[ConservativeMan55]

McCain Closes to Within Two Points of Obama in Washington

[ConservativeMan55]

We have 17 presidential polls today. As you can see below, there is more red than blue today, but much of that is due to the states that happened to be polled. One noteworthy results in a swing state is two polls in Florida that give McCain a 7-8 point lead there. Key states like Colorado, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, and Pennsylvania continue to be close.

State	Obama	McCain	Start	End	Pollster
Alabama	35%	55%	Sep 03	Sep 09	Capital Research
Colorado	49%	46%	Sep 09	Sep 10	Insider Advantage
Florida	42%	50%	Sep 09	Sep 10	Insider Advantage
Florida	43%	50%	Sep 05	Sep 09	Quinnipiac U.
Georgia	38%	56%	Sep 10	Sep 10	Insider Advantage
Idaho	29%	68%	Sep 09	Sep 09	Rasmussen
Maine	52%	38%	Sep 08	Sep 10	Research 2000
Michigan	44%	45%	Sep 09	Sep 10	Insider Advantage
Michigan	51%	46%	Sep 10	Sep 10	Rasmussen
Mississippi	39%	52%	Sep 08	Sep 10	Research 2000
North Carolina	38%	55%	Sep 08	Sep 10	Research 2000
Nevada	45%	46%	Sep 09	Sep 10	Insider Advantage
Ohio	47%	48%	Sep 09	Sep 10	Insider Advantage
Ohio	49%	44%	Sep 05	Sep 09	Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania	48%	45%	Sep 05	Sep 09	Quinnipiac U.
West Virginia	39%	44%	Sep 05	Sep 08	Mark Blankenship
Wyoming	39%	58%	Sep 10	Sep 10	Rasmussen

For the first time this year John McCain has taken the lead in the electoral college, albeit by 2 EVs. Today's configuration shows McCain ahead in all the swing states except Colorado. This means he can't afford to lose any of Nevada, New Mexico, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, all of which could go either way. Today might later be remembered as the beginning of the end for Obama, or just a blip. Obama now has 268 EVs. In 2004, John Kerry had 273 on this date.

[1035rep]

So McCain is probably ahead in Oregon.