[IrishBrigade]

Any battleground state where Obama is not leading by more than 5 points means that Obama is going to lose it on elections day. That is a fact...

...why is that a fact...not starting a disagreement, just want to know why that is a fact..

[jveritas]

A portion of White democrats and independents who tell tell the pollsters that they are going to vote for Obama and then vote for McCain. In politics it is know as the Bradley/Wilder effect. Both Bradley and Wilder were black politicians who ran for Governor in California and Virginia and they were ahead by 7 to 8 points in the polls including exit polls and then they lost the elections when the real votes were counted.