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Detailed Senate Race Research:
National Republican Senatorial Committee ^
Posted on 09/12/2008 9:18:54 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
The US Senate
Currently:
Republicans: 49 Seats
Democrats: 51 Seats
35 of the 100 seats in the Senate will be contested.
Alaska
Incumbent Senator Ted Stevens VS Mark Begich
Stevens surges in Senate poll- September 5th
Stevens closes to within 2 in Alaska Senate Race- Sept 10.
More Ted Stevens Gifts? Massage Chair, Sled Dog
Stevens for Senate
Alabama
Incumbent Senator Jeff Sessions VS Vivian Figures
Sen. Jeff Sessions holds a 58-31 lead over Democratic challenger state Sen. Vivian Davis Figures- August 5th.
Sessions still leads figures- Sept 6.
Sessions for Senate
Arkansas
Senator Mark Pryor.
Whats the deal with this race? Does Pryor not have a Republican challenger?
No GOP Opponent For Mark Pryor's Run For Second Term In U.S. Senate
Colorado
Bob Schaffer VS Mark Udall
Mark Udall's tax lies
I'm looking for a more recent poll between these two (AFTER-PALIN) and I was unable to find it. This leads me to believe Schaffer may be closing in. And they don't want to post that.
Bob Schaffer For Senate
Delaware
Christine O'Donnell VS NOBODY
Can anybody tell me about this race? Apparently Biden is running for both VP and Senate? Could he lose both?
Georgia
Incumbent Senator Saxby Chambliss VS Jim Martin
Saxby Chambliss well positioned to win re-election in 2008.
Saxby Chambliss for Senate
Iowa
Incumbent Senator Tom Harkin VS Chris Reed
AUGUST 11TH (PRE-PALIN) Iowa Senate: Harkin Takes 24-point Lead on GOP Challenger
Christopher Reed For Senate
Idaho
Jim Risch VS Larry Larocco
Idaho Senate: GOPs Risch Is Far Ahead 58% to 30%
Jim Risch For US Senate
Illinois
Incumbent Senator Dick Durbin VS Steve Sauerberg, MD
U.S. Senator Tom Coburn, M.D., (R-OK), will join Dr. Sauerberg for a fundraiser to help oust Durbin
Steve Sauerberg for Senate
Kansas
Incumbent Senator Pat Roberts VS Jim Slattery
Kansas Senate: GOP Incumbent Roberts Up by 19%
Roberts for Senate
Kentucky
Incumbent Senator Mitch McConnell VS Bruce Lunsford
McConnell holds 12 point lead (Pre-Palin)
McConnell for Senate
Louisiana
Incumbent Senator Mary Landrieu VS John Kennedy
Landrieu Opens 16-Point Lead in Louisiana (PRE-PALIN)
Kennedy for Senate
Minnesota
Incumbent Senator Norm Coleman VS Al Franken
Coleman For Senate-- Leads Franken
Mississippi
Incumbent Senator Thad Cochran
Thad for Senate
Is Thad Cochran running unopposed?
Nebraska
Incumbent Senator Scott Kleeb VS Mike Johanns
Nebraska Senate: Johanns Holds on to Solid Lead (PRE-PALIN)
Johanns For Senate
New Jersey
Incumbent Senator Frank Lautenberg VS Zimmer
Zimmer for Senate
New Jersey Senate: Lautenbergs Lead Grows in the Garden State, Support Climbs Over 50% (PRE-PALIN)
North Carolina
Incumbent Senator Elizabeth Dole VS Kay Hagan
Dole for Senate
North Carolina Senate: Dole Holds onto Solid Lead (PRE-PALIN)
Maine
Incumbent Senator Susan Collins VS Tom Allen
Collins for Senate
Maine Senate: Collins Doubles Lead over Allen(PRE-PALIN)
Massachusetts
Incumbent Senator John F'n Kerry VS Jeff Beatty
Beatty for Senate
Jeff Beatty's Bio
McCain will beat Obama in Mass., Ill beat Kerry, Beatty says.
Jeff Beatty for US Senate.
Prior to his 15 year business career, Mr. Beatty had nearly 15 years of active public service to his country. Jeff is a combat wounded veteran.
- From 1981-1983 Mr. Beatty served as a Delta Force officer Assault Troop Commander. (Mr. Beatty was in the first “Blackhawk down”), He led his unit on several deployments, was repeatedly commended for saving lives, and went on to become the Force Operations Officer.
- In 1983, Mr. Beatty was recruited by the FBI to serve as a special advisor to the FBI's Hostage Rescue Team (HRT) with emphasis on security for the 1984 Los Angeles Olympics.
