Posted on 09/30/2008 2:10:40 PM PDT by Ravi
John McCain, in his home state of Arizona, now has a 21-point lead over Barack Obama, the biggest gap yet in the race.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
No. Despite their proximity, Arizona has more ties to Illinois or New Jersey than to New Mexico.
Maybe a little. Hopefully Ras has a new NM poll out soon.
“
Wooo Hooo!
One state down, 46 more to go!”
46? Didn’t you listen to Obama? This is one down fifty six to go!
Can you expand on that?
Yeah, maybe they can bus a couple thousand voters down to NM to help offset the dem fraud. (Just kidding)
Looking at how Arizona voted in the 2004 presidential election I’d say that McCain is picking up the Independents this go around. Kerry got 52% of them and I doubt they are going for Obama.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/AZ/P/00/
I thought the state was a "toss up"?
Arizona and New Mexico have grown up separately. Population centers are separated by distance as well as other barriers. It is 500 miles from Santa Fe to Phoenix. There are National Forests as well as Reservations which impede cross border traffic. You can still hide out up on the Blue and not see another soul for weeks at a time.
There is little cultural similarity. New Mexico is thoroughly hispanic and Arizona is Anglo. They may as well be on different planets.
No, I see what you mean. I didn’t underestimate the distance gap. I suppose I figured there might be a regional ‘pride’. That’s silly, I know. Or that they shared a few TV stations.
Yes, you are right. Why would it? I imagine that Inner City votes primarily affect Blue State totals, so that Obama is Olympian only in the Inner Cities and weak as water everywhere else.
In other words, with this particular candidate, traditionally Blue States with large rural populations could tip a potload of EVs to McCain (I hope!). That may be why Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin have been purple this year. On the other hand, western states where more of the population is in the cities (Colorado with Denver, Pueblo, etc. and Nevada with Las Vegas) have also been tipping from Red to Purple.
It’s kind of like Bush v. Gore on steroids. The cities turn icy blue, the rural areas turn fiery red. Obama could win 51 percent of the popular vote (a real stretch) and only 210 electoral votes. That would be a nice problem to have!
I prefer this explanation to some mythical, racially-motivated, “Bradley Effect.” We bitter, religion and gun-clinging country bumpkins underpoll and vote come election day.
The fight over water didn't help any. Arizona once put a "gunboat" on the Colorado to keep the thievin' Californians from taking our water.
It got stuck on a sandbar and the thievin' Californians had to rescue our "sailors"
And lost the election.
Carrying your home state doesn’t guarantee success, but losing pretty much gurantees failure. If McCain has a prayer AZ can’t be in play.
Show them how we cut our grass in Arizona.
John McCain paints his home state dark red!
McCain holds a crushing 27% lead among men, and significant leads among women and independents.
Arizona
McCain 59%
Obama 38%
But, but I thought someone said, oh never mind. Woo hoo!
Or, as Morris calls it, Arizona is a toss-up.
Hey - Can you guys send some good news our way today? I don’t care if you have to make it up....just some good news!!!!
Why, has it been a bad news day? I just got on, LOL.
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