Posted on 09/24/2008 11:16:42 PM PDT by Luke21
State by state, Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill). is showing signs of breaking open a presidential race that looked deadlocked through much of September.
A new wave of polls released Wednesday showed decisive leads for Obama in the critical states of Colorado, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
That follows noticeable progress in polls in Virginia, which had looked safe for Sen. John McCain, and Florida, which had looked promising for McCain.
This is the first time that one of the candidates has dominated state polls in the most closely contested battlegrounds.
Republican strategist Karl Rove had predicted this tectonic shift, writing at Rove.com earlier this week: "[I]f the movement toward Obama in national polls continue to percolate down to the states, we could see an Obama lead later this week."
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
Hard to believe we could be in a position to lose as bad as the current group of polls implies. It reminded me of election day 2004, and the exit polls the press was reporting.
Could be. Back in the days of their media monopoly. They never gave us a straight answer. These “all over the map, but we’re always losing” types of polls seem to be more of the same.
That is one big dip your graph shows for Old John.
McCain took a massive hit with this financial crisis.
Colorado is certainly not gone and McCain still has a high 50’s approval rating there, and he’s only down 3. As far as picking off blue states, Wisconsin and Washington are good targets. McCain is only down 2 in those states and 3 or 4 in Oregon.
Since McCain’s VP announcement, until today, he has not been quoted on the issues. It has been Palin 24/7.
Some say he’s been coasting on the Palin phenomenon, now fading. There is an article in The New Zealand Herald that highlights this point: Nicola Lamb : Romney may have been more on money. She says “Somewhere in Massachusetts, Mitt Romney might be having a quiet chuckle to himself”
Looks like Reublicans, any Republican are blamed for the economic crisis. People have lost their minds.
The results of Obama’s election would be tragic for the USA.
The only poll that matters is on Nov. 4
If Obama is elected, full fledged socialism will be installed with him.
Looks like it. People running to big mommy government.
I’ve been expecting him to get the Fort Marcy Park tour for some time now.
I agree that the infected media with their biased polling is trying mightily to manipulate emotions....the real deal is that McCain/Palin is and will win this election because the voters are not dumb, they see reality as well as anyone.
The Real Deal will win in these times!
McCain has edge in nationwide poll
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BY BORYS KRAWCZENIUK
STAFF WRITER
Published: Thursday, September 25, 2008
Updated: Thursday, September 25, 2008 4:16 AM EDT
Republican presidential nominee John McCain and Democratic nominee Barack Obama were in a near tie in a survey of registered voters nationwide, according to a Franklin & Marshall poll released Wednesday.
The poll showed Mr. McCain with the support of 45 percent to 43 percent for Mr. Obama, a spread within the survey’s margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points. The survey questioned 1,327 voters and was conducted between Sept. 15 and Sunday, more than half of it before federal officials announced plans for a $700 billion bailout of troubled financial services firms.
The poll contrasted sharply with the outcomes of most recent polls, which have Mr. Obama leading Mr. McCain by margins ranging from 1 to 9 percentage points, according to the Time Magazine/CNN Web site, RealClearPolitics.com. Most of those polls were conducted entirely after the bailout was announced.
Now that the pollsters have added a new category there is no way the polls can be accurate. They have always been used to further an agenda.
Polling republicans DEMOCRATS independents and now a new segment AFRICAN AMERICANS.
Let’s not fall for their crackpot polls.
...”Hope you are right. I’ve seen the polls used as disinformation back as far as 1980”...
Yes! In my town, on the very day President Reagan won big, the polls showed Carter winning by a large margin. I began at that time to feel that polling was more a manipulative instrument than a prediction of anything.
When you look at the history of polls for elections going all the way back to Reagan and Carter in 1980, about the only conclusion one can draw is polls are useless predictors. Even worse than the weather forecast.
Agreed.
We are almost definitely behind in Colorado right now, but it is close. McCain's favorability numbers are very strong there, and there are still more Republicans than Democrats or Indies in the state.
As long as we get past the current economic crisis, I think we take it, but it will be extremely close.
My prediction is this...
Four states flip from ‘04: Obama flips Iowa (7), New Mexico (5), and Colorado (9). McCain flips NH (4).
Everything else same (FL, OH, VA Mcain) (MI, PA, MN, WI Obama)
This gives Obama net 17 (from kerry’s 252). And it leaves him 1 short of 270.
LOL>>>>
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