Say WA? Evergreen State ping
FReepmail sionnsar if you want on or off this ping list.
Ping sionnsar if you see a Washington state related thread.
Posted on 09/12/2008 9:56:01 AM PDT by swmopatriot
WA: Obama 49, McCain 47 Gregoire 46 Rossi 52
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
The marriage issue on the ballot in California has to be good for a one or two points extra for McCain-Palin.
I notice there are only three Oregon polls. One from Feb (throw out), two from early August. One (SUSA) has the Obamessiah 48-45 (pretty consistent with final results in 2004), while the other (Ras) has The One 52-42. Both were obviously pre-Palin and pre-convention.
Absolutely, OR would be in play even if WA wasn’t this close. I didn’t mention OR because the WA poll suggests that even CA is in play, and that McCain/Palin could get 400 EVs. If WA is decided by 2% on Election Day, McCain/Palin will win in an Electoral College landslide.
It polled 600 RVs. Has Obama up 46-39%, w/third parties pulling only 2%. That seems like a very high number of undecideds. Break out was 46% Dem, 35% GOP, 20% independent. A +11 differential for a state this close the past two Presidential elections is not very realistic. Especially with the strong GOP voter identification surge. I view this poll rather suspiciously.
It should be, but it hasn't been in any "swing state" discussions as far as polls, campaign strategy, etc. And I'm guilty of ignoring it like most everyone else.
If WA is decided by 2% on Election Day, McCain/Palin will win in an Electoral College landslide.
Agreed.
If McCain-Palin even comes close to winning Washington State, many “journalists” will be crying. Dare I dream of a landslide?
In 2004, OR voted approximately 7% more Democratic than the national average. Kerry won by 4.16%, while Bush won nationally by 2.7%. Given all this, I suspect that the race in Oregon is closer than 7 points, but Obama probably still has a slight lead.
Hey, if McCain is winning or ahead in Oregon, he’s winning every other close battleground state as well, including OH, MI, PA, WI, even MN.
Fantastic, especially re: Rossi
I still am sceptical WA will turn GOP. But this result would at least give encouragement that known swing states will swing GOP.
The Rossi poll excites me more. Rossi won before and had it stolen after three counts. We need the vote to be greater this time to overcome the fraud in King County.
Is he raising the fruad that occurred 4 years ago? I sure hope he’s pounding that home
THANK YOU SARAH PALIN!!!!!!
Well, I don’t see how Rossi wins and McCain doesn’t. That just doesn’t fly.
WATCH CLOSELY: Pierce, Snohomish, and southern King Counties. I predict that both Rossi AND McCain will carry Snohomish (it was Rossi/Kerry in 2004). If Obama loses places like Kent and Federal Way in southern King County, and the outer towns of Pierce while only drawing 60% or less in Tacoma proper, he is toast.
I simply can’t believe that Rossi is that far ahead in Washington, but I’d love to be wrong. This place is a socialist hellhole.
Mail-in voting kills us in Oregon. The “wake and bake” crowd may not have the energy to crawl out of bed and hit the polling place, but they know how to affix a stamp and get their only sober buddy to drop it in the mailbox.
I'm sure you can smell the old hippies from where you are.
It does fly. Rossi is already more popular than McCain in the state. When McCain was trailing Obama by double digits, Rossi was in a statistical dead heat with Gregorie. There are alot of independedants in Washington that were going to vote for Rossi regardless because they know he won last time and Gregorie stole it.
With Palin on the ticket, she's having a coattail effect and getting some people (mostly Hillary-leaning moderate females) who normally don't vote Republican to cross over and vote GOP this time around to "punish" the Dems. (perhaps they're going to vote straight GOP out of spite, the opposite effect some bozos had in 2006) They're boosting McCain's numbers, and they're boosting Rossi's too. So McCain is going from his former margin of 43% to now gettting 48%, while Rossi goes from his former margin of 47% to now getting 52%.
Don’t tease me. A martian invasion is probably more likely.
Say WA? Evergreen State ping
FReepmail sionnsar if you want on or off this ping list.
Ping sionnsar if you see a Washington state related thread.
Say WA? Evergreen State ping
FReepmail sionnsar if you want on or off this ping list.
Ping sionnsar if you see a Washington state related thread.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.