Posted on 11/01/2008 10:05:21 PM PDT by tatown
Today: Obama-49.5%, McCain-43.8%, Undecided-6.7%
Yesterday: Obama-49.1%, McCain-44.1%, Undecided-6.8%
this sample includes Halloween night. Z splits his sample across 2 days to include the previous evening.
I think one big thing this shows is that whatever method Zogby uses it is wildly inconsistent which calls into question its usefulness.
obama Winning men????? me and many others yesterday said not to believe the zogby poll. one day mccain +1 and next obama +10(thats wat he says his one day polling was today)
zogby has been doing more with the special sauce than just adding it to the polls
He has Obama +10 on Saturday, 52-42. From down 1 on Friday 48-47.
Zogby has lost all credibility as a pollster.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
#1, Republicans don’t poll as well on weekends
#2, It sounds like Zogby discounts his own product
#3, With this much volatility, we know you can’t rely on these numbers.
#4, There’s too much guess work on their parts in trying to predict the gap between GOP and DEM voters.
he has Odumbo up in almost every people group...this is just plain absolute horse sh*t .....catholics? Hispanics? Single women? Not single women? Men? Aliens? Dead People?
What in the bloody hell is this country that I fought so hard to protect turning into?????????????????????????????
Especially with Halloween, how the hell does McCain run 48/47 on Friday? Fishy
The guys a clown.
Sounds to me like Zogby got a call from the “special police”.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
“It sounds like Zogby discounts his own product”
Along with everyone else. He missed the California primary by something like 20 points. You really have to try hard to blow an election that bad.
And for the record I think Zogby is basically a total loon who just makes his freakin' numbers up.
As sad as it is to say at this point Rasmussen is probably the most reputable poll because he has large sample sizes and openly publishes his party weighting for the poll. And it basically comes down to whether his 7%+ advantage to the Democrats is off as to whether we can win. And most polls seem to be assuming this huge Democrat advantage in turnout this election, so basically the polls will have to be wrong.
Z’s friday sample doesn’t include Friday evening. He straddles his sample across 2 days to include the previous day’s evening and the daytime of the current day. So today’s sample actually reflects Halloween evening.
That is a pretty good sign that the poll is flawed. No Democrat has won the male vote since 1964. Obama won’t either.
Zogby said that Obama outpolled McCain today 52-42. Yesterday it was 48-47 McCain. Bogus, crapola, out of the realm of possibility.
Lay off the special sauce then, Zogby. Try actually calling people with someone other than college students.
*BUMP*
If he polls a lot in New York City, San Francisco and Los Angeles O is going to have a lead. Fortunately, the big cities matter less on a national level.
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