Posted on 10/04/2008 8:23:49 PM PDT by Chet 99
I noted with interest stories today discussing McCain and Obama opening up campaign offices in some far-flung places: McCain in Bangor, Maine and Obama in Omaha, Nebraska. Maine and Nebraska do not have reputations as swing states, so what the heck are these guys up to?
Part of it is to head off the possibility of something like this occuring:
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Maine is the only state to split the EC votes according to percentages of popular votes. McCain wants to make sure he gets at least 2 of Maine’s 4 EC votes. The way tings are shaping up, it will be the difference between a win and a loss.
Nebraska splits too...
There’s no way we can let this fall into the hands of the 535. We know there are Dems who would vote against their constituents in a heartbeat - even if it cost them their jobs. They’ll do anything to get a Dem back in the White House. And, they’ll certainly do it if Obama gives them “a call” on the phone....
Is there any way that B.O. could pull half of Nebraska’s electoral votes ?
So you didn’t read the article, I see. :-)
It doesn’t work like that in Maine and Nebraska. The winner of either state gets 2 EVs. Then one EV is assigned for the winner for each congressional district. As far as I know, there hasn’t been an election with these rules in place where one or more EVs were given to the “loser” of the state.
no.
Obama hopes to get one electoral vote out of Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District. Not only does this strategy make McCain spend money in an otherwise “safe state,” it also would practically insure that the Electoral College vote cannot end up in a tie and thus be handed over to the House of Representatives.
Here’s more about the campaigns trying to siphon votes from states which divide their electoral votes differently.
I live in Maine.
The McCain strategy is to win enough votes in northern Maine to carry the entire state and get all 4 electoral votes.
This morning, I drove from Surry, Maine (near the Blue Hill Peninsula) to Ellsworth.....a distance of roughly 10 miles.
On the way back, I counted the “lawn” signs. There are plenty of liberals in this area, but in those 10 miles I saw only one Obama sign, but I saw 11 McCain or McCain / Palin signs!
one of five, but in that case we are toast anyway... McCain has a better shot at one of Maine’s...
Wrong. Maine can potentiall split EC votes in exactly the same way Nebraska can split them: one for the winner of each congressional district, two for the winner of the state. To date, neither state has actually split them, they only have the potential to do so.
Obama has zero chance of winning any EVs in NE. If McCain truly needs to run any commercials (in NE-2, the weakest sister), all he has to do is ask Nebraskans this little question, “You like Ernie Chambers ? You’ll love Obama.” Nebraskans know what that means.
I think Maine is more likely. Both of Maine’s senators are republican and very popular so McCain can ride coattails. McCain is the kind of republican that would do well in the northeast.
If Obama wins part of Nebraska, McCain is probably toast in the rest of the country.
I saw a yard sign here in my home state: “A taxpayer voting for Obama is like a chicken voting for Colonel Sanders.”
I like it!
Nebraska is one of the most Republican states in Presidential elections so I doubt Obama expects to win any electoral votes there. I figure it may be a sentimental thing—Nebraska is where Malcolm X was born.
Good ole Red. “By any means necessary.”
Another weird state is NJ which I believe voted to assign its EV’s to the winner of the national general election. If that’s the case, then McCain should be scrounging votes whereever he can.
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