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Polling Methods May Tilt Obama Results, Exec Says
www.newsmax.com ^ | September 17, 2008 | Ron Kessler

Posted on 09/22/2008 5:18:34 PM PDT by Publius804

Polling Methods May Tilt Obama Results, Exec Says Wednesday, September 17, 2008 7:31 PM

By: Ron Kessler

Most polls may be overstating Barack Obama’s support by 5 to 10 percentage points because those surveyed may not be telling the truth about voting for him, ad executive Gabe Joseph III tells Newsmax.

It is possible that, when live callers ask for a respondent’s name, the individual is more likely to say he will vote for Obama, says Joseph, president of ccAdvertising, which conducts polls for a range of candidates and members of Congress. When automated dialers do the polling, respondents are more likely to give an honest answer because they think of the poll as being anonymous.

“I believe the traditional pollsters, when they ask your name, institute a bias,” Joseph says. “We never ask anybody who they are. We do not have to. The only personal identification we obtain comes at the end of the survey when we ask about gender and age.”

The difference is apparent when automated pollster results are compared with traditional polls that ask the individual’s name, he says. In many circles, particularly within the traditional Democrat base, it is politically incorrect to tell a pollster the respondent will not vote for Obama, he says.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; bradleyeffect; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; polls
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1 posted on 09/22/2008 5:18:34 PM PDT by Publius804
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To: Publius804

Let’s hope this is the case...


2 posted on 09/22/2008 5:20:44 PM PDT by Taylor
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To: Publius804

union members protecting their sixes


3 posted on 09/22/2008 5:21:01 PM PDT by unspun (Tell the truth about Obama to all you know.)
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To: Publius804

McCain / Sarahcuda: 40 states
Arugula O’Teleprompter (D-Rezko): 16 states


4 posted on 09/22/2008 5:21:09 PM PDT by BobbyT
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To: Publius804

I would bet everything that I have two of, that there are many registered DemoRATS that cannot, and will not, vote for Obamunism. A real bundle of them.


5 posted on 09/22/2008 5:21:41 PM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: Publius804

I keep promising my post on the “Conservative Effect” but haven’t had time.

If McCain/Obambi are tied, Obambi is really down at least 10%.


6 posted on 09/22/2008 5:21:53 PM PDT by PhilosopherStones
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To: Publius804

They are overstating Obama support but not because of the Bradley effect. They are over representing Democrats by 5-10 percent.


7 posted on 09/22/2008 5:21:53 PM PDT by Always Right (Obama: more arrogant than Bill Clinton, more naive than Jimmy Carter, and more liberal than LBJ.)
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To: Publius804

Brad-lee, Brad-lee
While-der, While-der
To-gah, To-gah


8 posted on 09/22/2008 5:22:17 PM PDT by A_Former_Democrat
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To: Publius804

Agreed. I usually assume that pollsters are Democrats. It doesn’t change my answers (much), but the affect could be greater for some.


9 posted on 09/22/2008 5:22:38 PM PDT by Wiseghy ("You want to break this army? Then break your word to it.")
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To: Publius804

I’d love to believe this, but I’d feel better if we were up in every poll.


10 posted on 09/22/2008 5:22:50 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: BobbyT
Arugula O’Teleprompter (D-Rezko)

That is hilarious! Thanks for the chuckle. :)

11 posted on 09/22/2008 5:23:13 PM PDT by mplsconservative
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To: Publius804
Cool!

They are already making excuses and the vote is six weeks away.

Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)

LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)

12 posted on 09/22/2008 5:23:22 PM PDT by LonePalm (Commander and Chef)
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To: EagleUSA

I know a bunch of Democrats who aren’t going to vote for Obama.


13 posted on 09/22/2008 5:24:11 PM PDT by beckysueb (Drill here! Drill now!)
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To: Publius804

So I thought all these polls were anonymous. Who in the world asks for someone’s name or company?


14 posted on 09/22/2008 5:24:40 PM PDT by Hattie
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To: Publius804

Didn’t this happen to Obama in the primaries? Wasn’t he ahead in polling in NH and yet Hillary won.


15 posted on 09/22/2008 5:27:10 PM PDT by Dawn531
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To: Publius804

I think it is also important how many women are being polled, not just Democrat and Republican percentages.


16 posted on 09/22/2008 5:28:39 PM PDT by arichtaxpayer (We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail.)
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To: Publius804
IOW, many of the closet multi-culti collective won't walk the walk when they're behind a voting booth curtain. McCain is gonna clean Obama's clock in six weeks - the LSM is just gunning the throttle on the propaganda machine, the same way the seditious bastards do during every election cycle. If there was ever a part of the media that needed the Fairness Doctrine imposed upon it, it's the very ones who are quietly seeking it.


17 posted on 09/22/2008 5:28:44 PM PDT by Viking2002 (A man who never quits is never defeated.)
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To: Publius804

Are they talking about the 10-12% bias Democrats to Republicans? Or are we back the the Racists Democrat angle?

Personally, I think even Democrats can figure a vote for Obama and your second amendment rights doesn’t exist anymore.


18 posted on 09/22/2008 5:29:30 PM PDT by Tarpon (Barrack Obama will ban all the guns he has the votes for ...)
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To: Publius804

I’ve already been polled a couple of times, including one of these push the button deals.


19 posted on 09/22/2008 5:31:03 PM PDT by GoLightly
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To: Viking2002
Fox's News Lamont Hill said Obama loses unless he is up by 7 points at least.
20 posted on 09/22/2008 5:31:39 PM PDT by scooby321 (Cai)
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