Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

CNN/Opinion Research: Tie @ 48
RCP ^ | 9/8/2008 | RCP

Posted on 09/08/2008 10:25:13 AM PDT by rivercat

48% to 48% Interviews with 1,022 adult Americans conducted by telephone by Opinion Research Corporation on September 5-7, 2008. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cnn; electionpresident; mccainpalin; polls; rcp
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041 next last
All recent polls on RCP have at least a tie, up to a 10 point McCain lead.
1 posted on 09/08/2008 10:25:14 AM PDT by rivercat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: rivercat

New RCP Average is McCain up 3.2%


2 posted on 09/08/2008 10:26:53 AM PDT by rivercat (Sarah Palin '12)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

CNN doing their part to artificially prop up Obama.


3 posted on 09/08/2008 10:28:02 AM PDT by CatOwner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

CNN doing their best to keep this race close.


4 posted on 09/08/2008 10:28:06 AM PDT by Always Right (Obama: more arrogant than Bill Clinton, more naive than Jimmy Carter, and more liberal than LBJ.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

Include about 5 pts for manifest CNN bias in the structure of the poll, and 8-9 pts for the Bradley effect, and I’d say that Osamabama and Bidet are burnt toast.


5 posted on 09/08/2008 10:28:06 AM PDT by SAJ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

So, its a poll of “adults” rather than registered voters, or likely voters, is that right? (i’m too lazy to click on the link)


6 posted on 09/08/2008 10:28:57 AM PDT by babble-on
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

just “adults”?

Not “registered” or “likely”?

hmmmmm.


7 posted on 09/08/2008 10:29:38 AM PDT by rdax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

You know it’s bad for the left when their Messiah can only pull even on the news channels they control...


8 posted on 09/08/2008 10:30:04 AM PDT by Tzimisce (How Would Mohammed Vote? Obama for President!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

Registered voters - add another 3-5 points to McCain for Likely Voters...


9 posted on 09/08/2008 10:30:36 AM PDT by CA Conservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

“adult Americans”?! What happened to at least registered or likely voters?


10 posted on 09/08/2008 10:31:37 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat
A weekend poll of random adults (not likely or even registered voters) is going to skew pretty far to the left.

I see this as verification for the McCain lead in every other poll.

11 posted on 09/08/2008 10:31:42 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (Government intervention helped make the Great Depression great.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

Full text of CNN’s poll question:

In a fictitious election, who would you rather vote for:

1). Obama/Jesus

2). Hitler/McCain


12 posted on 09/08/2008 10:31:56 AM PDT by Tublecane
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat
All polls are not equal...

The poll is of "adults" and was conducted over the weekend. Two things that always skew heavily in favor of the dem candidate.

Polls are most often done using adults, registered voters, and likely voters. The most accurate historically have been likely voters; voters that are registered and say that they will vote (that is why the Gallop numbers of +10 are hugh). A poll of "adults" does not even know if these are registered voters. Not surprisingly, this sampling method produces the least accurate results.

Remember: adults < registered voters < likely voters.

13 posted on 09/08/2008 10:32:23 AM PDT by ajwharton
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: CatOwner

If CNN is posting these numbers publicly, then the internal Democrat headquarters numbers must be horrendous.

“Landslide”, anybody? How do those numbers start to affect the potential outcome of any number of Congressional and Senate races?

Sarah Palin’s runnng mate might do all right.


14 posted on 09/08/2008 10:32:39 AM PDT by alloysteel (Sarah has got spunk. And that is a GOOD thing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

And, Obama is in serious trouble in Michigan and his supporter and buddy the mayor of Detroit is going to prison.

If he has to put extra $$ resources into his blue states, he has a very uphill climb.


15 posted on 09/08/2008 10:32:54 AM PDT by falcon1966
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: babble-on
It says 1,022 adults, and on the next page 942 registered voters. So, 7.8% are unregistered voters. Registered voters is less accurate than likely voters. There are no demographics to the breakout of the voters (Rep, Dem, Ind).
16 posted on 09/08/2008 10:33:10 AM PDT by CatOwner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: rivercat; All

This is ADULTS only, not registered or even likely voters, so definitely good news to have a tie.


17 posted on 09/08/2008 10:33:33 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rivercat

Works real well in the Electoral College.


18 posted on 09/08/2008 10:33:37 AM PDT by onedoug
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: alloysteel

wouldn’t it be amazing if some of these Senate races started drifting back our way too? I don’t dare to dream it.


19 posted on 09/08/2008 10:35:39 AM PDT by babble-on
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: CatOwner

thanks.


20 posted on 09/08/2008 10:36:15 AM PDT by babble-on
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson