GALLUP SHOCK: 49 OBAMA, 47 MCCAIN WITH LIKELY VOTERS

DRUDGE REPORT ^ | October 16 2008 | Matt Drudge

[icwhatudo]

GALLUP's 'traditional' likely voter model shows Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain on Thursday, 49% to 47%, this is within poll's margin of error... Developing...

[growingpains]

That means in reality that McCain/Palin are in the lead. you have to always add at least 5 points onto the Republican percent due to pollster bias.

[growingpains]

Oh No! Looks like Gallup is going to get a nasty phone call from Omarosa Obama

[Ultimatum]

That should be a tagline.

[mainepatsfan]

I think most of the other polls showing Obama with these huge leads have been of “registered” rather than likely voters. The MSM will obviously choose to report the ones with bigger leads.

[MittFan08]

“And of course Fox News just reported a 6 point Gallup lead for Obama. Somebody at Fox should check FR or Drudge Report now and then.”

It’s different models of the same poll- check out gallup.com. It sounds like they are trying to play both sides of the fence- the libs can say “yay! 6 point lead- go to gallup.com” and the conseratives can say “yay! almost tied- go to gallup.com.” Meanwhile lots more hits to gallup.com.

[LS]

Don’t confuse a solid win in the Bush states-—an EC win-—with “handily.” It’s going to be close, and outside of PA and possibly the ME elector, I don’t see McCain getting any other blue states. If he gets up by 2-3, perhaps he can carry WI or NH.

[Red Steel]

You’re right it’s not false. Obama has never held a big lead...when he has had the lead. Gallup didn’t publicize their traditional method polls continuously until now. When Gallup did release their old method polls McCain has led 3 out of 4 times over Obama throughout a 5 months span.

[Viking2002]

Like any drive-by willing to admit the truth (and that's about .00001% of 'em), unless Obammy has got a solid 8-10%+ lead (to offset the usual polling skew, undecideds, ACRON votes getting tossed), he's in deep shiznit. A +2% among likelies for The Messiah must mean McCain is, in reality, ahead by +4% in hard votes. HA! Get out your steel umbrellas, folks - between that and the feds stepping in with a nationwide fraud investigation, the moonbats are gonna start resembling those alien pterodactyls in the movie Pitch Black - they'll all go apeshit at once and try to kill each other in mid-flight. Hee hee HAHAHAHAHAHA......

[newzjunkey]

This is using their "traditional likely voter model" whatever that means. I guess they have a "new" likely voter model?

A lot of the polls reported range from the useless "Adults" to "(Registered) Voters" to "Likely Voters." The last one is the most important and has been the best indicator of where races are.

[omega4179]

the stock rise was reflecting McCains strong performance!!

[diverteach]

[scottinoc]

DOW up by 401....Coincidence????

Per Yahoo, "The Dow Jones industrials ended up 400 points, after falling 380 in the opening minutes of the session." Pre-poll, post-poll, I'd say.

[MinorityRepublican]

Media stopped criticizing Sarah Palin after nothing really stick so there’s a widespread media blackout now.

[Natchez Hawk]

Have to agree. I think this thing is winnable by focusing on brass-tacks. No more foolishness, economy has inserted itself into the election. Make it work.

[Artemis Webb]

icwhatudo said it had already been posted. As he and others pointed out though the fact that Drudge is making a big deal out of it makes it much bigger news. FR could only dream of having the impact of Matt Drudge.

[bailmeout]

The Joe the Plumber effect, no doubt. The trendline started to shift after Joe stepped onto the stage.

The Good Lord works in mysterious ways. A campaign supoorted by hundreds of millions of dollars in spending, a massive media progaganda effort and epic voter fraud brought down by a Toledo, OH plumber.

[snarkytart]

Nice to see this on Drudge blasting BIG!! Oh, btw..

Could the idiots on FOX last night have been more wrong? They suggested nothing came out of the debate that was a game changer for McCain, and there were no memorable moments. Yet today it's "JOE THE PLUMBER" everywhere I look on the news and Internet.

[bigbob]

Not bad for a buy who “lost all the debates”

[Natchez Hawk]

Maybe market saw narrowing to two points and took off at the news?

[Mac from Cleveland]

'Expect riots'...

OK-then expect counter-riots. Time to lance this boil once and for all.