Posted on 10/31/2008 10:03:30 AM PDT by jerod
The high water mark for Democratic votes during a Presidential campaign is 59 million in 2004 and Kerry lost.
Are all of those voters going to vote for Obama this year?
Kerry although very liberal, was a Vietnam veteran. That made him acceptable to conservative Democrats and they voted for him in droves.
Will those same conservative Democrats vote for Obama? I see no reason for them to do so.
Hillary Clinton received 18 million votes running against Barry O.
Will those 18 million vote for Obama? Not all of them and it is more than reasonable to assume that millions won't.
So if we assume that millions of traditional Democrat voters are not voting for Obama, those who are conservative and those who supported Hillary, then exactly who is voting for him?
Republican's certainly aren't, with the exception of Jim Leech, the Obama campaign have produced almost no big name Republicans who support their candidate.
So Obama is going to lose millions, let's give it a raw number... let's say a conservative estimate of 5 million from a total of 59 million who voted for Kerry in 2004 and according to most pollsters he supposedly is going to win this election.
I believe it defies reality to believe that Obama can make up 5 million lost votes.
The amount of voters skyrocketed in 2004 for a very good reason. The Iraq war. Kerry and Democrats wanted to end it, Bush and Republicans wanted to continue on.
The fear of Democrats winning drove 62 million to vote Republican in 2004. A staggering number of votes, but an indication of the power of fear.
There is only one central issue in this campaign and his name is Barry/Barack Hussian Obama. If 62 million American's showed up and voted for Bush in an effort to stop the Democrats from ending or screwing up the Iraq war, how many will show up to stop Obama from becoming President?
They say the turnout for this election may be enormous, but polls being conducted by traditional pollsters using Democrat oversampling may be very out of whack this year.
I fully expect that there will be more Americans voting this year than ever, but Pollsters and Pundits should not count out the possibility that Republicans and conservative voters, including a lot of Democrats who do not support McCain, voting for McCain to avoid a disastrous Obama Presidency.
My big worry is Obama stealing the election. He doesn’t have to do it everywhere, just in key precincts, big cities, and swing states.
Kennedy stole the election from Nixon: LBJ stole Texas for him, and the Daley Machine stole Illinois. Those two states were all he needed.
Well, the Daley machine is working for Obama now, who is himself an experienced election stealer. Obama never actually won an election; he just stole them, by crookedly eliminating his opponents and by working the South Side and rigging the ballot boxes. He is determined to do it again.
So it will be a real fight.
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