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Detailed Senate Race Research:
National Republican Senatorial Committee ^

Posted on 09/12/2008 9:18:54 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55

The US Senate


Currently:

Republicans: 49 Seats

Democrats: 51 Seats

35 of the 100 seats in the Senate will be contested.


Alaska

Incumbent Senator Ted Stevens VS Mark Begich



Stevens surges in Senate poll- September 5th

Stevens closes to within 2 in Alaska Senate Race- Sept 10.

More Ted Stevens Gifts? Massage Chair, Sled Dog

Stevens for Senate

Alabama

Incumbent Senator Jeff Sessions VS Vivian Figures



Sen. Jeff Sessions holds a 58-31 lead over Democratic challenger state Sen. Vivian Davis Figures- August 5th.

Sessions still leads figures- Sept 6.

Sessions for Senate


Arkansas

Senator Mark Pryor.



Whats the deal with this race? Does Pryor not have a Republican challenger?

No GOP Opponent For Mark Pryor's Run For Second Term In U.S. Senate


Colorado

Bob Schaffer VS Mark Udall



Mark Udall's tax lies

I'm looking for a more recent poll between these two (AFTER-PALIN) and I was unable to find it. This leads me to believe Schaffer may be closing in. And they don't want to post that.

Bob Schaffer For Senate

Delaware

Christine O'Donnell VS NOBODY



Can anybody tell me about this race? Apparently Biden is running for both VP and Senate? Could he lose both?



Georgia

Incumbent Senator Saxby Chambliss VS Jim Martin



Saxby Chambliss well positioned to win re-election in 2008.

Saxby Chambliss for Senate

Iowa

Incumbent Senator Tom Harkin VS Chris Reed



AUGUST 11TH (PRE-PALIN) Iowa Senate: Harkin Takes 24-point Lead on GOP Challenger

Christopher Reed For Senate


Idaho

Jim Risch VS Larry Larocco



Idaho Senate: GOP’s Risch Is Far Ahead 58% to 30%

Jim Risch For US Senate

Illinois

Incumbent Senator Dick Durbin VS Steve Sauerberg, MD



U.S. Senator Tom Coburn, M.D., (R-OK), will join Dr. Sauerberg for a fundraiser to help oust Durbin

Steve Sauerberg for Senate


Kansas

Incumbent Senator Pat Roberts VS Jim Slattery



Kansas Senate: GOP Incumbent Roberts Up by 19%

Roberts for Senate


Kentucky

Incumbent Senator Mitch McConnell VS Bruce Lunsford



McConnell holds 12 point lead (Pre-Palin)

McConnell for Senate


Louisiana

Incumbent Senator Mary Landrieu VS John Kennedy



Landrieu Opens 16-Point Lead in Louisiana (PRE-PALIN)

Kennedy for Senate


Minnesota

Incumbent Senator Norm Coleman VS Al Franken



Coleman For Senate-- Leads Franken

Mississippi

Incumbent Senator Thad Cochran


Thad for Senate

Is Thad Cochran running unopposed?


Nebraska

Incumbent Senator Scott Kleeb VS Mike Johanns



Nebraska Senate: Johanns Holds on to Solid Lead (PRE-PALIN)

Johanns For Senate


New Jersey

Incumbent Senator Frank Lautenberg VS Zimmer



Zimmer for Senate

New Jersey Senate: Lautenberg’s Lead Grows in the Garden State, Support Climbs Over 50% (PRE-PALIN)


North Carolina

Incumbent Senator Elizabeth Dole VS Kay Hagan



Dole for Senate

North Carolina Senate: Dole Holds onto Solid Lead (PRE-PALIN)


Maine

Incumbent Senator Susan Collins VS Tom Allen



Collins for Senate

Maine Senate: Collins Doubles Lead over Allen(PRE-PALIN)


Massachusetts

Incumbent Senator John F'n Kerry VS Jeff Beatty



Beatty for Senate

Jeff Beatty's Bio

McCain will beat Obama in Mass., I’ll beat Kerry, Beatty says.





Jeff Beatty for US Senate.

Prior to his 15 year business career, Mr. Beatty had nearly 15 years of active public service to his country. Jeff is a combat wounded veteran.


