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McCain Takes 21-Point Lead in Arizona
rasmussen reports ^ | 9/30/08 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/30/2008 2:10:40 PM PDT by Ravi

John McCain, in his home state of Arizona, now has a 21-point lead over Barack Obama, the biggest gap yet in the race.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; az2008; poll; polls; redstates
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To: KansasGirl
Any chance this spills over into New Mexico?

No. Despite their proximity, Arizona has more ties to Illinois or New Jersey than to New Mexico.

41 posted on 09/30/2008 3:02:13 PM PDT by MARTIAL MONK (I'm waiting for the POP! It's gonna be a BIG one.)
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To: KansasGirl

Maybe a little. Hopefully Ras has a new NM poll out soon.


42 posted on 09/30/2008 3:15:19 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: frankenMonkey


Wooo Hooo!

One state down, 46 more to go!”

46? Didn’t you listen to Obama? This is one down fifty six to go!


43 posted on 09/30/2008 3:16:03 PM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: MARTIAL MONK

Can you expand on that?


44 posted on 09/30/2008 3:17:42 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Ravi
Go AZ!!!!!!!.....Photobucket
45 posted on 09/30/2008 3:27:05 PM PDT by GitmoSailor (AZ Cold War Veteran====McCain/Palin 2OO8==My Mouse is a MOOSE=Donate to FR)
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To: Ravi

Yeah, maybe they can bus a couple thousand voters down to NM to help offset the dem fraud. (Just kidding)


46 posted on 09/30/2008 3:31:01 PM PDT by refermech
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To: GitmoSailor
Big M for John McCain!!!!!!!..............Photobucket
47 posted on 09/30/2008 3:33:25 PM PDT by GitmoSailor (AZ Cold War Veteran====McCain/Palin 2OO8==My Mouse is a MOOSE=Donate to FR)
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To: GitmoSailor
Wrong Picture!!!!!!!.........Photobucket
48 posted on 09/30/2008 3:37:44 PM PDT by GitmoSailor (AZ Cold War Veteran====McCain/Palin 2OO8==My Mouse is a MOOSE=Donate to FR)
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To: Question Liberal Authority

Looking at how Arizona voted in the 2004 presidential election I’d say that McCain is picking up the Independents this go around. Kerry got 52% of them and I doubt they are going for Obama.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/AZ/P/00/


49 posted on 09/30/2008 3:43:24 PM PDT by avacado
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To: Ravi
McCain has 21 point lead in Arizona...

I thought the state was a "toss up"?

50 posted on 09/30/2008 3:52:57 PM PDT by nonsporting
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To: Norman Bates
Arizona has the largest collection of ex-Chicagoans outside of Illinois. They have the second largest population of ex-Jerseyites. Arizona's political spectrum is defined by the influx of newcomers over the past 30 years.

Arizona and New Mexico have grown up separately. Population centers are separated by distance as well as other barriers. It is 500 miles from Santa Fe to Phoenix. There are National Forests as well as Reservations which impede cross border traffic. You can still hide out up on the Blue and not see another soul for weeks at a time.

There is little cultural similarity. New Mexico is thoroughly hispanic and Arizona is Anglo. They may as well be on different planets.

51 posted on 09/30/2008 3:54:05 PM PDT by MARTIAL MONK (I'm waiting for the POP! It's gonna be a BIG one.)
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To: MARTIAL MONK

No, I see what you mean. I didn’t underestimate the distance gap. I suppose I figured there might be a regional ‘pride’. That’s silly, I know. Or that they shared a few TV stations.


52 posted on 09/30/2008 3:58:24 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: ChiMark

Yes, you are right. Why would it? I imagine that Inner City votes primarily affect Blue State totals, so that Obama is Olympian only in the Inner Cities and weak as water everywhere else.

In other words, with this particular candidate, traditionally Blue States with large rural populations could tip a potload of EVs to McCain (I hope!). That may be why Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin have been purple this year. On the other hand, western states where more of the population is in the cities (Colorado with Denver, Pueblo, etc. and Nevada with Las Vegas) have also been tipping from Red to Purple.

It’s kind of like Bush v. Gore on steroids. The cities turn icy blue, the rural areas turn fiery red. Obama could win 51 percent of the popular vote (a real stretch) and only 210 electoral votes. That would be a nice problem to have!

I prefer this explanation to some mythical, racially-motivated, “Bradley Effect.” We bitter, religion and gun-clinging country bumpkins underpoll and vote come election day.


53 posted on 09/30/2008 3:58:43 PM PDT by mywholebodyisaweapon
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To: Norman Bates
Actually, I think that there is a lingering regional hostility. New Mexico Territory once stretched all the way to the Colorado. It took weeks for messages from Santa Fe to reach Yuma. Arizona finally broke away in 1864.

The fight over water didn't help any. Arizona once put a "gunboat" on the Colorado to keep the thievin' Californians from taking our water.

It got stuck on a sandbar and the thievin' Californians had to rescue our "sailors"

54 posted on 09/30/2008 4:08:26 PM PDT by MARTIAL MONK (I'm waiting for the POP! It's gonna be a BIG one.)
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To: VRWCtaz

And lost the election.

Carrying your home state doesn’t guarantee success, but losing pretty much gurantees failure. If McCain has a prayer AZ can’t be in play.


55 posted on 09/30/2008 4:25:12 PM PDT by dilvish
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To: GitmoSailor

Show them how we cut our grass in Arizona.


56 posted on 09/30/2008 4:25:12 PM PDT by JacksonsDaddy (I want more than just change in my pockets.)
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To: Norman Bates

John McCain paints his home state dark red!

McCain holds a crushing 27% lead among men, and significant leads among women and independents.

Arizona
McCain 59%
Obama 38%

But, but I thought someone said, oh never mind. Woo hoo!


57 posted on 09/30/2008 4:50:58 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Ravi

Or, as Morris calls it, Arizona is a toss-up.


58 posted on 09/30/2008 5:06:25 PM PDT by SlapHappyPappy
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To: Norman Bates; TitansAFC

Hey - Can you guys send some good news our way today? I don’t care if you have to make it up....just some good news!!!!


59 posted on 10/01/2008 5:41:30 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude

Why, has it been a bad news day? I just got on, LOL.


60 posted on 10/01/2008 1:00:31 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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