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Zogby: O-49.5%, M-43.8%, U-6.7%
Zogby | 11/2/2008 | Zogby

Posted on 11/01/2008 10:05:21 PM PDT by tatown

Today: Obama-49.5%, McCain-43.8%, Undecided-6.7%

Yesterday: Obama-49.1%, McCain-44.1%, Undecided-6.8%


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; mccain; obama; poll; zogby
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To: tatown

this sample includes Halloween night. Z splits his sample across 2 days to include the previous evening.


21 posted on 11/01/2008 10:11:28 PM PDT by GoSarah
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To: tatown

I think one big thing this shows is that whatever method Zogby uses it is wildly inconsistent which calls into question its usefulness.


22 posted on 11/01/2008 10:11:59 PM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: tatown

obama Winning men????? me and many others yesterday said not to believe the zogby poll. one day mccain +1 and next obama +10(thats wat he says his one day polling was today)

zogby has been doing more with the special sauce than just adding it to the polls


23 posted on 11/01/2008 10:11:59 PM PDT by Palin-Jindal 2012
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To: Uncledave
If Zog had McCain up by 1 in one day sample Friday, for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday.

He has Obama +10 on Saturday, 52-42. From down 1 on Friday 48-47.

Zogby has lost all credibility as a pollster.

24 posted on 11/01/2008 10:12:09 PM PDT by saquin
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To: tatown
Obama has 21% support among conservatives and McCain has just 3 point lead with men? Its a fishwrap for sure.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

25 posted on 11/01/2008 10:12:32 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: tatown

#1, Republicans don’t poll as well on weekends
#2, It sounds like Zogby discounts his own product
#3, With this much volatility, we know you can’t rely on these numbers.
#4, There’s too much guess work on their parts in trying to predict the gap between GOP and DEM voters.


26 posted on 11/01/2008 10:12:43 PM PDT by daniel885
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To: Uncledave

he has Odumbo up in almost every people group...this is just plain absolute horse sh*t .....catholics? Hispanics? Single women? Not single women? Men? Aliens? Dead People?

What in the bloody hell is this country that I fought so hard to protect turning into?????????????????????????????


27 posted on 11/01/2008 10:13:15 PM PDT by HuzzahSnyper
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To: Uncledave
If Zog had McCain up by 1 in one day sample Friday, for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday. Doesn't’t add up that Friday and Saturday would be so completely different. I’m calling BS”

Especially with Halloween, how the hell does McCain run 48/47 on Friday? Fishy

28 posted on 11/01/2008 10:13:53 PM PDT by DAC21
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To: tatown

The guys a clown.


29 posted on 11/01/2008 10:14:14 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (It's the Marxism Stupid!)
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To: tatown

Sounds to me like Zogby got a call from the “special police”.


30 posted on 11/01/2008 10:14:17 PM PDT by curth (Sarah Palin IS America - McCain-Palin '08)
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To: saquin
That makes no sense whatsoever. Except to inhabitants of the planet Zargon who know Obama can both win and lose at the same time!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

31 posted on 11/01/2008 10:14:29 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: daniel885

“It sounds like Zogby discounts his own product”

Along with everyone else. He missed the California primary by something like 20 points. You really have to try hard to blow an election that bad.


32 posted on 11/01/2008 10:14:34 PM PDT by MittFan08
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To: tatown
Remember that due to the way that Zogby does his polling across two days, half of a daily sample is from the prior night's polling and half is from the next day, this includes Halloween night polling for whatever that is worth.

And for the record I think Zogby is basically a total loon who just makes his freakin' numbers up.

As sad as it is to say at this point Rasmussen is probably the most reputable poll because he has large sample sizes and openly publishes his party weighting for the poll. And it basically comes down to whether his 7%+ advantage to the Democrats is off as to whether we can win. And most polls seem to be assuming this huge Democrat advantage in turnout this election, so basically the polls will have to be wrong.

33 posted on 11/01/2008 10:14:54 PM PDT by bcatwilly (West Virginia is McCain-Palin Country!)
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To: saquin
He has Obama +10 on Saturday, 52-42. From down 1 on Friday 48-47. Zogby has lost all credibility as a pollster.

Honestly, I'm all for freedom of speech, but his poll should be banned for FR the next two days..lmao. That's just so ridiculous it's laughable.
34 posted on 11/01/2008 10:15:45 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: DAC21

Z’s friday sample doesn’t include Friday evening. He straddles his sample across 2 days to include the previous day’s evening and the daytime of the current day. So today’s sample actually reflects Halloween evening.


35 posted on 11/01/2008 10:15:52 PM PDT by GoSarah
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To: Palin-Jindal 2012

That is a pretty good sign that the poll is flawed. No Democrat has won the male vote since 1964. Obama won’t either.


36 posted on 11/01/2008 10:15:52 PM PDT by WestFlorida
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To: Jackie Treehorn

Zogby said that Obama outpolled McCain today 52-42. Yesterday it was 48-47 McCain. Bogus, crapola, out of the realm of possibility.


37 posted on 11/01/2008 10:16:16 PM PDT by techno
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To: daniel885

Lay off the special sauce then, Zogby. Try actually calling people with someone other than college students.


38 posted on 11/01/2008 10:16:41 PM PDT by struggle ((The struggle continues))
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To: jwalsh07
'Statistical noise but we are long past national tracking polls. They don’t mean squat any more.'

*BUMP*

39 posted on 11/01/2008 10:16:47 PM PDT by T Lady (Palin-Jindal 2012)
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To: tatown

If he polls a lot in New York City, San Francisco and Los Angeles O is going to have a lead. Fortunately, the big cities matter less on a national level.


40 posted on 11/01/2008 10:17:30 PM PDT by monkeyshine
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