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Rasmussen: McCain 49%, Obama 48% in Florida
Rasmussen ^
Posted on 10/20/2008 3:12:43 PM PDT by Chet 99
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1
posted on
10/20/2008 3:12:43 PM PDT
by
Chet 99
Rassmussen sure is all over the place on the state polls.
2
posted on
10/20/2008 3:14:12 PM PDT
by
eureka!
(Hey mushy middle: Who is Barrack 0bama? Wait until you learn the answer. It's not pretty.)
To: Perdogg
Do you have Ras’ weighting for this? I’m not a member on his site.
3
posted on
10/20/2008 3:14:31 PM PDT
by
perfect_rovian_storm
(You MUST see this website: http://www.neverfindout.org/)
To: Chet 99
To: eureka!
They’re garbage. He has one of MO showing McCain down by 5. It is because he does a one day sample. Obama had a big rally on Saturday in MO, so Rasmussen polls a single day. Surprise surprise, Obama has a big night. A reputable pollster does 3 days for this reasons.
5
posted on
10/20/2008 3:16:05 PM PDT
by
Chet 99
(Vote McCain/Palin, or this will be our future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTb5EFZmgbs)
To: perfect_rovian_storm
His polling weight is +6.7% democrats.
6
posted on
10/20/2008 3:16:44 PM PDT
by
Perdogg
(Raila Amollo Odinga - community organizer)
To: Chet 99
from what I see and know here Mccain will win more than 3 points I say 5 points
7
posted on
10/20/2008 3:17:23 PM PDT
by
manc
(Marriage is between a man and a woman no sick MA,CT sham marriage end racism end affirmative action)
To: Perdogg
For the state ones too? No wonder they’re all screwed. I would have thought he would take into account the demographics of each state.
Party id in 2006 was:
D:36 R:39 I:25
No way is +6.7 Dems going to be representative of reality.
8
posted on
10/20/2008 3:18:54 PM PDT
by
perfect_rovian_storm
(You MUST see this website: http://www.neverfindout.org/)
To: Perdogg
Really
these pollsters have not thought about all the Dems who do not want obama, many independents will go for obama and the undecideds will go for Mccain as they will remember the negative connections
9
posted on
10/20/2008 3:19:12 PM PDT
by
manc
(Marriage is between a man and a woman no sick MA,CT sham marriage end racism end affirmative action)
To: perfect_rovian_storm
good point
obama will lose here more than Kerry did
10
posted on
10/20/2008 3:20:01 PM PDT
by
manc
(Marriage is between a man and a woman no sick MA,CT sham marriage end racism end affirmative action)
To: Perdogg
How does that 6.7% compare with the past several years?
I’m betting it mysteriously doubled around the first of 2008.
11
posted on
10/20/2008 3:21:54 PM PDT
by
bigbob
To: perfect_rovian_storm; Perdogg
Perdogg,
That 6.7% is for his national polling. I am not sure what he uses for his state polling. Each state would be different.
12
posted on
10/20/2008 3:24:40 PM PDT
by
avacado
(Barack Obama, the Cloward-Piven candidate)
To: Chet 99
Re#5. Thanks. Frankly, I don’t know if anyone could weight the polls with any confidence this cycle. So many factors, e.g., PUMAs (saw recently a 30% number of Hillary supporters that are not in BO’s camp), Bradley/Wilder effect (amongst democrats and GOP voters are already not going to vote for BO), an invigorated GOP base (the Palin Effect and a genuine fear of BO by many others), Operation Chaos (as to democrat registration numbers in the latter ‘rat primary states) and the fact that the polls were so far off in the last of the democrat primaries where Hillary blew off BO’s doors in PA and the like. Heck, based on the foregoing and anecdotal evidence I see, I think a 1994 redux is possible with, if not similar results, a happy ending for our camp. Time will tell...
13
posted on
10/20/2008 3:24:55 PM PDT
by
eureka!
(Hey mushy middle: Who is Barrack 0bama? Wait until you learn the answer. It's not pretty.)
To: bigbob
Florida 2004
GOP 41
DEM 37
Ind 23
14
posted on
10/20/2008 3:25:17 PM PDT
by
Perdogg
(Raila Amollo Odinga - community organizer)
To: avacado; Perdogg
I think we need someone with a membership to get the internal numbers.
15
posted on
10/20/2008 3:26:16 PM PDT
by
perfect_rovian_storm
(You MUST see this website: http://www.neverfindout.org/)
To: eureka!
Don't forget the 'Joe the Plumber' bump!
Remember all the states Hillary won? Methinks most will not go for Obama..
16
posted on
10/20/2008 3:28:01 PM PDT
by
ImProudToBeAnAmerican
(Tom Daschle is deeply saddened... Remember him? Bahahahahahahahahaha!)
To: Chet 99
17
posted on
10/20/2008 3:28:49 PM PDT
by
Jeff Head
(Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
To: Rokke; ROTB; trumandogz; Names Ash Housewares
18
posted on
10/20/2008 3:29:34 PM PDT
by
nutmeg
(Sarah Palin/Joe the Plumber 2008)
To: ImProudToBeAnAmerican
19
posted on
10/20/2008 3:30:53 PM PDT
by
eureka!
(Hey mushy middle: Who is Barrack 0bama? Wait until you learn the answer. It's not pretty.)
To: Chet 99
20
posted on
10/20/2008 3:31:10 PM PDT
by
kingattax
(99 % of liberals give the rest a bad name)
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