Posted on 09/22/2008 5:18:34 PM PDT by Publius804
Polling Methods May Tilt Obama Results, Exec Says Wednesday, September 17, 2008 7:31 PM
By: Ron Kessler
Most polls may be overstating Barack Obamas support by 5 to 10 percentage points because those surveyed may not be telling the truth about voting for him, ad executive Gabe Joseph III tells Newsmax.
It is possible that, when live callers ask for a respondents name, the individual is more likely to say he will vote for Obama, says Joseph, president of ccAdvertising, which conducts polls for a range of candidates and members of Congress. When automated dialers do the polling, respondents are more likely to give an honest answer because they think of the poll as being anonymous.
I believe the traditional pollsters, when they ask your name, institute a bias, Joseph says. We never ask anybody who they are. We do not have to. The only personal identification we obtain comes at the end of the survey when we ask about gender and age.
The difference is apparent when automated pollster results are compared with traditional polls that ask the individuals name, he says. In many circles, particularly within the traditional Democrat base, it is politically incorrect to tell a pollster the respondent will not vote for Obama, he says.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
Let’s hope this is the case...
union members protecting their sixes
McCain / Sarahcuda: 40 states
Arugula O’Teleprompter (D-Rezko): 16 states
I would bet everything that I have two of, that there are many registered DemoRATS that cannot, and will not, vote for Obamunism. A real bundle of them.
I keep promising my post on the “Conservative Effect” but haven’t had time.
If McCain/Obambi are tied, Obambi is really down at least 10%.
They are overstating Obama support but not because of the Bradley effect. They are over representing Democrats by 5-10 percent.
Brad-lee, Brad-lee
While-der, While-der
To-gah, To-gah
Agreed. I usually assume that pollsters are Democrats. It doesn’t change my answers (much), but the affect could be greater for some.
I’d love to believe this, but I’d feel better if we were up in every poll.
That is hilarious! Thanks for the chuckle. :)
They are already making excuses and the vote is six weeks away.
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
I know a bunch of Democrats who aren’t going to vote for Obama.
So I thought all these polls were anonymous. Who in the world asks for someone’s name or company?
Didn’t this happen to Obama in the primaries? Wasn’t he ahead in polling in NH and yet Hillary won.
I think it is also important how many women are being polled, not just Democrat and Republican percentages.
Are they talking about the 10-12% bias Democrats to Republicans? Or are we back the the Racists Democrat angle?
Personally, I think even Democrats can figure a vote for Obama and your second amendment rights doesn’t exist anymore.
I’ve already been polled a couple of times, including one of these push the button deals.
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