All you Freepers who said bad things about this Houston Rat should realize that for
once, you're wrong!
Posted on 09/11/2008 6:57:55 PM PDT by topher
There is technical information in the National Hurricane Center FORECAST Discussion on Hurricanes/Tropical Storms/Tropical Depressions. This is based on FORECAST DISCUSSION #43 at 5 PM EDT on Hurricane Ike (2008).
In terms of Hurricane Ike, the NHC (National Hurricane Center) stated that a HIGH PRESSURE system over Texas was causing problems to Hurricane Ike. Sapping the strenght of a Hurricane -- especially for the people in the path of the Hurricane -- is a good thing.
The High Pressure System over Texas (simply put -- a lot of lot air and dryness) is keeping the Northern, NorthWestern, and Western side of Hurricane Ike DRIER and robbing the Hurricane of moisture.
It is clear from the current (September 11, 2008 Afternoon and Evening) images, that Hurricane Ike is strongest in the Southeastern Quadrant and has a very LOPSIDED formation.
Apparently, from the discussion, this, among other factors, is keeping the STRENGTH or INTENSITY of Hurricane Ike down -- helping to keep it in the range of a Category 2 storm when in fact it is a storm that is almost consuming the entire Gulf of Mexico by its size.
This might be another Texas Tall Tale, but maybe TEXANS are blowing part of Hurricane Ike away -- as in the tradition of PECOS BILL!!!
The following is the EXCERPT from the 5PM EDT DISCUSSION on Hurricane Ike by the NHC:
THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE HAS COME DOWN SINCE THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH THE GFDL STILL MAKES IKE A MAJOR HURRICANE. FACTORS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT INCLUDE THE LARGE BROAD WIND FIELD...STRONG WINDS OVER AREAS OF LIMITED OCEAN HEAT CONTENT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE PATH OF IKE...AND AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER TEXAS THAT IS FORCING DESCENT AND CREATING DRY AIR AHEAD OF THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. INDEED... CONVECTION ON THE WEST SIDE OF IKE HAS BEEN RATHER THIN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.
Of course, the phrase the NHC uses is An Upper-Level Ridge over Texas that is forcing the descent and creating dry air ahead of the path of the Hurricane.
I guess the bottom line is HOT DRY AIR over the state of Texas has the effect of causing problems -- even for a Texas-sized Hurricane...
Those Texas and their bragging... Maybe that the source of all of that hot air...
There is some cause, perhaps, to put this in the humor section -- except that I believe it to be based on fact. The High Pressure system over Texas is literally reducing the strength of Hurricane Ike
Note that the information from the 5 PM EDT DISCUSSION will be updated at 11 PM EDT and is updated each 6 hours (at least) as long as the storm is a threat -- Hurricane, Tropical Storm, or Tropical Depression...
ThoseTexas[Texans] and their bragging... Maybe that the source of all of that hot air...
So global warming not only can giveth hurricanes but can taketh them away as well? :P
We had coastal flooding in the Tampa area because of this storm. Those texans better be full of hot air to push that surge back.
All you Freepers who said bad things about this Houston Rat should realize that for
once, you're wrong!
It’s Chuck Norris blowing at the storm.
We have only had computers and satellites to track hurricanes for about 40 years.
And the computer modeling of Hurricanes was very primitive in 1970 -- as a $10 million in 1970 might be placed in the size of a dime today...
For example, some of the Hurricanes in the early part of the 2oth Century did not have names but just the year and where it hit. [We are in the 21st Century now -- A Brave New World!)...
Amen! And, in all seriousness, I hope that God looks over Texas (and Louisiana/Mexico) in the next couple of days and reduce the damage...
The Weather Channel just reported an eye appears to be reforming as shown by the satellite imagery.
So hopefully the shallow, cooler water will help keep this from becoming Cat 3 or perhaps Cat 4.
And, on a more serious note, there are a significant number of oil refineries and oil production facilities in the path of this storm...
Tomorrow morning -- if the price of oil goes up AND gasoline, it might mean the SMART MONEY on Wall Street believes this storm will do significant damage...
Important update coming @ 10pm CST
Egads! What spews from that mouth can take down Ike and Katrina combined.
"People sheltering at ground level at Galveston Bay when Hurricane Ike hits face "certain death," the weather service warns."
From the discussion:
Indeed... convection on the west side of Ike has been rather thin for much of the day. However...this latter upper feature is forecast to slide northeastward as Ike enters the northwestern Gulf...and in this configuration would provide an upper pattern more conducive to strengthening right before landfall.
Because of the very large expanse of hurricane force winds...Ike will create a storm surge well in excess of what would normally be associated with a storm of its intensity.
Ike is very close to making landfall. Even if the hurricane weakens some before then and the winds are not as much of an issue, the storm surge is still to be reckoned with.
Don't get your hopes up. In meteorology you can't count on anything.
I wanted the remnants to dump rain on AZ, and it's curling north and east after it hits shore. Dang it!
Only a few Texans such as Sheila Jackson Lee spout hot air; the rest of us simply announce the truth about God’s country in voices loud enough for all to hear!
This storm is packing a lot of water in the form of surges....... That will be the most devastating thing to come from it most likely. The following from the forecast:
“TEXANS are blowing”
Color me unsurprised!
We’re heading for a full moon on the 15th but I understand that it usually doesn’t affect the Gulf tides the same way it does the ocean tides.
So what’s the tide expected to be Sat morning along the TX coast? High or low and what’s the difference in feet between them?
Not sure about that, but I won't be standing near you for the foreseeable future. I accidentally got kicked in the jaw once, Once!
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