Posted on 09/19/2008 4:15:28 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Two months ago in this space, I identified five states that I argued would pick the next president. Tell me how these states -- Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Nevada and Michigan -- will go in November, I wrote, and I'll tell you who will be our next president ("The Big 5: Picking the States That Will Pick the President").
As the presidential race has developed, those five states seem to hold the same predictive value now that they did then. Sure, there are a handful of additional states that could turn the election to either Democratic Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) or Republican Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) -- New Hampshire, New Mexico, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and North Carolina -- but the longer the list, the less it tells us about who'll win.
I've become convinced that my initial list of five states probably can be boiled down to just one -- one state that is most likely to determine who will be the next occupant of the White House. And that state is Colorado.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
All of them. Colorado being one.
Colorado is one of the keys, no doubt about it.
I think Nevada is more solidly Republican, especially after all Harry Reid has done to tick off everybody!
If Hussein loses a state he has enough kooks or deceased to vote for him—like PA—he’s done and it’ll all be over but the bitching at DU. I’ve long thought that it would come down to Ohio but Palin getting the VP nod on the GOP ticket changed that dramatically, IMO.
Wisconsin
Having Palin added to the ticket has solidified many red states and has given McCain a foot up in OH, VA, and FL. But the pairing doesn’t seem to be doing as well in CO. Heck, they seem to be doing better in PA than in CO. I can’t quite figure out what is going on.
I agree with CO. Bambi’s strategy is dependent on taking IA, NM, and CO out of the red column. He will probably succeed with IA and NM; if he fails with CO, we should be sitting pretty.
I would like to know what Colorado-FReepers think of the political analysis that the Amendment on individual-rights-to-the-unborn, Amendment 48, will do for fundamentalist-voter-turn-out as far as swinging the election in Colorado.
I have heard that this will be a significant event.
John Elway was very visible in Colorado campaigning with President Bush in 2004. Does anyone know if he is doing the same for McCain this year?
“I can’t quite figure out what is going on.”
Rednecks.
Several of us pointed to CO as this year’s bellweather.
Those of us who vote Republican in CO don’t answer polls. I hung up on one the other day. So barring a massive illegal voter turnout like 2006 it will go to McCain.
I totally agree with you
I would like to know what Colorado-FReepers think
It does not matter what I think, I know that BO will loose!
The Demonrats are supporting their candidate, but I have noticed that there has been a very dramatic decrease in bumper stickers/yard signs for Obambi as compared to when Gore ran.
And, as was said earlier, the Republican and Unaffiliated here don't talk to the pollsters.
I hope you are right. Obama blew out Hillary in the CO primary by a 67-32% margin. It would appear he has a very good organization in the state.
If Mc takes PA it should counteract CO if we lose it.
If McCain takes PA, the election is his. With PA, McCain could lose CO and NV and still have 11 EVs spare. With PA, McCain could lose CO, NV, and VA and still win the election with 2 spare EVs if he also won NH.
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