Having trouble finding post-Palin poll numbers. Seems like most of these polls were taken in early June or July.



Rhode Island

Incumbent Senator Jack Reed VS Nobody?


Anybody know if this guy has a challenger? I could not find one.


New Hampshire

Incumbent Senator John Sununu VS Jean Shaheen



Sununu for Senate

New Hampshire: Shaheen Doubles Lead over Incumbent Sununu(PRE-PALIN)


South Carolina

Incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham VS Nobody?


Graham for Senate

Anybody know about this race? I guess Graham is running unopposed?


Virginia

Jim Gilmore VS Mark Warner



Gilmore for Senate.

Virginia Senate: Warner Still Way Ahead(PRE-PALIN)


West Virginia

Incumbent Jay Rockefeller VS Jay Wolfe



Wolfe for Senate.
I could not find any polls on this race.


Tennessee

Incumbent Lamar Alexander VS Nobody?

Alexander for Senate.
It looks like Alexander is running unopposed.


Michigan

Incumbent Senator Carl Levin VS Jack Hoogendy



Hoogendyk for Senate.

Michigan Senate: Landslide Levin(PRE-PALIN)


Texas

Incumbent Senator John Cornyn VS Rick Noriega



Cornyn for Senate.

Texas Senate: Cornyn Still Well Ahead But Has Less Than 50% Support(Pre-Palin)


Oklahoma

Incumbent Senator Jim Inhofe VS Andrew Rice



Inhofe for Senate.

Rice drops out of closed event
Inhofe will find a way to win.


South Dakota

Incumbent Senator Tim Johnson VS Joel Dykstra



Dykstra for Senate.

South Dakota Senate: Senator Johnson in the Clear(Taken back in JULY)


New Mexico

Steve Pearce VS Tom Udall



Pearce for Senate.

New Mexico Senate: Udall’s Lead Continues to Fall (Post-Palin)


Wyoming


Wyoming has two Republican Senators up for election? Both look unopposed?
Senator John Barrasso and Senator Mike Enzi.


Montana


Senator Max Baucus is unopposed I guess?


Oregon
Incumbent Senator Gordon Smith Vs Jeff Merkely



Smith for Senate
Oregon Senate: Incumbent Smith Regains Lead, Still Receives Under 50% Support(PRE-PALIN)



In all I had a really hard time finding polls Post-Palin. The ones that were post Palin all showed a jump for the Incumbent Republican.

Would love to see how the Kerry poll is doing in September?


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electioncongress; electionussenate; jimgilmore; markwarner; nrsc; senate; virginiasenate
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1 posted on 09/12/2008 9:18:54 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55

bttt

Anyone know of a site with recent Senate polling data?

Most of what I found was from June, July or August.


2 posted on 09/12/2008 9:19:44 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55; Jim Robinson

Jim what do you think our chances are in the Senate?


3 posted on 09/12/2008 9:20:30 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55; Miss Didi

Safe
Oklahoma
Alabama
Georgia
Idaho
Kansas
Kentucky
Minnesota
Mississippi
North Carolina
Maine
South Carolina
Tennessee
Texas
Wyoming
Oregon

Unsafe
Arkansas
Iowa
Illinois
New Jersey
Rhode Island
New Hampshire
Virginia
Michigan
South Dakota
Montana

Toss Up
Alaska
Colorado
Delaware
Louisiana
Nebraska (Leaning Republican Pickup)
Massachusetts
West Virginia
New Mexico (Leaning Republican)


4 posted on 09/12/2008 9:29:02 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55
Great thread..many thanks..Not that I'm trying to create work for you, but can I suggest that you keep this going for the next two monts, update as needed, and as you have time, and ask those who'd like to be on your ping list to it. (ME!! ME!!, I'm first!!)

It also reminded me how little lately we've heard mention of about the Louisiana race, where Mary was deemed very beatable a few months ago. What happened??

5 posted on 09/12/2008 9:31:38 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: ken5050

Sure!

I’d love to keep it updated!

Also it always helps to see the faces in the races.

I’m having trouble finding recent polls for the Senate races though.


6 posted on 09/12/2008 9:35:22 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55

New Joisey is safely dem..........


