Posted on 10/21/2008 6:00:23 AM PDT by impeachedrapist
Obama's numbers in OH stink, and PA isn't much better. He's hurting in FL. McCain's putting on the pressure in NH, WI, MN, IA, CO, VA and rumor has it even MI again. And McCain/Palin are just now employing their ad blitz. Life is good, and barring a major October/November surprise the lightweight Marxist has been defeated.
But we still have plenty of work to do. There are a bunch of vulnerable freshmen Dem representatives in the House. The GOP has about 20 realistic pick-up opportunities. See my list below:
AL-05
AZ-05
CA-11
GA-08
IL-14
KS-02
KY-03
LA-06
MS-01
NH-01
NH-02
NY-20
PA-07
PA-08
PA-10
PA-11
TX-22
TX-23
WI-08
And my personal favorite! PA-12 (tough, but doable thanks to Murtha the Marine smearing racist)
Details on these races (website links, voting percentages, fundraising numbers, etc.) are here spread throughout this thread.
The current count is Dems 233, GOP 202. The Pubbies unfortunately do have to defend a lot of seats due to retirement. To retake the House they'd need to basically run the table on defending those seats and win about 16 of those above pick-up opportunities. Possible, but not likely. However, a solid McCain/Palin win in this anti-incumbent environment could provide enough of a push. And just cutting into the Dems' current 31-seat lead, after months of them gloating, will be very demoralizing.
If you've been thinking about donating your time and/or money, now's the time.
Too bad positive attitudes don’t win elections?
One thing is certain, negative attitudes LOSE elections.
The Plunger brigade was out in force in Comming Ga. yesterday. Plungers, enthusiastic HAPPY Republicans,
great LOUD music, right on the main throughfair.
I didn’t see a single Obasign driving around.
I’m sure downtown Atlanta has it’s share, but in the hinterlands it’s Mc/P.
We have got to get out and show we are not fighting this fight alone, too much is at stake.
Send Sarah and John to Washington with a MANDATE!
“I live in NC and there is NO WAY that Obama is going to come close to winning this state. That is one way that I know a lot of these polls are bogus. “
I suggest you (and everyone else who keeps shouting that NC and VA could never vote for Obama) check out this morning’s article from The Washington Times (the _conservative_ paper, not the Washington ComPost):
http://washingtontimes.com/news/2008/oct/26/the-color-purple-one-of-change/
It’s quite an eye-opener.
- John
Would you like me to pull up some articles from 2004 discussing how Kerry was changing the equation in VA and NC?
bttt
Bump
Try this verbatim quote:
Military voters, who favored President Bush in 2004, have overwhelmingly been making donations to the Obama campaign over Mr. McCain, a decorated Vietnam veteran. The Democratic ticket has made frequent visits to the pockets of Virginia and North Carolina that boast big populations of military families. Dozens of troops and their children waited to catch a glimpse of Mr. Obama at a recent rally in Fayetteville, home of Fort Bragg.
Hear that? Dozens!
And there is no verification that they are really troops; and their children are only registered by Acorn.
And get a load of the follow-up quotes:
"I have a child with diabetes and I have a son who did two tours in Iraq. And I just feel like President Bush, with his policies, has tried to kill both of my kids," said Mrs. Pirner, a teacher in Barrackville, W.Va.
They are quoting TEACHERS from to prove that North Carolina is going for Barack?
Even for a troll, this should have stood out as enough to discredit the article.
Now we move into the class warfare "worst economy in the last 50 years" Jeremiad:
They have seen record unemployment, and young families that moved there from more expensive parts of the Northeast are seeing their health care costs skyrocket.
Record unemployment? As of July 2008, according to CNN, Virginia unemployment was 4.0%. West Virginia was 5.3%. North Carolins was 6.0%.
Sigh. Sometimes there are so many fish in the barrel, you run out of ammo.
Better luck next time, troll.
Cheers!
“Better luck next time, troll”
Cheers back to you, my FRiend.
We will see in another week just how North Carolina and Virginia vote.
I would prefer to see overwhelming majorities for McCain. But I think the results are going to be dismaying.