- Two years later, Mr. Beatty was recruited by the CIA and served at several locations in Europe and in the Middle East. He developed programs used to train allies on how to counter terrorism, mounted several successful intelligence and security operations against terrorist groups responsible for the deaths of Americans, thwarted several potential terrorist attacks and ran successful traditional intelligence operations.
Having trouble finding post-Palin poll numbers. Seems like most of these polls were taken in early June or July.
Rhode Island
Incumbent Senator Jack Reed VS Nobody?
Anybody know if this guy has a challenger? I could not find one.
New Hampshire
Incumbent Senator John Sununu VS Jean Shaheen
Sununu for Senate
New Hampshire: Shaheen Doubles Lead over Incumbent Sununu(PRE-PALIN)
South Carolina
Incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham VS Nobody?
Graham for Senate
Anybody know about this race? I guess Graham is running unopposed?
Virginia
Jim Gilmore VS Mark Warner
Gilmore for Senate.
Virginia Senate: Warner Still Way Ahead(PRE-PALIN)
West Virginia
Incumbent Jay Rockefeller VS Jay Wolfe
Wolfe for Senate.
I could not find any polls on this race.
Tennessee
Incumbent Lamar Alexander VS Nobody?
Alexander for Senate.
It looks like Alexander is running unopposed.
Michigan
Incumbent Senator Carl Levin VS Jack Hoogendy
Hoogendyk for Senate.
Michigan Senate: Landslide Levin(PRE-PALIN)
Texas
Incumbent Senator John Cornyn VS Rick Noriega
Cornyn for Senate.
Texas Senate: Cornyn Still Well Ahead But Has Less Than 50% Support(Pre-Palin)
Oklahoma
Incumbent Senator Jim Inhofe VS Andrew Rice
Inhofe for Senate.
Rice drops out of closed event
Inhofe will find a way to win.
South Dakota
Incumbent Senator Tim Johnson VS Joel Dykstra
Dykstra for Senate.
South Dakota Senate: Senator Johnson in the Clear(Taken back in JULY)
New Mexico
Steve Pearce VS Tom Udall
Pearce for Senate.
New Mexico Senate: Udalls Lead Continues to Fall (Post-Palin)
Wyoming
Wyoming has two Republican Senators up for election? Both look unopposed?
Senator John Barrasso and Senator Mike Enzi.
Montana
Senator Max Baucus is unopposed I guess?
Oregon
Incumbent Senator Gordon Smith Vs Jeff Merkely
Smith for Senate
Oregon Senate: Incumbent Smith Regains Lead, Still Receives Under 50% Support(PRE-PALIN)
In all I had a really hard time finding polls Post-Palin. The ones that were post Palin all showed a jump for the Incumbent Republican.
Would love to see how the Kerry poll is doing in September?
TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electioncongress; electionussenate; jimgilmore; markwarner; nrsc; senate; virginiasenate
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To: ConservativeMan55
bttt
Anyone know of a site with recent Senate polling data?
Most of what I found was from June, July or August.
2
posted on
09/12/2008 9:19:44 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55; Jim Robinson
Jim what do you think our chances are in the Senate?
3
posted on
09/12/2008 9:20:30 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55; Miss Didi
Safe
Oklahoma
Alabama
Georgia
Idaho
Kansas
Kentucky
Minnesota
Mississippi
North Carolina
Maine
South Carolina
Tennessee
Texas
Wyoming
Oregon
Unsafe
Arkansas
Iowa
Illinois
New Jersey
Rhode Island
New Hampshire
Virginia
Michigan
South Dakota
Montana
Toss Up
Alaska
Colorado
Delaware
Louisiana
Nebraska (Leaning Republican Pickup)
Massachusetts
West Virginia
New Mexico (Leaning Republican)
4
posted on
09/12/2008 9:29:02 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55
Great thread..many thanks..Not that I'm trying to create work for you, but can I suggest that you keep this going for the next two monts, update as needed, and as you have time, and ask those who'd like to be on your ping list to it. (ME!! ME!!, I'm first!!)
It also reminded me how little lately we've heard mention of about the Louisiana race, where Mary was deemed very beatable a few months ago. What happened??
5
posted on
09/12/2008 9:31:38 AM PDT
by
ken5050
To: ken5050
Sure!
I’d love to keep it updated!
Also it always helps to see the faces in the races.
I’m having trouble finding recent polls for the Senate races though.
6
posted on
09/12/2008 9:35:22 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55
New Joisey is safely dem..........
