Posted on 11/03/2008 6:36:27 AM PST by SoftwareEngineer
On Monday, the final full day of campaigning for Election 2008, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows Barack Obama with 52% of the vote while John McCain is six points back at 46%. That’s up a single point for Obama from his 51% to 46% advantage yesterday. There is just one more night of tracking and our final results for Election 2008 will be published here tomorrow morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
They are aware that they are sampling more dems and it is doubtful they are doing it to make Obama win. They have data to support their position. I hate to be a naysayer, but the polling is not good and indicates we made a tactical error supporting Obama in the primaries.
I feel very dark right now. I feel there are forces at work far bigger than the parties here and this presidential and senate race are merely part of one puzzle piece toward transferring control and wealth to forces which have been waiting patiently for decades to align themselves. There will be massive change and many of us will not like what that means and others will herald this change as if its the second coming of Christ or Allah.
I am beginning to think we have had no clue what Bush has protected us from these past 8 years and we should have been more supportive. I am still wondering what role Sarah Palin will have in the coming years. Perhaps she will be a rallying point for a future backlash or maybe the face of a vast underground opposition party.
I feel as though we have some very dark days ahead of us and that it will be important to remember who was sucked in by Obama and who was not and be careful of those who are drinking the kool aide with abandon.
Sorry for being such a downer, but my reality checker is telling me we are in major denial. Unless God’s hand is still protecting this nation, this election is lost and we will need to have his protection on us as individuals in the coming years.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
By any means necessary.
How sad we actually have to be afraid of our government if our fellow citizens elect this guy. Am I the only one who feels a little physically ill with fear? I have always taken politics too personally and maybe felt a little like Rush: I will not be happy until every single person agrees with me. ;) But this time it is so different. We face having leadership with decidedly un-American values. All we can hope is that our right to dissent is not squelched and that Americans, after getting a taste of far left leadership, will turn them out in the next 2 election cycles.
FWIW, I was polled yesterday by Rasmussen. I indicated I had voted for Obama.
Beautifully put, and it’s nice to read the kinds of projections I was making about a month ago, before I become temporarily disheartened by this endless onslaught of mock inevitability by way of polling “results”. I was predicting a 55/45 McCain landslide, and now I am back to feeling that is entirely possible.
If there are riots, accompanied by the usual Democrat make-believe outrage, I hope it is loud and extreme enough to make a whole new audience for it turn off to Democrats for the next hundred years.
My predictions for the Popular Vote:
McCuda: 50.0%
Osama bin Biden: 48.9%
All others: 1.1%
My predictions for the Electoral Vote:
McCuda: 287
Osama bin Biden: 249
EV prediction includes 1 EV from ME, plus PA for McCuda. Osama bin Biden includes CO, NM, MN, NH and IA.
Winning PA makes all good...fingers are crossed!
So you can subtract at least 3 percentage points, and he doesn't get 50% of the vote.
So what is this "data" that they're privy to that we don't have?
Why hasn't the IBD poll use these oversampled Dem numbers? They are also reputable pollsters, and they have nowhere near the numbers that Rasmussen is spewing.
The pollsters are relentless right up to the last day. They are being paid to discourage McCain/Palin voters, and it will not work, not this time.
Obama cannot possibly steal or manufacture enough votes to outnumber the combined energized Republican voters, the Hillary crossovers (maybe 8 million), the blue collar white voters, the coal country voters, the electricity users, and all the other voters who are or have been disenfrenchfried by his bloviated plans.
And don't discount working black voters who know a blow-hard, unprincipled street thug when they see one.
A large and active, well publicized movement could take away the power of these pollsters next time. Let it be known far and wide that Conservatives, in droves, register Independent. As they say, “Independent” is the new “Conservative”. Let it be known far and wide that this same group will not participate in ANY poll. If enough do not participate in the poll then it removes their ability to guess with any “pretended” accuracy. (I think).
Unless the media and pollsters can be disempowered, we are up against a wall of misinformation, tailored information, propaganda in every election.
“The pollsters are relentless right up to the last day. They are being paid to discourage McCain/Palin voters, and it will not work, not this time.”
I hope you are right about this. And I hope that their ploy does not work. And I hope that the volume of voter fraud does not make up the difference for BO.
I hope, I hope, I hope ....
And another thing I hope. I hope that someday we can look at the polls and find them to be somewhat reflective of the actual sentiment of the general American public.
One can hope.
Obama would have to steal or manufacture 30 million or more votes to break even with the popular vote.
Just to break even in his battleground states, he would have to steal or manufacture more than 10 million votes.
Tomorrow night we will know, starting with Virginia. The media will try to call the state at 7:01pm EST. They will probably try to call it for Obama, but they'll have to retract their calls later. The anti-Obama force will prevail, come rain, sleet, snow, or blow.
Remember:-
“Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large . Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process.”(The famous Zogby special sauce!)
“During the final two months of Election 2008, party weighting targets are updated each Sunday .For the final few days of Election 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 39.9% Democratic, 33.4% Republican, and 26.7% unaffiliated.”
Again, what were the final Rasmussen numbers in 2004?
Again, what were the final Rasmussen numbers in 2004?
260 is not that far away from a win...It will be close.
like you said ....99% of the vote in California for barry still means 55 electoral votes.....no more..
STAY STRONG PEOPLE....REMEMBER THE PUMA PEOPLE HAVE WARNED ABOUT THIS FALSE BRAVADO AND POLLING ON THE DEMOCRAT SIDE FOR SOME TIME....
EAGLES UP!
and when McPalin are sweep into office, and there are riots in the inner cities, how long do you think it will take barry to say something to stop it?.....about as quick as he was to denounce the threat of gang rape on Sarah Palin ....which means he won’t do a thing....
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