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Obama leads McCain by 6% in Virginia
Christopher Newport University ^ | 10-16-08 | Dr. Quentin Kidd

Posted on 10/16/2008 5:48:56 PM PDT by UCAL

Obama leads McCain in Virginia

(NEWPORT NEWS, VA) – With just under three weeks to go before Election Day, Senator Barack Obama leads Senator John McCain in Virginia by 6.0% among likely voters, 49.2% to 43.2%. Obama’s lead appears to be driven by voter concerns about the economy. Asked to name the top issue that they would like candidates to address between now and Election Day, just over six in ten likely voters say the economy. No other issue breaks double digits. These findings are from the Christopher Newport University Virginia Poll conducted October 11-14 of 500 likely voters.

When asked which would be the second issue that they would like the candidates to address between now and Election Day, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan top the list at 20.4%, followed closely by health care at 18.5% and then the economy, gas prices and energy policy, and terrorism. Fewer than 7% want the candidates to address the personal character and integrity of the candidates, suggesting that voters have not responded well to Senator McCain’s efforts to make Senator Obama’s character and integrity an issue in the final weeks of the election.

Nearly 50% of voters think that Joe Biden is the stronger Vice Presidential candidate, compared to just one in three who say Sarah Palin is the stronger Vice Presidential candidate.

(Excerpt) Read more at universityrelations.cnu.edu ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2008debates; 2008polls; election; electionpresident; poll; swingstates; universitypoll; va2008; virginia
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To: TaxRelief
Really? Then VA should not even be competitive in a presidential election. But it does elect Democrats now.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

41 posted on 10/16/2008 6:05:50 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: UCAL

This is just another BS poll the Libs are using to suppress Republican votes.


42 posted on 10/16/2008 6:07:25 PM PDT by PackerBoy (Just my opinion ....)
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To: UCAL
These local news rags are rarely on target with polls, and then only by chance. So many polls have been outside their margins of error in elections past, that it is hard to take any of them seriously anymore.

The worst poll is potentially yet to come. Thats the one I'm worried about most: the 'exit poll' used to predict outcomes in states. This was used to great effect in '96 and '00. In '96 they erroneously predicted Georgia for Clinton (very early in the evening) and '00 they erroneously called Florida for Gore. This has the effect of demoralizing the conservative voters in other states. When they see Georgia fall, or Florida fall, well you get the picture. I wish we could get the word out to vote no matter what the media is saying on election day and point out how they have failed us in the past. Perhaps we could force them legally to post a disclaimer about past errors, and exit polls are just irregular indicators that sometimes have been right.

43 posted on 10/16/2008 6:07:30 PM PDT by 1-Eagle (Yeah that Ayers guy just lives down the street. Don't know why I wrote a review of his book.)
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To: Brian S. Fitzgerald

I live in NO VA and I’ve seen little KIDS wearing Obama t-shirts!


44 posted on 10/16/2008 6:07:37 PM PDT by EdnaMode
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To: Gene Eric
The key will be Tidewater in the south and the Shenandoah Valley to the west. A strong turnout there would give McCain 54% of the statewide vote. That's as good as its going to get. Kerry got 45% in 2004.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

45 posted on 10/16/2008 6:08:25 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: brwnsuga
Sheesh!!

Of course, you could just take the note, cross out the word "posse", and put it on your McCain/Palin sign.

Tink tink...

46 posted on 10/16/2008 6:09:17 PM PDT by milagro
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To: elk
Please, oh, please, all Virginians, please get to the polls on Nov 2.

For certain! Obama supporters MUST vote on November 2!

47 posted on 10/16/2008 6:09:34 PM PDT by Shelayne (Gloves off, heels on, lipstick check-- Giddy up!)
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To: milagro

I can’t my son spit on it and threw it in the trash after I read it. He’s my sweetie pie mini-Republican.


48 posted on 10/16/2008 6:11:44 PM PDT by brwnsuga (Proud, Black, Sexy Conservative!!! future moose killer!!!)
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To: goldstategop

WOW, this is frightening if oZERO is ahead by that much. I don’t think there is enough time to make up the difference. But than again I live in Texas where we are also experiencing our own share of ACORN nuts!


49 posted on 10/16/2008 6:11:47 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: derulz
29.9 republican, 35.5 democrat internals 4+ MOE

VA was R+4 in 2004 and R+3 in 2006. In both elections, Republicans were 39% of the electorate.

50 posted on 10/16/2008 6:11:56 PM PDT by GiveEmDubya (You go girl!)
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To: goldstategop
Yep. A lot of libs have moved into NOVA and have changed the state's voting habits

Dumb asses leave the holes that the democrats created and move into great GOP neighborhoods and vote for the party that cause the problems that the fled

That is the definition of insanity

By the time they see the light (if ever )it is too late Just wish there was someplace all us conservatives could go and let the left devour itself
51 posted on 10/16/2008 6:12:24 PM PDT by uncbob
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To: UCAL

Hussein does not have a lead. The score is 0 - 0. Last time I checked, the game does not start until 4 November.

JoMa


52 posted on 10/16/2008 6:12:58 PM PDT by joma89
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To: Chet 99

We should work on taking back California. It’s so much better than the eastern seaboard anyway.

If we could just move large numbers of conservatives in places like New England, Jersey, PA, Maryland, etc. out west, we’d be in business.

I’m half-kidding, but the democrats do have a electoral strategy, and it does involve taking over states, one by one. If we fail to react to it, we’ll inevitably be devoured.


53 posted on 10/16/2008 6:13:13 PM PDT by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard (youtube.com/wptg)
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To: goldstategop
I've been there. Suburb of DC. And I think that's the case in NOVA. Its a deep hued Blue.

Used to live in Montgomery, County Maryland, a hotbed of liberalism. And that is affecting NoVa. If McCain wins this election in VA, it may be the last time that the Republicans will win in the Old Dominion in a long while if politics are this partisan.

54 posted on 10/16/2008 6:14:12 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: UCAL

How can Mac be ahead in Tennessee and behind in VA?


55 posted on 10/16/2008 6:16:01 PM PDT by nikos1121 (Senator Obama, the truth hurts doesn't it.)
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To: goldstategop

VA has “created” a lot of joke jobs for scams like Fannie & Freddie. This has helped make the state more purple. I still think McCain wins VA and the election.

President McCain should order Congress to shut both GSEs scams down.


56 posted on 10/16/2008 6:16:28 PM PDT by Frantzie
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To: omega4179
Don’t believe the polls. They showed Kerry winning handily.

They did?

In 2004, Real Clear Politics' final average of the polls gave the following:

Bush 50.0%, Kerry 48.5%.

Actual results:

Bush 50.7%, Kerry 48.3%.

That's pretty darn close, if you ask me.

Source

57 posted on 10/16/2008 6:17:15 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: UCAL

this poll is beyond useless.

Oversampled Dems

AND

Oversampled women 58-42.


58 posted on 10/16/2008 6:17:54 PM PDT by rumrunner
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To: UCAL; kesg
42.0 ............. MALE
58.0 ............. FEMALE

And Dems with a 5-point advantage in a right-leaning state. Any questions? :-)

59 posted on 10/16/2008 6:19:18 PM PDT by impeachedrapist (Bill Clinton, as Arkansas Attorney General did you make Juanita Broaddrick pay for her rape kit?)
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To: Red Steel

500 likely voters? The sample size is a joke - way too small. Unless you have at least 1000 LV or RV it is a joke.


60 posted on 10/16/2008 6:19:24 PM PDT by Frantzie
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