7
posted on
09/12/2008 9:35:26 AM PDT
by
tioga
(Obama has jumped the PIG....................vote McPalin in 2008)
To: tioga
How much longer can Lautenberger hold out?
The Dems will do what they have to, to keep that seat..even breaking the law.
8
posted on
09/12/2008 9:37:11 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: tioga
9
posted on
09/12/2008 9:41:05 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55
10
posted on
09/12/2008 9:43:24 AM PDT
by
tioga
(Obama has jumped the PIG....................vote McPalin in 2008)
To: tioga
Ohhh ok! I remember that interview!
Didn’t Obama also endorse that position?
11
posted on
09/12/2008 9:44:58 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55
12
posted on
09/12/2008 9:46:21 AM PDT
by
tioga
(Obama has jumped the PIG....................vote McPalin in 2008)
To: tioga; Osage Orange; 2Jedismom
I’d like to see some of these Senate polls post-Palin and Post-Obama screw ups.
My Senator Jim Inhofe is running for re-election. He knows Obama isn’t liked here.
He’s able to run an ad and split screen his opponent with Obama. He knows it will play.
13
posted on
09/12/2008 9:48:44 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55
It’s kind of like the opposite of coat-tails.
Obama turns people OFF! LOL!
14
posted on
09/12/2008 9:57:27 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55
Thanks for the ping. Good job.
15
posted on
09/12/2008 9:58:57 AM PDT
by
1035rep
(McCain/Palin 08)
To: 1035rep
16
posted on
09/12/2008 10:04:04 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55
We have 17 presidential polls today. As you can see below, there is more red than blue today, but much of that is due to the states that happened to be polled. One noteworthy results in a swing state is two polls in
Florida that give McCain a 7-8 point lead there. Key states like
Colorado,
Michigan,
Nevada,
Ohio, and
Pennsylvania continue to be close.
Alabama |
35% |
55% |
Sep 03 |
Sep 09 |
Capital Research |
Colorado |
49% |
46% |
Sep 09 |
Sep 10 |
Insider Advantage |
Florida |
42% |
50% |
Sep 09 |
Sep 10 |
Insider Advantage |
Florida |
43% |
50% |
Sep 05 |
Sep 09 |
Quinnipiac U. |
Georgia |
38% |
56% |
Sep 10 |
Sep 10 |
Insider Advantage |
Idaho |
29% |
68% |
Sep 09 |
Sep 09 |
Rasmussen |
Maine |
52% |
38% |
Sep 08 |
Sep 10 |
Research 2000 |
Michigan |
44% |
45% |
Sep 09 |
Sep 10 |
Insider Advantage |
Michigan |
51% |
46% |
Sep 10 |
Sep 10 |
Rasmussen |
Mississippi |
39% |
52% |
Sep 08 |
Sep 10 |
Research 2000 |
North Carolina |
38% |
55% |
Sep 08 |
Sep 10 |
Research 2000 |
Nevada |
45% |
46% |
Sep 09 |
Sep 10 |
Insider Advantage |
Ohio |
47% |
48% |
Sep 09 |
Sep 10 |
Insider Advantage |
Ohio |
49% |
44% |
Sep 05 |
Sep 09 |
Quinnipiac U. |
Pennsylvania |
48% |
45% |
Sep 05 |
Sep 09 |
Quinnipiac U. |
West Virginia |
39% |
44% |
Sep 05 |
Sep 08 |
Mark Blankenship |
Wyoming |
39% |
58% |
Sep 10 |
Sep 10 |
Rasmussen |
For the first time this year John McCain has taken the lead in the electoral college, albeit by 2 EVs. Today's configuration shows McCain ahead in all the swing states except Colorado. This means he can't afford to lose any of Nevada, New Mexico, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, all of which could go either way. Today might later be remembered as the beginning of the end for Obama, or just a blip. Obama now has 268 EVs. In 2004, John Kerry had 273 on this date.
17
posted on
09/12/2008 10:08:24 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
To: ConservativeMan55
So McCain is probably ahead in Oregon.
18
posted on
09/12/2008 10:10:59 AM PDT
by
1035rep
(McCain/Palin 08)
To: ConservativeMan55
(sigh)...sometimes it’s stinks being in the belly of the beast. ie new york state
19
posted on
09/12/2008 10:11:29 AM PDT
by
tioga
(Obama has jumped the PIG....................vote McPalin in 2008)
To: tioga
Last I heard McCain was closing the gap there too!
We might not win it.. but Obama may be forced to spend extra money there.
20
posted on
09/12/2008 10:13:26 AM PDT
by
ConservativeMan55
(Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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