I’m no expert, but I’m skeptical of this poll.
An outlier.
38% dem and 33% GOP.
Barack soundly ahead, and a 15-point-ish swing in VA in one Election?
unlikely.
ARG has McCain up by 2 so the polls are all over the place.
Its going to come down to GOTV and enthusiasm.
SurveyUSA is sometimes volatile.
The race is very close in Virginia.
My opinion, don't be a poll wonk, your blood pressure will thank you.
Mr. Obama is spending a lot of many in VA and is convinced the Old Dominion is winnable.
This business on Wall Street is good for Mr. Obama and not Good for Mr. McCain.
Mac can make up the ground at the debate this Friday, but he’s got to be super sharp.
It would appear that he is spending tons of money on TV adds in Northern Virginia.
I have seen other polls showing Mc Cain up by 5, 3, 2 and even. These state polls are all over the board. Saw two polls from Michigan the other day. One had Obama up by 1 the other by 12. I have seen polls from FL showing Mc Cain by 7 and others showing them even. Same in MN, WI and it goes on and on. It gets to the point where you can’t put any credibility in these polls.
Never mind....the internals are even bigger crap.
McCain/Palin only gets 39% of VIRGINIA women? And loses EVERY age group? (check that, statistical tie among Elderly....LOL)
Seriously, internals are crap here.
VA is still up for grabs, but I'm still expecting McCain/Palin to carry the state by 5-6 points.
Please note, all of the participating stations are ABC affiliates, which we all know, are completely in favor of Obama in November. Charles Gibson, anyone?
Another factor in this “poll” is that there are significant amounts of African American voters in those cities listed, so the reality is that this poll is probably closer to a McCain lead, in reality.
The press uses many types of psychology via images, semantics and spatial arrangement to convey their biases. Clearly, their strategy is to pump the idea that Barack Obama is winning everywhere, so why vote or why not join the Marxist Party and cheer for the predetermined “winner”?
i campaigned in prince william county in northern virginia this past weekend. we have nothing to worry about. virginia will go for mccain.
Here’s what barack mcgovern needs to win Virginia:
A) hold all of the White vote frenchie got in 2004
B) getting 95% of Black vote ( no poll anywhere has soon he is getting this )
C) an increase in Black turnout of 30%
This is as per Washington Post July 27, 2008.
If you believe he can do all three than you have to believe he will win Va. I have to ask which end of Va, was polled and how this lines up with the 70% base support the democrat ticket is suffering from as reported today by AP/PEW. Something is wrong here.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
What happened to the other 7%?
Sample composition
Dem 38%
GOP 33%
Independent 22%
Not sure where the other 7% fell.
I’m sure the Virginia electorate is more than 33% Republican. Sample looks bogus.
I’m dubious about this and a lot of polls. I’ve followed several states closely on Intrade and Virginia has been in McCain’s column for some time. What’s changed? And Missouri, only wrong one time in a century is 2 to 1 for McCain.
I, of course, have no way of knowing but I suspect many of these polls are unreliable and controlled by Obama supporters and skewed to produce a favorable result. We know for a certainty that Obama and Axlerod will do anything and are behind all of the garbage directed at Palin.
It may work in the long run if enough imbeciles are persuaded that Obama is the wave of the future. Somehow I suspect that most people are not going to be taken in by this bag of wind. I could be wrong but I don’t think so.
One observation and one question. The meltdown on Wall Street hasn’t helped McCain/Palin. Question: Why is FR C R A W L I N G again??