO YOU