Posted on 09/15/2008 12:52:45 PM PDT by Darren McCarty
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
46% McCain (R)
50% Obama (D)
2% Other
2% Undecided
Virginia Men, Voters Age 50+, Independents, Take Another Look At Obama: In an election for President of the United States in Virginia today, 09/15/08, 7 weeks till votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 50% to 46%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, WJLA-TV in Washington DC, WTVR-TV in Richmond, and WJHL-TV in the Tri-Cities. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released one week ago, immediately following the Republican National Convention, Obama is up 3 points; McCain is down 3. The movement solidifies Virginia place as America's 2008 battleground. One week ago, McCain led among men by 11 points. Today, McCain and Obama tie. One week ago, McCain led among voters age 50+ by 14 points. Today, McCain leads by 1. One week ago, Obama led among lower income voters by 6 points. Today, Obama leads by 20. One week ago, McCain led among Independents by 21 points. Today, McCain leads by 4. 17% of Republicans today crossover to vote Democrat, up from 11% last week and 7% last month. 12% of Democrats cross over to vote Republican, compared with 10% in the two previous polls. Strikingly: week-on-week movement in the DC suburbs was to McCain; movement in the Shenandoah and Central VA was to Obama.
In Virginia, there is still no evidence that Sarah Palin is attracting women to the GOP ticket. McCain polled at 44% before he picked Palin, and at 43% in each of the two polls conducted after Palin was announced.
(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...
This smells like phony, from top to bottom
Its not racism.Its his marxist idiology that we will not stand for inspite of the slipknots pushing his agenda.
I don’t assume any state until I see at least two consecutive polls with McCain ahead.
No way there is a 24 point gap between voters in North Carolina and Virginia. None.
My best guess has McCain up by around 10 in NC and up by around 4 in VA.
Doug Wilder was ahead by 9% in the polls, yet won by less than 1/2%. Obama will need to work harder in Virginia.
VA has been a little kooky these last few years. Too much Washington Post. I have a friend in Northern Virginia who is a lobbiest and a Republican and has refused to vote for McCain.
all the more reason to work. work. work. and work.
then work.
The Wilder effect has nothing to do with racism, other than the fact that those answering the pollsters are so worried about being accused of racisim that they often claim to be voting for the black candidate, even though they oppose him or her for reasons that may have nothing to do with race.
I am not a slave of polls.
Prior to Palin, I was not sure how it would turn out. I know he has checkmated Obama with palin. Its over.
I was in a crowded McDonalds today watching people eat while a CNN program droned on.
CNN was hyping the banking panic. The bottom of the screen said “should we panic” They were practically inciting people to make a run on the banks. Then they played Biden denouncing Bush and McCain. Through all of this the MCD crowd ignored the TV. As soon as Sarah Palin’s image hit the screen, people turned from their meals to strain to hear what she said. They started talking at their tables about what she was saying. The public utterly ignores CNN except when they blip in legit conservative news.
It is over. The evidence is plain. Don’t try to fool me with polls. I see and hear the arguments. Obama’s got less than nothing— he is going down.
“It is over. The evidence is plain. Don’t try to fool me with polls. I see and hear the arguments. Obama’s got less than nothing— he is going down.”
My thoughts exactly.
I absolutely DO NOT want Obama to win. But the last Republican to win the presidential election in a landslide was GHWB, who add two advantages that McCain doesn't have this year: (1) the very long coattails of Reagan, and (2) going against one of the worst candidates that the Democrats have put up for president in my lifetime.
McCain has the opposite problem with GWB, and say what you want about Obama, his campaign is highly effective, if not nasty (ask Hillary her opinion about that after this election).
The cards are stacked against McCain "winning in a landslide" or even a cakewalk.
The last two elections were one my the outcome of one state (FL in 2000, OH in 2004). My fear is we are about to repeat that scenario in 2004 (CO or NM, take your pick).
one my => won by (sheesh, that was bad on my part!)
It depends what one thinks will happen in PA-MI-WI-MN; all should be pretty close to a tie. If Obama's support is overrepresented in polls, McCain could run those states. If McCain can't take any of those, the race becomes much more dicey.
Could be... also could be a blowout. Work like it is tight and be positive about winning. A winning attitude is a must... if one wants to win. You are correct that one must be grounded in reality but one must “believe” one can win and it does work. No one ever won anything (maybe a chance lottery) without believing that they could win. That was the only point I was trying to make.
LLS
Is should be skewed toward Northern Virginia because that is where a good chunk of the state lives. Fairfax County alone has 1 out of every 7 residents in the state.
agreed, this poll requires the “willful suspension of disbelief” in order to be taken seriously.
But it shouldn't be skewed.
So if the poll is considered skewed because it reflects that reality, then the comment is wrong. I don't know the percent the poll listed as coming from northern Virginia.
If the poll has 50% of the respondents coming from northern Virginia, then it is skewed...if the poll lists 30%, then it is not skewed.
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