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Ohio Still Major Battleground State For McCain, Obama (Survey USA: McCain leads 49%-48% in Ohio)
WHIOTV.com ^

Posted on 09/30/2008 7:25:40 AM PDT by No Dems 2004

In Ohio, Slight Movement to Obama, But Fight for 20 Electoral Votes Still Even: In an election for President of the United States held in Ohio today, 09/30/08, Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama finish within one point of each other, according to this latest, WHIO-TV/SurveyUSA.

Today, it's McCain 49%, Obama 48 -- McCain's nominal 1-point lead within the survey's 3.8 percentage point margin of sampling error. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 15 days ago, Obama is up 3 points; McCain is flat.

McCain leads by 17 points among those who earn more than $50,000 a year. Obama leads by 21 points among those who earn less than $50,000 a year. McCain leads 5:4 in Columbus, Cincinnati, and Toledo. Obama leads 5:4 in greater Cleveland.

--

Filtering: WHIO-TV/SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Ohio adults 09/28/08 and 09/29/08. Of the adults, 819 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 693 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Interviews conducted during an unprecedented time of financial and political turmoil.

Ohio has 20 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Ohio by 2 points in 2004 and by 4 points in 2000.

Asked of 693 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.8%

** If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?

49% McCain (R) 48% Obama (D) 1% Other 2% Undecided

(Excerpt) Read more at whiotv.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; democrats; mccain; obama; oh2008; republicans; swingstates
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To: Maelstorm

A lot.....and I mean a lot....of people from liberal northern states, such as New York, have moved to North Carolina in recent years.

Unfortunately, they brought their liberal voting patterns with them. This is why North Carolina is somewhat closer than it used to be, election-wise. I still expect McCain and Dole to win there.


21 posted on 09/30/2008 8:08:26 AM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (Sarah Palin is an American Margaret Thatcher. Sarah Palin is a female Ronald Reagan)
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To: No Dems 2004

The problem is, in states with early vote...30% of the votes will be banked before election day. As long as this financial mess keeps going then the Obama people are going to have a field day scaring people to go early vote.

My campus is littered with signs telling people where to get a ride. “Not registered...no problem! register and vote at the same time.” It makes me sick


22 posted on 09/30/2008 8:19:19 AM PDT by buckeye12
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To: No Dems 2004

Any battleground state where Obama is not leading by more than 5 points means that Obama is going to lose it on elections day. That is a fact.


23 posted on 09/30/2008 8:21:02 AM PDT by jveritas (God Bless President Bush and our brave troops)
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To: rwfromkansas
The Obama campaign used the same get out the vote efforts with college students in the democrats primaries in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Texas and yet they still lost these states.
24 posted on 09/30/2008 8:27:23 AM PDT by jveritas (God Bless President Bush and our brave troops)
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To: No Dems 2004

“I think that polls are cutting Mac short - anyone else agree?”

i think it is a distinct possibility. These pollsters all manipulate their data.

Lies, damn lies and statistics.


25 posted on 09/30/2008 9:20:19 AM PDT by Canedawg (If the law supposes that, said Mr. Bumble, the law is a ass, a idiot.)
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To: jveritas
Any battleground state where Obama is not leading by more than 5 points means that Obama is going to lose it on elections day. That is a fact.

Bingo, El Rushbo said that also. But don't whisper that around here. A few Freeper trolls I know are lurking ready to pounce on your naivety. I mean we have logic, facts, history on our side but because the MSM and some tracking poll shows an unelectable Socialist leading they want to believe the worst. Bet it was the same folks that were sure Y2K would be the end of us also.

26 posted on 09/30/2008 9:23:41 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: Rudder

I’m in Columbus. Yesterday was the 4th day in a row that Dems were pounding on my door campaigning for their candidates. (I disinfected the door after they left.)

In each case, they had my name and address from the Board of Elections on a hard copy print-out or on a Blackberry. And two of them asked me very nosy questions about my neighbors’ politics. Of course, I refused to answer. (Those two canvassers were working on behalf of organized labor.) It’s rather disturbing when a total stranger arrives on your doorstep and knows your name and wants to know your and your neighbors’ politics.

Anyway, the point of the story is that there has yet to be any GOP canvassers at my door. This was also the case in 2004, and Kerry won the once Republican stronghold of Franklin County.

I just hope that the McCain/Palin campaign is not relying on the incompetent Ohio Republican Party — which is still controlled by the liberal Bob Taft faction and which sabotaged Ken Blackwell’s gubernatorial campaign — to organize neighborhood canvassing efforts or any other significant campaign activity.


