Nice analysis. Thanks for posting.
Republicans tend to vote early via absentee ballot, in person early voting almost always goes heavy Demicratic (although this is a bigger than normal difference).
So long as they only vote once, it only the final total that counts. Remember Obama has been pushing early voting and has the ground game in place. If we believe the MSM, you’d think no Obama supporter could wait until Nov 4 and they’d all vote, at least once, during the early voting.
IF, and it’s a big IF, the exit polling is accurate in this Redstate blog, throw in the Bradley effect and McPalin could sail to victory in a number of swing States.
Was the 50-48 Clark County or state wide? This seems to mix state and county data together...
And it's looking good for the GOP almost everywhere else if you adjust poll data for obvious Democrat oversampling bias.
This election isn't in the bag for Barry by a long shot!
I have not received one phone call, one flier, and when I signed up to help again, they never even called back. Meanwhile Bambi has had an office open here for months. Republican's just started two weeks ago.
Elko county is what put us over the finish line. I asked the guy at the office why they were not getting the vote out and he said they thought this area was safe. I hope so, I reminded him we have transients coming in and out of here due to the mines needing help.
I’m not surprised.
There are 2 reliable Democrats in my family, one is a male lifelong union member from Detroit, the other a hardcore female lib from Boston. I love to argue politics with them and have been stymied in my efforts this time.
She thinks Barack screwed Hillary over and won’t vote.
He thinks there will be a race war so is voting McCain.
Strangely enough I didn’t have to prey on their paranoia at all, they came to these conclusions themselves. Sometimes the tinfoilers can be an advantage for us :)
Does anybody have any idea how many actual PUMAS there are?
Golly, I hate early voting. It only enables a dumbed-down electorate. The 0bamaggots knew what they were doing when they went all in on early voting. The way their rotten boat is springing leaks they need to get as many votes locked away as possible before it comes compeletely unglued. If the Times has to give up a video of Obama and Ayers sitting listening to a terrorist talk about killing Jews while they eat their chocolate mousse it may cause discomfort for Democrats who have not yet totally embraced evil.
Ping!
There is no way that Democrats will outnumber Republicans by 55% to 29% by the time all the votes are counted in Nevada (I don’t really know what that number is, I am hoping you could provide some insight). And that does not count the Bradley Effect either. Also, I am unsure how to project the Hispanic support, or lack thereof, for McCain in other states.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nevada
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania
ATTENTION: GOTV INFORMATION
http://ace.mu.nu/
October 28, 2008
GOTV Match-Up Thread
—Ace
Please, keep chatter to a minimum.
State where you are, where you can go, and if you’re offering or seeking transpo or lodging.
No digressions. Don’t make a maniac out of me. Do digressions, tips, and chitty-chat in an open thread post I’ll start now. Keep this clean of static. Just to match willing canvassers and phone-bankers with rides and beds.
Tips about buses and stuff McCain is offering is of course permitted.
Posted by Ace at 08:08 PM
Get On the Bus: GOTV Information Added
Rasmussen: Striking Distance in Pennsylvania
—Ace
Seven points.
Hey, NJ and NY morons. Even Connecticut morons. You know there’s not a damn thing you can do in your own states.
How about a working vacation for 2-3 days in Pennsylvania, Saturday through Sunday?
Pennsylvania’s nice. Lovely foliage this time of year. And it’s filled with racists and bitter clingy people with guns and Bibles, so you should fit right in.
It’s not that hard. And besides, you can go out and take over bars with your fellow morons after seven. Then maybe go out in your Ford trucks and run down homosexuals.
This is Sort of What I Mean By the GOP Getting on the
(More.....)
I live in Clark County , I voted early last weekend, and judging by the demographics I observed at the polls, I am not sure that Obama can carry Clark County. Without Clark County Nevada will be red Nov 4.