How’s the Virginia Republican for the Senate polling, as of late?
- John
“I do not know why an obviously intelligent man would believe an article from the Washington Post rather than a 58 YO well-educated woman who has lived in NC all her life”
Ummmm... go back and see where the article I posted CAME FROM.
It was NOT from “The Washington Post”.
Learn to read before you reply.
- John
>> No more AmeriCAN’T and RepubliCAN’T.
>> AmeriCAN and RepubliCAN in November!
I like your attitude :)
I like to think we have no choice in the matter at any point until we’re all pushing daisies.
God bless!
And how are the pollsters overweighting the youth vote and ignoring the PUMA voters and Operation Chaos voters?
Nice try, troll.
Cheers!
Refutation accomplished, by the way, by quoting the internals of the article.
Just as many of the depressing polls are refuted by examining their internals.
Cheers!
“Incidentally — your troll status is now “Probable” since you didn’t bother to acknowledge my refutation of your attempted demoralization article from the Washington Times.”
I just found it interesting that The Washington Times - which is known for its conservatism - would run that article in the first place.
It stood out from the usual pieces I read on their website - none of which espouse a liberal line.
That they would even post it, seems to indicate that things aren’t going to be a cakewalk for Mr. McCain in Virginia. If he wins, it will be close. And I _do_ hope that he wins there, as well as in North Carolina.
Again - the votes will do the talkin’ on November 4th!
And I know who I’m voting for... :)
- John
Therefore it is agitprop.
So it doesn't actually add any weight to the cries of "Merciful Lord Obama" coming from the MSM, the Dems, and the trolls.
By the way, are you willing to state publicly and unequivocally on this forum that you are voting for McCain/Palin instead of for Obama/Biden in this presidential election?
Cheers!
“By the way, are you willing to state publicly and unequivocally on this forum that you are voting for McCain/Palin instead of for Obama/Biden in this presidential election?”
Yup. I DON’T vote for democrats (and refuse to even capitalize that word).
By the way, I would have cheerfully voted for Rudy, too. And for Thompson (my first choice), Huckabee, Romney, Hunter, etc. The only exception might have been Ron Paul. But I still would have voted “R” for the rest of the local ticket.
Now it’s time for YOU to respond my FRiend...
Did you support McCain before the nomination? Or were you one of those here (of whom there were MANY) who said they would NEVER vote for him?
Would you have supported Rudy had he been the nominee?
Cheers back to you!
- John
Bump
I'm too busy at work (have to go back for another hour or two yet tonight!) to do the looking through your own history; and you are more familiar with it anyway.
I was a confirmed FREDhead. And I thought that he lost in the polls when the shills and whores at Politico started insinuating before *each* primary that "If he doesn't ace this one, he's dropping out. He's sinking anyway."
Note that Jonathan Martin ("covers" the GOP my ass; stabs in the back is more like it) has #2 on the favorite list of sites as Daily KOS. WTF?
I would not have voted for Rudy "Epic Fail" Guiliani in the general; I was wavering on holding my nose for McCain or sitting out, until Palin was nominated.
Evidence of my enthusiasm for PALIN over McCain is found here,here, and here. Note the posting dates.
As it is, I think McCain can still win: and if we can persuade other GOPers, he may win by over 300 EV. The polls are cooked for Obama in a way I have never seen before, including one a couple of weeks ago which had West Virginia as "leans Obama" with 55% Dems and 35% GOP representation - in which Obama only had an 8-point lead despite the 20-point head start.
It would help your credibility if you would start posting the internals of the polls : e.g. overweighting of minorities and women; overweighting of democrats; overweighting of young voters; analysis of landlines vs. cell phones; and comparing predictions of Dems and pollsters regarding early voting to the trends actually observed (e.g. Dems up by 1000 votes in CA early voting despite predictions of a grass roots tidal wave of early voting).
And if you were able to acknowledge the Operation Chaos and PUMA contibutions -- e.g. the former editor of Ms. Magazine publicly writing an article comparing Palin's brains to famous Democrats of the past...
Cheers!
Bump
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