Posted on 10/20/2008 3:12:43 PM PDT by Chet 99
People get all focused on the states, but the states will generally fall in line with the popular vote.
I feel that a lot of the Obama supporters are voting for him simply to see what they can get for ‘free’. Period.
after the Palin/RNC Denver surge and before the Lehman collpase and subsequent media attacks
I know of one person who wants obama and he will probably be too drunk and lazy to vote
As for signs well there is not one yard sign for obama where I live not one but there are a few McCain
stickers
I’d say this part of Florida there is about 5 to 6 McCain to 1 obama and that is when I go into Jacksonville
many who have nothing to show who they support are all going for McCain as well.
I must point out I am in the north east part of Fl where it is more conservative but all down the east coast to half way it is mostly McCain from what I have seen and the people I have talked to
Others on here from the Tampa area are saying it is for McCain as well .
the panhandle is for MCCain without a doubt and I talked to a friend down in west palm beach and they said it is running about 2 to 1 for McCain which went for Kerry.
This area is where most older north easterners retire too
Kerry was more popular as he was a known north east Democrat obama is a unknown to the older folks who moved south
sorry for it being long but just wanted to explain it better why I think that
It will be truly amazing of Obama spends over half a billion dollars and doesn’t get elected, though it makes me wonder if the end of the election spending won’t cause a recession all by itself.
So the poll starts out Obama +6.7 and when Scott completes the poll it's McCain +1? That means McCain should be ahead 5-10% in Florida.
What will be the reaction on the street if Obama wins the popular vote by even larger margins than Gore? But loses EC..It’s likely to happen.
Obama has so much stupid money, he is advertising in deep red states like TX, etc. (national prime time ads) He’ll knock down the McCain winning margins in those states, still have monster wins in CA and NY... an electoral/popular split is possible.
If that is combined with huge Dem gains in Congress, the situation will be frighteningly ugly. (but it beats the alternative!)
Of course, I could just see McCain to be stupid enough to do the “honorable” thing and stand down in such a situation, and order his Electors to go for Obama... sigh..
Ras has been cooking the books worse than Fannie Mae. Now that McCain doesn’t have time to raise funds we are going to start seeing the real polls.
Pray for W, McCuda and Our Troops
Didn’t I read somewhere that Obama is carrying the Jewish vote in Florida?. Wow they and Farrakan have alot more in common than I thought.
The estimate for FL was Kerry got 77% of the Jewish vote and Obama might get around 57%.
However, I was not happy seeing Hillary campaign with Obama in FL. I thought she and Bill were doing the bare minimum.
I am hoping Obama gets less than 50% of the Jewish vote. Israelis are horrified that Americans may elect Obama.
Once again my predictions.
McCain- 55%, Obama- 44%
House- GOP 15-20+
Senate- Dems 2-4+
Yeah I am in S FL and I cannot see large pockets of votes for Obama. Kerry did 77% among Jewish voters and they are expecting 57% for Obama. African Americans I think are about 11% of the pop.
Obama got smashed by Hillary in the primary so a lot of N central blue dog Dems will go McCain.
Charlie Crist (RINO Gov) got +7% in 2006 and Bush was +5% in 2004.
I am concerned about CO and VA plus thinking PA will go McCain. Murtha’s ranting and Ed Rendell not going out of his way for Obama lead me to believe PA is in play. Western PA is more like OH.
More Predictions.
Dem Vote For Obama- 82%
GOP Vte For McCain- 95%
Indies- McCain- 53%, Obama- 45%, Third Parties- 2%
Yes, this is good. But, this is 2 different polls where we have seen McPalin up in 2 crucial battle ground states. I know polls are often bogus, but the fact that even with a bigger Dem sample we are ahead is a good thing.
Yeah baby! America is sobering up as election day nears.
Floridian here. Just voted absentee for McCain.
I had to pinch my nose hard though.
Just letting you all know.
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