27 posted on 09/30/2008 9:53:29 AM PDT by KingSnorky
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To: KingSnorky

Just as depressing as I thought. I e-mailed to McCain and expressed my concern for this problem in Ohio. I got no reply.


28 posted on 09/30/2008 10:03:13 AM PDT by Rudder
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To: Miss Didi
Does the GOP have a similar plan?

Not that I can see.
29 posted on 09/30/2008 10:21:53 AM PDT by mmichaels1970 (Stand up for CHUCK!)
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To: jveritas

Any battleground state where Obama is not leading by more than 5 points means that Obama is going to lose it on elections day. That is a fact...

...why is that a fact...not starting a disagreement, just want to know why that is a fact..


30 posted on 09/30/2008 10:26:03 AM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: pburgh01

Bingo, El Rushbo said that also...

...and el Rushbo sure looked good with his ‘take it from me, you people’ prediction that Hillary would not run for the Senate...


31 posted on 09/30/2008 10:28:49 AM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: Miss Didi

McCain only has a “holding action”

that is useless because there are only a finite number of “early votes”

From watching FNC it is STUDENTS and HOMELESS registering early so they can vote in MULTIPLE LOCATIONS>


32 posted on 09/30/2008 10:41:28 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: mmichaels1970

The Dems are doing a full-court press to get people to vote right now in the middle of the financial mess.

But the Dems aren’t being pushed in these Obama Regional Field Offices. Just the Messiah. Oh, others may have a bit of campaign material on a small table, But otherwise, it’s all about obama.

http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/ohoffices

Penn is similarly flooded with such offices. Maybe all battleground states are.

Here’s where you can find the offices. Click on your state on this map.
http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/statepages

On the next screen, click on the “Find your local Field Office in the righthand column.


33 posted on 09/30/2008 11:11:42 AM PDT by IM2MAD
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To: IrishBrigade
A portion of White democrats and independents who tell tell the pollsters that they are going to vote for Obama and then vote for McCain. In politics it is know as the Bradley/Wilder effect. Both Bradley and Wilder were black politicians who ran for Governor in California and Virginia and they were ahead by 7 to 8 points in the polls including exit polls and then they lost the elections when the real votes were counted.
34 posted on 09/30/2008 11:16:48 AM PDT by jveritas (God Bless President Bush and our brave troops)
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To: IrishBrigade

95% of Rush Limbaugh predictions fall under master of the obvious category but because they are obvious they are correct as well. In this obvious prediction that the other poster mentioned Limbaugh is right.


35 posted on 09/30/2008 11:20:31 AM PDT by jveritas (God Bless President Bush and our brave troops)
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To: Miss Didi

Nope. The GOTV effort with the GOP is dismal at best. Early voting always favorites Dems and it will in a big way this time. The 18-24 block is beyond psyched to cast a vote for this socialist. The GOP is doing the old wait and stand by for everyone to come around on election day.


36 posted on 09/30/2008 11:34:02 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache (Forget the 3AM phone call. Obama can not even answer the phone at 3PM.)
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To: No Dems 2004
One can’t help but wonder if the national polls are wrong? Where is Obama’s ‘surge’ coming from?

They have to legitimize Obama winning when he pulls out a victory through cheating.

37 posted on 09/30/2008 11:45:50 AM PDT by TheThinker (It is the natural tendency of government to gravitate towards tyranny.)
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To: No Dems 2004

I do not know at this point. There are polls and left wing spin out there trying to shape an election. But the vast majority of Americans were against this bailout, so you’d think that in reality they’d be more fed up the democrats and obama. They were behind this bill, the gop helped to kill it. Yet the media is spinning it like the gop house members are evil. And the national polls show a surge for obama. so God only knows what the reality of the situation is. One thing I’m certain of. We need conservative turnout in Ohio to be more intense than 2004. In 2004 Rove and the get out the vote effort found every vote possible in Ohio. I don’t sense that same intensity by team McCain. And with one month plus to go, they’d better start to get their act together of we’re screwed.


38 posted on 09/30/2008 11:57:08 AM PDT by mainerforglobalwarming
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To: No Dems 2004

I was watching the news. The people in Ohio are split about even on who they think is better on the economy and dealing with this crisis.


39 posted on 09/30/2008 12:32:15 PM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: Terrence DoGood
Obama can’t win Ohio simply by taking the urban areas

He can if they cheat in the cities by getting people to vote several times under different names.

It's the fraud vote that worries me. Just like in Florida 2000, when an election is close, the fraud vote could matter. It is a miracle the FL 2000 recounts didn't find a Gore victory, at which point the recounts would have stopped.

40 posted on 09/30/2008 3:20:04 PM PDT by SteamShovel (Global Warming, the New Patriotism)
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