7 posted on 09/12/2008 9:35:26 AM PDT by tioga (Obama has jumped the PIG....................vote McPalin in 2008)
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To: tioga

How much longer can Lautenberger hold out?

The Dems will do what they have to, to keep that seat..even breaking the law.


8 posted on 09/12/2008 9:37:11 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: tioga

Who is Hinchey?


9 posted on 09/12/2008 9:41:05 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55
NY Congressman Maurice Hinchey........wanted to nationalize the oil industry.
10 posted on 09/12/2008 9:43:24 AM PDT by tioga (Obama has jumped the PIG....................vote McPalin in 2008)
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To: tioga

Ohhh ok! I remember that interview!

Didn’t Obama also endorse that position?


11 posted on 09/12/2008 9:44:58 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55

don’t recall that.......


12 posted on 09/12/2008 9:46:21 AM PDT by tioga (Obama has jumped the PIG....................vote McPalin in 2008)
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To: tioga; Osage Orange; 2Jedismom

I’d like to see some of these Senate polls post-Palin and Post-Obama screw ups.

My Senator Jim Inhofe is running for re-election. He knows Obama isn’t liked here.

He’s able to run an ad and split screen his opponent with Obama. He knows it will play.


13 posted on 09/12/2008 9:48:44 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55

It’s kind of like the opposite of coat-tails.

Obama turns people OFF! LOL!


14 posted on 09/12/2008 9:57:27 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55

Thanks for the ping. Good job.


15 posted on 09/12/2008 9:58:57 AM PDT by 1035rep (McCain/Palin 08)
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To: 1035rep
McCain Closes to Within Two Points of Obama in Washington
16 posted on 09/12/2008 10:04:04 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55
We have 17 presidential polls today. As you can see below, there is more red than blue today, but much of that is due to the states that happened to be polled. One noteworthy results in a swing state is two polls in Florida that give McCain a 7-8 point lead there. Key states like Colorado, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, and Pennsylvania continue to be close.
State Obama McCain Start End Pollster
Alabama 35% 55% Sep 03 Sep 09 Capital Research
Colorado 49% 46% Sep 09 Sep 10 Insider Advantage
Florida 42% 50% Sep 09 Sep 10 Insider Advantage
Florida 43% 50% Sep 05 Sep 09 Quinnipiac U.
Georgia 38% 56% Sep 10 Sep 10 Insider Advantage
Idaho 29% 68% Sep 09 Sep 09 Rasmussen
Maine 52% 38% Sep 08 Sep 10 Research 2000
Michigan 44% 45% Sep 09 Sep 10 Insider Advantage
Michigan 51% 46% Sep 10 Sep 10 Rasmussen
Mississippi 39% 52% Sep 08 Sep 10 Research 2000
North Carolina 38% 55% Sep 08 Sep 10 Research 2000
Nevada 45% 46% Sep 09 Sep 10 Insider Advantage
Ohio 47% 48% Sep 09 Sep 10 Insider Advantage
Ohio 49% 44% Sep 05 Sep 09 Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania 48% 45% Sep 05 Sep 09 Quinnipiac U.
West Virginia 39% 44% Sep 05 Sep 08 Mark Blankenship
Wyoming 39% 58% Sep 10 Sep 10 Rasmussen

For the first time this year John McCain has taken the lead in the electoral college, albeit by 2 EVs. Today's configuration shows McCain ahead in all the swing states except Colorado. This means he can't afford to lose any of Nevada, New Mexico, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, all of which could go either way. Today might later be remembered as the beginning of the end for Obama, or just a blip. Obama now has 268 EVs. In 2004, John Kerry had 273 on this date.

17 posted on 09/12/2008 10:08:24 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: ConservativeMan55

So McCain is probably ahead in Oregon.


18 posted on 09/12/2008 10:10:59 AM PDT by 1035rep (McCain/Palin 08)
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To: ConservativeMan55

(sigh)...sometimes it’s stinks being in the belly of the beast. ie new york state


19 posted on 09/12/2008 10:11:29 AM PDT by tioga (Obama has jumped the PIG....................vote McPalin in 2008)
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To: tioga

Last I heard McCain was closing the gap there too!

We might not win it.. but Obama may be forced to spend extra money there.


20 posted on 09/12/2008 10:13:26 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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